On Sun, 13 Oct 2002, Brad Dobo wrote:

> This is not the DDML (Digital Distribution Mailing List)  Guess what?
> It's PDML, and I used to think it stood for Pentax Distribution
> Mailing list.

Until you found out that it's the Pentax Discuss Mailing List.  :)

On an unrelated note...

Personally, I have no doubt that Pentax will produce a DSLR with
interchangeable lenses.  None at all.  And I also have no doubt that when
they do it won't be as fully pro-spec'ed as N/C ones, which will satisfy
some people and piss others off.

Look at APS.  Pentax didn't jump on the initial bandwagon like Kodak,
Nikon, Canon, etc. did.  They waited until they had an idea of what the
market was like, and then came out with a couple of models that were well
built (metal bodies) and small in size, and they even managed to put in a
longer zoom lens than Canon's Elph at the time (3x instead of 2x).

Now they're doing the same thing with digital p&s's.  They partnered up
with HP so they could ease into the market more smoothly by taking
advantage of the knowledge of a well-established company, and then
branched out into Pentax-only cameras.  Now they're trying the same
strategy that worked with their film p&s: small, well-built and
well-featured.  The problem is that going digital introduces a whole new
set of problems that they either didn't anticipate or didn't succeed in
overcoming.  And so the Optios have a horrible battery life, awful auto
white balance, poor macro (this one bewilders me; even Nikon's Coolpix
2500 will focus down to a couple centimeters), and they're overpriced
relative to other models.

I think Pentax honestly tried their best with the full-frame DSLR but the
problems with the Phillips chip finally made them give up in frustration.
By the time it would have got on the market it would have been overpriced
for what it did and they would have lost a ton of money.  (Did you hear
the Contax N was recalled once even after it came out?)  But I don't doubt
that Pentax recognizes the need to produce a DSLR, and I don't doubt that
they will put one out as soon as they can.  All of this is new for them,
so it's just a matter of time.  I expect to see a Pentax DSLR on sale
before Christmas of 2003, but that's just speculation.

On the off chance that anyone there is listening, Pentax would have the
most success with a DSLR based on an MZ body that sold for significantly
less than C/N's entry-level models.  If a customer can pick up a
stripped-down DSLR for just a touch more than a prosumer digital (Coolpix
5700, Dimage 7i, etc.), that would tempt a lot of people.  Look at the
K1000.  Stripped down (not even a self timer), but it did everything an
SLR needed to and nothing more.  Most people who know Pentax seem to know
it because of the K1000.  Right now most people haven't made the jump to
DSLR's because of the cost and complexity of them, but if Pentax captured
the cheap-and-simple DSLR market they could attract a slew of people.

So that's my wishful thinking for today.  In reality, I'm confident that
Pentax sees the need to come out with a DSLR, but I'm not so sure that
they understand the need to embrace DSLR's as a permanent transition.
The move to APS was not a longterm transition, and so Pentax was wise not
to put out tons of p&s's and any SLR's using it.  However, the move to
digital, like the move to auto-focus, *is* a permanent transition, and
companies (like Olympus with the move to AF) who don't recognize these
permanent transitions are in danger of dying out.  I'm sure analogue will
co-exist with digital for a long time (look at watches, computer vs. pen
and paper, etc.), but people are not going to move away from digital in
the forseeable future... the movement will be towards it.  If Pentax
doesn't recognize the need to put out new DSLR's on a regular basis like
they would with film SLR's, they could find themselves in a lot of
trouble.

chris

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