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Stocks look to strengthen gains after Bear Stearns drama
Bear Stearns bailout, dollar strength mark a key turn for markets
By Nick Godt, MarketWatch
Last update: 5:18 p.m. EDT March 21, 2008
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Stocks will enter the final week of the first quarter
with investors hoping to build on nascent gains scored after the near-collapse
and subsequent bailout of investment firm Bear Stearns.
Supportive actions by the Federal Reserve, a stronger dollar, and a plunge in
commodities prices all seemed to mark a key turn in the credit crisis gripping
markets.
"The Bear Stearns story was kind of like the turn-around everybody was waiting
for," said Paul Nolte, director of investments at Hinsdale Associates. "In any
crisis, things keep getting from bad to worse until something breaks. In this
crisis, something did break and that was Bear Stearns."
After a week rocked by even wilder swings than those witnessed since the start
of the year, stocks recovered to post their first weekly gains in four weeks,
even if the week was shortened by the Good Friday holiday.
----- Pesan Asli ----
Dari: Boy YR <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Terkirim: Jumat, 21 Maret, 2008 01:15:39
Topik: [obrolan-bandar] Reversal Signal is Getting Stronger. (Part 1) (revisi)
(KOREKSI, ada kesalahan lampiran file)
Ekonomi US adalah akar masalah dari penurunan (Corrective Wave) bursa global
belakangan ini.
Setelah hampir enam bulan mengalami pelemahan, Indeks DJIA -yang dianggap
banyak orang sebagai indikator ekonomi US- sudah menunjukkan gejala-gejala
penguatan (rebound).
Dari weekly chart (trend jangka panjang), walaupun belum ada konfirmasi
positif, terlihat kondisi DJIA dalam kondisi Oversold (TSI) dan mulai ada
sinyal perubahan trend (MACD). (lihat file gambar 20mar08_DJIA- weekly.gif)
Dari Daily Chart (trend jangka pendek/menengah) , sudah terlihat konfirmasi
positif akan penguatan (rebound) jangka pendek.menengah.
Perhatikan Grafik MACD Histogram dan True Strength Index (lihat gambar
20mar08_DJIA- daily_1.gif), dan juga Moving Average (MA) jangka pendek dan
menengah (MA10, 20, 50) sudah menunjukkan konsolidasi (limited downside) atau
perlambatan trend turun dan mulai membuat flatbase. (lihat gambar 20mar08_DJIA-
daily_1.gif).
Dan indikator ADX (DI+ dan DI-) sudah hampir mengkonfirmasi trend reversal.
(gambar tidak terlampir).
Kesimpulan untuk DJIA:
Dari beberapa indikator, sudah menunjukkan perubahan kearah positif untuk Trend
jangka pendek/menengah.
Tapi untuk Trend jangka panjang, masih belum dikonfirmasi oleh
indikator-indikator trend following.
Implikasi untuk Bursa Global, terutama IDX market:
(BERSAMBUNG)
Best Regards,
Boy YR
________________________________________________________
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