On Tuesday, January 16, 2007 1:52 PM Michael Madigan wrote:

>Yes we are, or more specificly, the world oil supply is.  That keeps
oil prices lower than it 
>would otherwise be.  

Very little oil is being produced from Iraq according to:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves  (I also included the text
about Iran for comparison)

Iran
Iran has the world's second largest reserves of conventional crude oil
at 133 gigabarrels, according to the CIA World Factbook, although it
should be noted that both Canada and Venezuela have larger reserves if
Non-conventional oil is included. Iran is the second largest oil holder
globally with approximately 10% of the world's oil.

Iran averages about 1.5 gigabarrels per year, which is a significant
decline from the 6 gigabarrels per year it produced when the Shah of
Iran was in power. The United States prohibits imports of oil from Iran,
which limits its exposure to an Iranian oil cutoff, but does not reduce
the likelihood that an interruption of Iranian oil would cause a spike
in world oil prices. American pressure on Iran to renounce Iran's
nuclear program makes the possibility of military confrontation quite
high, and the political risks of Iranian oil far outweigh any geological
ones.


Iraq
Iraq has the fourth largest reserves of conventional oil in the world at
112 gigabarrels. Despite its vast oil reserves and low costs, production
has not recovered since the US-led 2003 invasion of Iraq. Constant
looting, insurgent attacks, and sabotage in the oil fields has limited
production to around 0.5 gigabarrels per year at best. Political risk is
thus the main constraint on Iraqi oil production and likely to remain so
in the near future.


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