Dow 16K?
Commentary: Index could be at 16,000 by year end, Richard Band says
By Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch
Last update: 11:29 p.m. EDT March 27, 2008
ANNANDALE, Va. (MarketWatch) -- Richard Band is not someone who makes
outlandish predictions just to get headlines.
So I sat up and took notice earlier this week when he wrote to subscribers of
his Profitable Investing newsletter that the stock market was ready to "rocket
higher" in an "uptrend that could carry the blue chip indexes to all-time highs
by late 2008 or early 2009. Dow 16,000 here we come!"
The Hulbert Financial Digest (HFD) has been tracking Band's newsletter since
the beginning of 1991. Over the subsequent 17 years, his recommended portfolio
has been 35% less volatile than the overall stock market, as measured by
relative volatilities. To use a baseball analogy, this shows that Band is more
inclined to try to get a base hit than he is to attempt to belt a home run.
Band's conservative approach is crucial to properly interpreting his
newsletter's performance. According to the HFD, the newsletter's model
portfolios on average have produced an 8.6% annualized return since the
beginning of 1991, in contrast to 10.9% annualized for the Dow Jones Wilshire
5000 index (
13,255.14, -108.70, -0.8%) . But with only two thirds as much risk, we should
expect some below-market return.
SELANJUTNYA...Mohon nyari sendiri....Disclaimer ON
----- Pesan Asli ----
Dari: Garuda Hitam <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Terkirim: Sabtu, 29 Maret, 2008 07:14:41
Topik: Re: [obrolan-bandar] DJI Kembali ke Nomor Cantiknya 12345 = +43 poin
Gal salah nih pak AR?
SymbolNameLast TradeChangeRelated Info
^DJADOW JONES COMPOSITE INDEX4,171.41 Mar 28 28.88 (0.69%)Components, Chart,
More
^DJIDOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE IN12,216.40 Mar 28 86.06 (0.70%)Components,
Chart, More
^DJTDOW JONES TRANSPORTATION AVERAG4,754.10 Mar 28 24.56 (0.51%)Components,
Chart, More
^DJUDow Jones Utility Average473.43 Mar 28 4.54 (0.95%)Components, Chart, More
2008/3/28 abdulrahim abdulrahim <abdul.rahman. [EMAIL PROTECTED] com>:
Wah Senin bisa2 masih rally nih...
Ok deh, siplah
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