Attached is a fixed and rebasified patch for cfbot.
Included inline for conceptual review.


>From f3055a5696924427dda280da702c41d2d2796a24 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: Justin Pryzby <pryz...@telsasoft.com>
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2019 16:17:28 -0600
Subject: [PATCH v2] Use correlation statistic in costing bitmap scans..

Same as for an index scan, an uncorrelated bitmap (like modulus) which access a
certain number of pages across the entire length of a table should have cost
estimate heavily weighted by random access, compared to an bitmap scan which
accesses same number of pages across a small portion of the table.

Note, Tom points out that there are cases where a column could be
tightly-clumped without being hightly-ordered.  Since we have correlation
already, we use that for now, and if someone creates a statistic for
clumpiness, we'll re-evaluate at some later date.
---
 src/backend/optimizer/path/costsize.c | 84 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++-------
 src/backend/optimizer/path/indxpath.c |  8 ++--
 src/include/nodes/pathnodes.h         |  3 ++
 src/include/optimizer/cost.h          |  2 +-
 4 files changed, 77 insertions(+), 20 deletions(-)

diff --git a/src/backend/optimizer/path/costsize.c 
b/src/backend/optimizer/path/costsize.c
index c5f6593..aaac29a 100644
--- a/src/backend/optimizer/path/costsize.c
+++ b/src/backend/optimizer/path/costsize.c
@@ -549,11 +549,12 @@ cost_index(IndexPath *path, PlannerInfo *root, double 
loop_count,
 
        /*
         * Save amcostestimate's results for possible use in bitmap scan 
planning.
-        * We don't bother to save indexStartupCost or indexCorrelation, 
because a
-        * bitmap scan doesn't care about either.
+        * We don't bother to save indexStartupCost, because a
+        * bitmap scan doesn't care.
         */
        path->indextotalcost = indexTotalCost;
        path->indexselectivity = indexSelectivity;
+       path->indexCorrelation = indexCorrelation;
 
        /* all costs for touching index itself included here */
        startup_cost += indexStartupCost;
@@ -986,12 +987,33 @@ cost_bitmap_heap_scan(Path *path, PlannerInfo *root, 
RelOptInfo *baserel,
         * appropriate to charge spc_seq_page_cost apiece.  The effect is
         * nonlinear, too. For lack of a better idea, interpolate like this to
         * determine the cost per page.
+        * Note this works at PAGE granularity, so even if we read 1% of a
+        * table's tuples, if we have to read nearly every page, it should be
+        * considered sequential.
         */
-       if (pages_fetched >= 2.0)
+       if (pages_fetched >= 2.0) {
+               double correlation, cost_per_page2;
                cost_per_page = spc_random_page_cost -
                        (spc_random_page_cost - spc_seq_page_cost)
                        * sqrt(pages_fetched / T);
-       else
+
+               // XXX: interpolate based on correlation from seq_page_cost to 
rand_page_cost?
+               // a highly correlated bitmap scan 1) likely reads fewer pages; 
and,
+               // 2) at higher "density" (more sequential).
+               // double correlation = get_indexpath_correlation(root, 
bitmapqual);
+               correlation = ((IndexPath *)bitmapqual)->indexCorrelation;
+               cost_per_page2 = spc_seq_page_cost +
+                       (1-correlation*correlation)*(spc_random_page_cost - 
spc_seq_page_cost);  // XXX: *sqrt(pages_fetched/T) ?
+               // There are two variables: fraction of pages(T) and 
correlation.
+               // If T is high, giving sequential reads, we want low 
cost_per_page regardless of correlation.
+               // If correlation is high, we (probably) want low cost per page.
+               // ...the exception is if someone does an =ANY() query on a 
list of non-consecutive values.
+               // Something like start_time=ANY('2017-01-01', '2017-02-01',...)
+               // which reads small number of rows from pages all across the 
length of the table.
+               // But index scan doesn't seem to do address that at all, so 
leave it alone for now.
+               cost_per_page=Min(cost_per_page, cost_per_page2);
+               // cost_per_page=sqrt(cost_per_page*cost_per_page + 
cost_per_page2*cost_per_page2);
+       } else
                cost_per_page = spc_random_page_cost;
 
        run_cost += pages_fetched * cost_per_page;
@@ -1035,15 +1057,16 @@ cost_bitmap_heap_scan(Path *path, PlannerInfo *root, 
RelOptInfo *baserel,
 
 /*
  * cost_bitmap_tree_node
- *             Extract cost and selectivity from a bitmap tree node 
(index/and/or)
+ *             Extract cost, selectivity, and correlation from a bitmap tree 
node (index/and/or)
  */
 void
-cost_bitmap_tree_node(Path *path, Cost *cost, Selectivity *selec)
+cost_bitmap_tree_node(Path *path, Cost *cost, Selectivity *selec, double 
*correlation)
 {
        if (IsA(path, IndexPath))
        {
                *cost = ((IndexPath *) path)->indextotalcost;
                *selec = ((IndexPath *) path)->indexselectivity;
+               if (correlation) *correlation = ((IndexPath *) 
path)->indexCorrelation;
 
                /*
                 * Charge a small amount per retrieved tuple to reflect the 
costs of
@@ -1057,11 +1080,13 @@ cost_bitmap_tree_node(Path *path, Cost *cost, 
Selectivity *selec)
        {
                *cost = path->total_cost;
                *selec = ((BitmapAndPath *) path)->bitmapselectivity;
+               if (correlation) *correlation = ((BitmapAndPath *) 
path)->bitmapcorrelation;
        }
        else if (IsA(path, BitmapOrPath))
        {
                *cost = path->total_cost;
                *selec = ((BitmapOrPath *) path)->bitmapselectivity;
+               if (correlation) *correlation = ((BitmapOrPath *) 
path)->bitmapcorrelation;
        }
        else
        {
@@ -1084,8 +1109,9 @@ void
 cost_bitmap_and_node(BitmapAndPath *path, PlannerInfo *root)
 {
        Cost            totalCost;
-       Selectivity selec;
+       Selectivity selec, minsubselec;
        ListCell   *l;
+       double          correlation;
 
        /*
         * We estimate AND selectivity on the assumption that the inputs are
@@ -1097,22 +1123,32 @@ cost_bitmap_and_node(BitmapAndPath *path, PlannerInfo 
*root)
         * definitely too simplistic?
         */
        totalCost = 0.0;
-       selec = 1.0;
+       minsubselec = selec = 1.0;
+       correlation = 0;
        foreach(l, path->bitmapquals)
        {
                Path       *subpath = (Path *) lfirst(l);
                Cost            subCost;
                Selectivity subselec;
+               double          subcorrelation;
 
-               cost_bitmap_tree_node(subpath, &subCost, &subselec);
+               cost_bitmap_tree_node(subpath, &subCost, &subselec, 
&subcorrelation);
 
                selec *= subselec;
 
+               /* For an AND node, use the correlation of its most-selective 
subpath */
+               if (subselec<=minsubselec) {
+                               correlation = subcorrelation;
+                               minsubselec = subselec;
+               }
+
                totalCost += subCost;
                if (l != list_head(path->bitmapquals))
+                       // ??? XXX && !IsA(subpath, IndexPath))
                        totalCost += 100.0 * cpu_operator_cost;
        }
        path->bitmapselectivity = selec;
+       path->bitmapcorrelation = correlation;
        path->path.rows = 0;            /* per above, not used */
        path->path.startup_cost = totalCost;
        path->path.total_cost = totalCost;
@@ -1128,8 +1164,9 @@ void
 cost_bitmap_or_node(BitmapOrPath *path, PlannerInfo *root)
 {
        Cost            totalCost;
-       Selectivity selec;
+       Selectivity selec, maxsubselec;
        ListCell   *l;
+       double          correlation;
 
        /*
         * We estimate OR selectivity on the assumption that the inputs are
@@ -1142,23 +1179,32 @@ cost_bitmap_or_node(BitmapOrPath *path, PlannerInfo 
*root)
         * optimized out when the inputs are BitmapIndexScans.
         */
        totalCost = 0.0;
-       selec = 0.0;
+       maxsubselec = selec = 0.0;
+       correlation = 0;
        foreach(l, path->bitmapquals)
        {
                Path       *subpath = (Path *) lfirst(l);
                Cost            subCost;
                Selectivity subselec;
+               double          subcorrelation;
 
-               cost_bitmap_tree_node(subpath, &subCost, &subselec);
+               cost_bitmap_tree_node(subpath, &subCost, &subselec, 
&subcorrelation);
 
                selec += subselec;
 
+               /* For an OR node, use the correlation of its least-selective 
subpath */
+               if (subselec>=maxsubselec) {
+                               correlation = subcorrelation;
+                               maxsubselec = subselec;
+               }
+
                totalCost += subCost;
                if (l != list_head(path->bitmapquals) &&
                        !IsA(subpath, IndexPath))
                        totalCost += 100.0 * cpu_operator_cost;
        }
        path->bitmapselectivity = Min(selec, 1.0);
+       path->bitmapcorrelation = correlation;
        path->path.rows = 0;            /* per above, not used */
        path->path.startup_cost = totalCost;
        path->path.total_cost = totalCost;
@@ -5510,8 +5556,11 @@ compute_bitmap_pages(PlannerInfo *root, RelOptInfo 
*baserel, Path *bitmapqual,
 {
        Cost            indexTotalCost;
        Selectivity indexSelectivity;
+       double          indexCorrelation;
        double          T;
-       double          pages_fetched;
+       double          pages_fetched,
+                               pages_fetchedMIN,
+                               pages_fetchedMAX;
        double          tuples_fetched;
        double          heap_pages;
        long            maxentries;
@@ -5520,7 +5569,7 @@ compute_bitmap_pages(PlannerInfo *root, RelOptInfo 
*baserel, Path *bitmapqual,
         * Fetch total cost of obtaining the bitmap, as well as its total
         * selectivity.
         */
-       cost_bitmap_tree_node(bitmapqual, &indexTotalCost, &indexSelectivity);
+       cost_bitmap_tree_node(bitmapqual, &indexTotalCost, &indexSelectivity, 
&indexCorrelation);
 
        /*
         * Estimate number of main-table pages fetched.
@@ -5534,7 +5583,12 @@ compute_bitmap_pages(PlannerInfo *root, RelOptInfo 
*baserel, Path *bitmapqual,
         * the same as the Mackert and Lohman formula for the case T <= b (ie, 
no
         * re-reads needed).
         */
-       pages_fetched = (2.0 * T * tuples_fetched) / (2.0 * T + tuples_fetched);
+       pages_fetchedMAX = (2.0 * T * tuples_fetched) / (2.0 * T + 
tuples_fetched);
+
+       /* pages_fetchedMIN is for the perfectly correlated case (csquared=1) */
+       pages_fetchedMIN = ceil(indexSelectivity * (double) baserel->pages);
+
+       pages_fetched = pages_fetchedMAX + 
indexCorrelation*indexCorrelation*(pages_fetchedMIN - pages_fetchedMAX);
 
        /*
         * Calculate the number of pages fetched from the heap.  Then based on
diff --git a/src/backend/optimizer/path/indxpath.c 
b/src/backend/optimizer/path/indxpath.c
index 37b257c..2a3db34 100644
--- a/src/backend/optimizer/path/indxpath.c
+++ b/src/backend/optimizer/path/indxpath.c
@@ -1467,8 +1467,8 @@ choose_bitmap_and(PlannerInfo *root, RelOptInfo *rel, 
List *paths)
                        Selectivity nselec;
                        Selectivity oselec;
 
-                       cost_bitmap_tree_node(pathinfo->path, &ncost, &nselec);
-                       cost_bitmap_tree_node(pathinfoarray[i]->path, &ocost, 
&oselec);
+                       cost_bitmap_tree_node(pathinfo->path, &ncost, &nselec, 
NULL);
+                       cost_bitmap_tree_node(pathinfoarray[i]->path, &ocost, 
&oselec, NULL);
                        if (ncost < ocost)
                                pathinfoarray[i] = pathinfo;
                }
@@ -1580,8 +1580,8 @@ path_usage_comparator(const void *a, const void *b)
        Selectivity aselec;
        Selectivity bselec;
 
-       cost_bitmap_tree_node(pa->path, &acost, &aselec);
-       cost_bitmap_tree_node(pb->path, &bcost, &bselec);
+       cost_bitmap_tree_node(pa->path, &acost, &aselec, NULL);
+       cost_bitmap_tree_node(pb->path, &bcost, &bselec, NULL);
 
        /*
         * If costs are the same, sort by selectivity.
diff --git a/src/include/nodes/pathnodes.h b/src/include/nodes/pathnodes.h
index 23a06d7..beaac03 100644
--- a/src/include/nodes/pathnodes.h
+++ b/src/include/nodes/pathnodes.h
@@ -1181,6 +1181,7 @@ typedef struct IndexPath
        ScanDirection indexscandir;
        Cost            indextotalcost;
        Selectivity indexselectivity;
+       double          indexCorrelation;
 } IndexPath;
 
 /*
@@ -1261,6 +1262,7 @@ typedef struct BitmapAndPath
        Path            path;
        List       *bitmapquals;        /* IndexPaths and BitmapOrPaths */
        Selectivity bitmapselectivity;
+       double          bitmapcorrelation;
 } BitmapAndPath;
 
 /*
@@ -1274,6 +1276,7 @@ typedef struct BitmapOrPath
        Path            path;
        List       *bitmapquals;        /* IndexPaths and BitmapAndPaths */
        Selectivity bitmapselectivity;
+       double          bitmapcorrelation;
 } BitmapOrPath;
 
 /*
diff --git a/src/include/optimizer/cost.h b/src/include/optimizer/cost.h
index b3d0b4f..9a28665 100644
--- a/src/include/optimizer/cost.h
+++ b/src/include/optimizer/cost.h
@@ -79,7 +79,7 @@ extern void cost_bitmap_heap_scan(Path *path, PlannerInfo 
*root, RelOptInfo *bas
                                                                  Path 
*bitmapqual, double loop_count);
 extern void cost_bitmap_and_node(BitmapAndPath *path, PlannerInfo *root);
 extern void cost_bitmap_or_node(BitmapOrPath *path, PlannerInfo *root);
-extern void cost_bitmap_tree_node(Path *path, Cost *cost, Selectivity *selec);
+extern void cost_bitmap_tree_node(Path *path, Cost *cost, Selectivity *selec, 
double *correlation);
 extern void cost_tidscan(Path *path, PlannerInfo *root,
                                                 RelOptInfo *baserel, List 
*tidquals, ParamPathInfo *param_info);
 extern void cost_subqueryscan(SubqueryScanPath *path, PlannerInfo *root,
-- 
2.7.4

>From f3055a5696924427dda280da702c41d2d2796a24 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: Justin Pryzby <pryz...@telsasoft.com>
Date: Tue, 1 Jan 2019 16:17:28 -0600
Subject: [PATCH v2] Use correlation statistic in costing bitmap scans..

Same as for an index scan, an uncorrelated bitmap (like modulus) which access a
certain number of pages across the entire length of a table should have cost
estimate heavily weighted by random access, compared to an bitmap scan which
accesses same number of pages across a small portion of the table.

Note, Tom points out that there are cases where a column could be
tightly-clumped without being hightly-ordered.  Since we have correlation
already, we use that for now, and if someone creates a statistic for
clumpiness, we'll re-evaluate at some later date.
---
 src/backend/optimizer/path/costsize.c | 84 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++-------
 src/backend/optimizer/path/indxpath.c |  8 ++--
 src/include/nodes/pathnodes.h         |  3 ++
 src/include/optimizer/cost.h          |  2 +-
 4 files changed, 77 insertions(+), 20 deletions(-)

diff --git a/src/backend/optimizer/path/costsize.c b/src/backend/optimizer/path/costsize.c
index c5f6593..aaac29a 100644
--- a/src/backend/optimizer/path/costsize.c
+++ b/src/backend/optimizer/path/costsize.c
@@ -549,11 +549,12 @@ cost_index(IndexPath *path, PlannerInfo *root, double loop_count,
 
 	/*
 	 * Save amcostestimate's results for possible use in bitmap scan planning.
-	 * We don't bother to save indexStartupCost or indexCorrelation, because a
-	 * bitmap scan doesn't care about either.
+	 * We don't bother to save indexStartupCost, because a
+	 * bitmap scan doesn't care.
 	 */
 	path->indextotalcost = indexTotalCost;
 	path->indexselectivity = indexSelectivity;
+	path->indexCorrelation = indexCorrelation;
 
 	/* all costs for touching index itself included here */
 	startup_cost += indexStartupCost;
@@ -986,12 +987,33 @@ cost_bitmap_heap_scan(Path *path, PlannerInfo *root, RelOptInfo *baserel,
 	 * appropriate to charge spc_seq_page_cost apiece.  The effect is
 	 * nonlinear, too. For lack of a better idea, interpolate like this to
 	 * determine the cost per page.
+	 * Note this works at PAGE granularity, so even if we read 1% of a
+	 * table's tuples, if we have to read nearly every page, it should be
+	 * considered sequential.
 	 */
-	if (pages_fetched >= 2.0)
+	if (pages_fetched >= 2.0) {
+		double correlation, cost_per_page2;
 		cost_per_page = spc_random_page_cost -
 			(spc_random_page_cost - spc_seq_page_cost)
 			* sqrt(pages_fetched / T);
-	else
+
+		// XXX: interpolate based on correlation from seq_page_cost to rand_page_cost?
+		// a highly correlated bitmap scan 1) likely reads fewer pages; and,
+		// 2) at higher "density" (more sequential).
+		// double correlation = get_indexpath_correlation(root, bitmapqual);
+		correlation = ((IndexPath *)bitmapqual)->indexCorrelation;
+		cost_per_page2 = spc_seq_page_cost +
+			(1-correlation*correlation)*(spc_random_page_cost - spc_seq_page_cost);  // XXX: *sqrt(pages_fetched/T) ?
+		// There are two variables: fraction of pages(T) and correlation.
+		// If T is high, giving sequential reads, we want low cost_per_page regardless of correlation.
+		// If correlation is high, we (probably) want low cost per page.
+		// ...the exception is if someone does an =ANY() query on a list of non-consecutive values.
+		// Something like start_time=ANY('2017-01-01', '2017-02-01',...)
+		// which reads small number of rows from pages all across the length of the table.
+		// But index scan doesn't seem to do address that at all, so leave it alone for now.
+		cost_per_page=Min(cost_per_page, cost_per_page2);
+		// cost_per_page=sqrt(cost_per_page*cost_per_page + cost_per_page2*cost_per_page2);
+	} else
 		cost_per_page = spc_random_page_cost;
 
 	run_cost += pages_fetched * cost_per_page;
@@ -1035,15 +1057,16 @@ cost_bitmap_heap_scan(Path *path, PlannerInfo *root, RelOptInfo *baserel,
 
 /*
  * cost_bitmap_tree_node
- *		Extract cost and selectivity from a bitmap tree node (index/and/or)
+ *		Extract cost, selectivity, and correlation from a bitmap tree node (index/and/or)
  */
 void
-cost_bitmap_tree_node(Path *path, Cost *cost, Selectivity *selec)
+cost_bitmap_tree_node(Path *path, Cost *cost, Selectivity *selec, double *correlation)
 {
 	if (IsA(path, IndexPath))
 	{
 		*cost = ((IndexPath *) path)->indextotalcost;
 		*selec = ((IndexPath *) path)->indexselectivity;
+		if (correlation) *correlation = ((IndexPath *) path)->indexCorrelation;
 
 		/*
 		 * Charge a small amount per retrieved tuple to reflect the costs of
@@ -1057,11 +1080,13 @@ cost_bitmap_tree_node(Path *path, Cost *cost, Selectivity *selec)
 	{
 		*cost = path->total_cost;
 		*selec = ((BitmapAndPath *) path)->bitmapselectivity;
+		if (correlation) *correlation = ((BitmapAndPath *) path)->bitmapcorrelation;
 	}
 	else if (IsA(path, BitmapOrPath))
 	{
 		*cost = path->total_cost;
 		*selec = ((BitmapOrPath *) path)->bitmapselectivity;
+		if (correlation) *correlation = ((BitmapOrPath *) path)->bitmapcorrelation;
 	}
 	else
 	{
@@ -1084,8 +1109,9 @@ void
 cost_bitmap_and_node(BitmapAndPath *path, PlannerInfo *root)
 {
 	Cost		totalCost;
-	Selectivity selec;
+	Selectivity selec, minsubselec;
 	ListCell   *l;
+	double		correlation;
 
 	/*
 	 * We estimate AND selectivity on the assumption that the inputs are
@@ -1097,22 +1123,32 @@ cost_bitmap_and_node(BitmapAndPath *path, PlannerInfo *root)
 	 * definitely too simplistic?
 	 */
 	totalCost = 0.0;
-	selec = 1.0;
+	minsubselec = selec = 1.0;
+	correlation = 0;
 	foreach(l, path->bitmapquals)
 	{
 		Path	   *subpath = (Path *) lfirst(l);
 		Cost		subCost;
 		Selectivity subselec;
+		double		subcorrelation;
 
-		cost_bitmap_tree_node(subpath, &subCost, &subselec);
+		cost_bitmap_tree_node(subpath, &subCost, &subselec, &subcorrelation);
 
 		selec *= subselec;
 
+		/* For an AND node, use the correlation of its most-selective subpath */
+		if (subselec<=minsubselec) {
+				correlation = subcorrelation;
+				minsubselec = subselec;
+		}
+
 		totalCost += subCost;
 		if (l != list_head(path->bitmapquals))
+			// ??? XXX && !IsA(subpath, IndexPath))
 			totalCost += 100.0 * cpu_operator_cost;
 	}
 	path->bitmapselectivity = selec;
+	path->bitmapcorrelation = correlation;
 	path->path.rows = 0;		/* per above, not used */
 	path->path.startup_cost = totalCost;
 	path->path.total_cost = totalCost;
@@ -1128,8 +1164,9 @@ void
 cost_bitmap_or_node(BitmapOrPath *path, PlannerInfo *root)
 {
 	Cost		totalCost;
-	Selectivity selec;
+	Selectivity selec, maxsubselec;
 	ListCell   *l;
+	double		correlation;
 
 	/*
 	 * We estimate OR selectivity on the assumption that the inputs are
@@ -1142,23 +1179,32 @@ cost_bitmap_or_node(BitmapOrPath *path, PlannerInfo *root)
 	 * optimized out when the inputs are BitmapIndexScans.
 	 */
 	totalCost = 0.0;
-	selec = 0.0;
+	maxsubselec = selec = 0.0;
+	correlation = 0;
 	foreach(l, path->bitmapquals)
 	{
 		Path	   *subpath = (Path *) lfirst(l);
 		Cost		subCost;
 		Selectivity subselec;
+		double		subcorrelation;
 
-		cost_bitmap_tree_node(subpath, &subCost, &subselec);
+		cost_bitmap_tree_node(subpath, &subCost, &subselec, &subcorrelation);
 
 		selec += subselec;
 
+		/* For an OR node, use the correlation of its least-selective subpath */
+		if (subselec>=maxsubselec) {
+				correlation = subcorrelation;
+				maxsubselec = subselec;
+		}
+
 		totalCost += subCost;
 		if (l != list_head(path->bitmapquals) &&
 			!IsA(subpath, IndexPath))
 			totalCost += 100.0 * cpu_operator_cost;
 	}
 	path->bitmapselectivity = Min(selec, 1.0);
+	path->bitmapcorrelation = correlation;
 	path->path.rows = 0;		/* per above, not used */
 	path->path.startup_cost = totalCost;
 	path->path.total_cost = totalCost;
@@ -5510,8 +5556,11 @@ compute_bitmap_pages(PlannerInfo *root, RelOptInfo *baserel, Path *bitmapqual,
 {
 	Cost		indexTotalCost;
 	Selectivity indexSelectivity;
+	double		indexCorrelation;
 	double		T;
-	double		pages_fetched;
+	double		pages_fetched,
+				pages_fetchedMIN,
+				pages_fetchedMAX;
 	double		tuples_fetched;
 	double		heap_pages;
 	long		maxentries;
@@ -5520,7 +5569,7 @@ compute_bitmap_pages(PlannerInfo *root, RelOptInfo *baserel, Path *bitmapqual,
 	 * Fetch total cost of obtaining the bitmap, as well as its total
 	 * selectivity.
 	 */
-	cost_bitmap_tree_node(bitmapqual, &indexTotalCost, &indexSelectivity);
+	cost_bitmap_tree_node(bitmapqual, &indexTotalCost, &indexSelectivity, &indexCorrelation);
 
 	/*
 	 * Estimate number of main-table pages fetched.
@@ -5534,7 +5583,12 @@ compute_bitmap_pages(PlannerInfo *root, RelOptInfo *baserel, Path *bitmapqual,
 	 * the same as the Mackert and Lohman formula for the case T <= b (ie, no
 	 * re-reads needed).
 	 */
-	pages_fetched = (2.0 * T * tuples_fetched) / (2.0 * T + tuples_fetched);
+	pages_fetchedMAX = (2.0 * T * tuples_fetched) / (2.0 * T + tuples_fetched);
+
+	/* pages_fetchedMIN is for the perfectly correlated case (csquared=1) */
+	pages_fetchedMIN = ceil(indexSelectivity * (double) baserel->pages);
+
+	pages_fetched = pages_fetchedMAX + indexCorrelation*indexCorrelation*(pages_fetchedMIN - pages_fetchedMAX);
 
 	/*
 	 * Calculate the number of pages fetched from the heap.  Then based on
diff --git a/src/backend/optimizer/path/indxpath.c b/src/backend/optimizer/path/indxpath.c
index 37b257c..2a3db34 100644
--- a/src/backend/optimizer/path/indxpath.c
+++ b/src/backend/optimizer/path/indxpath.c
@@ -1467,8 +1467,8 @@ choose_bitmap_and(PlannerInfo *root, RelOptInfo *rel, List *paths)
 			Selectivity nselec;
 			Selectivity oselec;
 
-			cost_bitmap_tree_node(pathinfo->path, &ncost, &nselec);
-			cost_bitmap_tree_node(pathinfoarray[i]->path, &ocost, &oselec);
+			cost_bitmap_tree_node(pathinfo->path, &ncost, &nselec, NULL);
+			cost_bitmap_tree_node(pathinfoarray[i]->path, &ocost, &oselec, NULL);
 			if (ncost < ocost)
 				pathinfoarray[i] = pathinfo;
 		}
@@ -1580,8 +1580,8 @@ path_usage_comparator(const void *a, const void *b)
 	Selectivity aselec;
 	Selectivity bselec;
 
-	cost_bitmap_tree_node(pa->path, &acost, &aselec);
-	cost_bitmap_tree_node(pb->path, &bcost, &bselec);
+	cost_bitmap_tree_node(pa->path, &acost, &aselec, NULL);
+	cost_bitmap_tree_node(pb->path, &bcost, &bselec, NULL);
 
 	/*
 	 * If costs are the same, sort by selectivity.
diff --git a/src/include/nodes/pathnodes.h b/src/include/nodes/pathnodes.h
index 23a06d7..beaac03 100644
--- a/src/include/nodes/pathnodes.h
+++ b/src/include/nodes/pathnodes.h
@@ -1181,6 +1181,7 @@ typedef struct IndexPath
 	ScanDirection indexscandir;
 	Cost		indextotalcost;
 	Selectivity indexselectivity;
+	double		indexCorrelation;
 } IndexPath;
 
 /*
@@ -1261,6 +1262,7 @@ typedef struct BitmapAndPath
 	Path		path;
 	List	   *bitmapquals;	/* IndexPaths and BitmapOrPaths */
 	Selectivity bitmapselectivity;
+	double		bitmapcorrelation;
 } BitmapAndPath;
 
 /*
@@ -1274,6 +1276,7 @@ typedef struct BitmapOrPath
 	Path		path;
 	List	   *bitmapquals;	/* IndexPaths and BitmapAndPaths */
 	Selectivity bitmapselectivity;
+	double		bitmapcorrelation;
 } BitmapOrPath;
 
 /*
diff --git a/src/include/optimizer/cost.h b/src/include/optimizer/cost.h
index b3d0b4f..9a28665 100644
--- a/src/include/optimizer/cost.h
+++ b/src/include/optimizer/cost.h
@@ -79,7 +79,7 @@ extern void cost_bitmap_heap_scan(Path *path, PlannerInfo *root, RelOptInfo *bas
 								  Path *bitmapqual, double loop_count);
 extern void cost_bitmap_and_node(BitmapAndPath *path, PlannerInfo *root);
 extern void cost_bitmap_or_node(BitmapOrPath *path, PlannerInfo *root);
-extern void cost_bitmap_tree_node(Path *path, Cost *cost, Selectivity *selec);
+extern void cost_bitmap_tree_node(Path *path, Cost *cost, Selectivity *selec, double *correlation);
 extern void cost_tidscan(Path *path, PlannerInfo *root,
 						 RelOptInfo *baserel, List *tidquals, ParamPathInfo *param_info);
 extern void cost_subqueryscan(SubqueryScanPath *path, PlannerInfo *root,
-- 
2.7.4

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