Sent: Monday, 3 November, 2008 9:26:29
Subject: FW: [kacab] Change Strategy to Buy High and Sell Higher; and also 
raising stoploss to 1200 - 1220.


 
-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of Satrio Utomo
Sent: Monday, November 03, 2008 9:12 AM
To: dedy.efian
Subject: [kacab] Change Strategy to Buy High and Sell Higher; and also raising 
stoploss to 1200 - 1220.


Artha Graha, 3 November 2008
 
Selamat pagi…
 
        * DJI menembus 9300 pada hari Jumat.  Penembusannya belum banyak sih… 
tapi ini membuka peluang untuk terjadinya kenaikan lanjutan menuju kisaran 
10000 – 10500. 
        * BUMI settle di US$0.19 per lembar saham.  Tapi pembukaan suspensi 
masih menunggu public expose dari perseroan.  Harusnya sih dalam satu – dua 
hari ini.  Kalau BUMI dibuka harganya seperti apa.. sepertinya sih bakal turun, 
karena masih ada posisi force sell.  Tapi, BUMI kan dijual dalam harga 
‘distressed’, jauh sekali dari value yang sebenarnya.  Kalau BUMI nanti buka, 
sepertinya posisi beli dilakukan di kisaran 1500 – 1800, itupun kalau turun. 
        * Arah IHSG untuk sementara baru ke kisran 1275 – 1300.  Jika resisten 
di 1300 ditembus, berarti IHSG masih memiliki potensi kenaikan hingga kisaran 
1450 – 1510. 
        * Sentimen positif kedepan 
        * Pemilu Presiden Amerika akan diselenggarakan besok.  Besok malam 
tepatnya 
        * Angka Inflasi bulan Oktober akan diumumkan nanti siang.  Sepertinya 
angkanya bagus.  Jadi BI rate bisa diharapkan turun di pertengahan minggu 
        * Harga BBM Industri turun.  Harga premium industri juga sudah kurang 
dari 50 perak diatas premium subsidi.  Ini membuat spekulasi bahwa BBM akan 
segera diturunkan, semakin kuat.  (anda tau kan saya sudah ngomong mengenai 
kemungkinan penurunan BBM sekitar 2 minggu yang lalu?) 
 
So, karena adanya penembusan resisten, kondisinya sepertinya sudah berubah.  
Berubah dari buy low sell high, menjadi buy high and sell higher.  Penembusan 
resisten seperti ini adalah tempat yang paling kecil resikonya.  Worse case, ya 
kalau nanti malem DJI turun lagi dibawah 9300, atau jika IHSG turun dibawah 
support 1200 – 1220, memang posisi cut loss harus dilakukan.  Tapi, selama 
trend harga masih naik, buat apa posisi jual? Oh iya.  Waspadalah.  Jangan jual 
terlalu murah.  Stock pick? Hmm… Shoot anything that can moves!!! Beli saja 
saham apapun juga, selama saham tersebut masih memiliki fundamental yang 
jelas.  Pasti naik!!!
 
Sementara itu dulu…
 
Happy  trading , semoga untung!!!
 
Trimegah Equity
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