Timah (TINS IJ) – 1H08 results: good, but not sure about 2H 


The
company posted a net profit of Rp1,112bn in 1H08, up by 42% YoY, the sole
outperformer in the metal space. The result came in somewhat line with
consensus, reflecting 56% of full year target. 

We
suspect there has been a sharp reduction in sales volume in 1H08 as revenue was
up by 3% YoY while LME tin price was very strong, up by 51% YoY, in 1H08,
averaging at US$20,100.

We
are not so confident about 2H08 outlook with LME tin price has fallen by 20%
from this year peak, still outperforming other metals, and are not sure how
long that is going to last. 


 
  
  Rpbn 
  
  
  1H08
  
  
  1H07
  
  
  Chg YoY
  
 
 
  
  Revenues 
  
  
  4,203
  
  
  4,078
  
  
  3%
  
 
 
  
  Gross profit 
  
  
  1,933
  
  
  1,477
  
  
  31%
  
 
 
  
  Operating profit 
  
  
  1,672
  
  
  1,271
  
  
  32%
  
 
 
  
  Pre tax profits 
  
  
  1,666
  
  
  1,187
  
  
  40%
  
 
 
  
  Net profits 
  
  
  1,112
  
  
  781
  
  
  42%
  
 
 
  
   
  
  
   
  
  
   
  
  
   
  
 
 
  
  Gross margin 
  
  
  46.0
  
  
  36.2
  
  
   
  
 
 
  
  Operating margin 
  
  
  39.8
  
  
  31.2
  
  
   
  
 
 
  
  Pretax margin 
  
  
  39.6
  
  
  29.1
  
  
   
  
 
 
  
  Net margin 
  
  
  26.5
  
  
  19.1
  
  
   
  
 


 

Best
regards, 

Wuddy Warsono, CFA

CLSA
Indonesia
| Institutional Sales

Phone:
(62-21) 573 9460

Toll
Free - HK: 800 938 000

Toll
Free - SIN: 800 621 1104

Toll
Free - US: 800 460 2581

[EMAIL PROTECTED] 






 













      


      

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