Hi all,

A reminder that CSER's seminar with Dr Toby Ord (Oxford) is this Friday,
4.00-5.30pm in Little Hall, Sidgwick SIte.

Toby Ord is a Research Fellow at the Future of Humanity Institute, Oxford
University & Oxford Martin School. He works on theoretical and practical
questions concerning population ethics, global priorities, existential risk
and new technologies.

He will be speaking on "Will we cause our own extinction? Natural versus
anthropogenic extinction risks". It should be an excellent introduction to
CSER's current research focus and arguments the lead to it.  Full details
here <http://cser.org/event/extinction/>. The abstract is below.

Best wishes,
Nick

---
Abstract:

*How will humanity go extinct? Is it more likely to be from natural causes
such as an asteroid impact or anthropogenic causes such as a nuclear war?
Using the fossil record, we can place a rough upper bound on the
probability of human extinction from natural causes: all natural causes put
together have less than a 1% chance of causing human extinction each
century, and probably less than 0.1%. In contrast, it is very difficult to
put upper or lower bounds on the chance of extinction from anthropogenic
causes. *

*In this talk, Dr Toby Ord advance an argument that anthropogenic causes
currently produce ten or more times as much extinction risk as the natural
causes, and shows how this suggests that we should prioritise the reduction
of anthropogenic extinction risks over natural ones.*

-- 
Nick Robinson
Seminar Series Administrator
Centre for the Study of Existential Risk
University of Cambridge
http://cser.org
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