Dear Senior & Sobat OB, apakah market Amrik PREDICTABLE ? YUK kita 
lihat Selasa s/d Kamis malam... Superboss, Trader, Spekulan Amrik in 
action....Mungkin ada sobat OB yang udah "cuci-gudang" atau "naik 
gunung untuk bertapa"... ya, termasuk saya newbie tua & kemarin 
minum secangkir kopi + rokok seharga 2 jt gara2 TINS kejual cepet. 

Salam Hangat...selalu

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "Halim Mintareja" 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> Sekedar menambahkan.
> 
> Kalau mau kita bisa melihat posisi put/call ratio
> 
> Pengamatan saya sih...Bozz sedang pelit sama trader di dow. Posisi 
put/call
> dilawan terus
> 
> edan
> 
> On Sun, Feb 24, 2008 at 2:13 PM, vivid trader <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 
wrote:
> 
> >  Pengamatan yg luar biasa!!!!
> >
> > 2008/2/24, Hendra Santosa <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>:
> > >
> > >   Cuma sebagian dari recent rumor, boleh dianggap sebagai 
humor saja
> > >
> > > s&p 1345 <- level ini dibuat sejak kira-kira Jan 24-2008
> > > Suspected: superboss sedang bersusah payah melawan arah 
market, seru
> > > juga
> > >
> > > 1. Ketika tembus level 1345, when future went below the level, 
Feb 22,
> > > U.S. revised its producer price index for December and 
November ->
> > > future
> > > went up again
> > >
> > > http://malaysia.news.yahoo.com/rtrs/20080222/tbs-markets-
europe-stocks-flat-7318940.html
> > > -> kalau perlu data2 sebelumnya direvisi semua aja deh :p
> > >
> > > 2. Ketika akan tembus level 1345, retail sales -> ada faktor 
kenaikan
> > > harga minyak disana :p jadi bagus dong angkanya :) -> 
dilakukan pas di
> > > angka 1345 heh :p superboss pasti ahli financial engineering 
dung
> > >
> > > 3. Ketika support tertembus lagi, 22 Feb
> > > NEW YORK, Feb 22 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks rallied late on 
Friday on news
> > > that banks were near an agreement to bail out bond insurer 
Ambac
> > > Financial, a deal that could prevent further damage to the 
banking
> > > industry and credit markets.
> > > -> pig, rumor terus tiap hari kalau perlu, sayangnya rumor di 
investor
> > > indonesia kok kurang hebat ya hehe
> > >
> > > 4. Feb 20: Saat berita inflasi meningkat,
> > > Data show inflation remains hot in January Energy, food as 
well as many
> > > underlying core prices rise
> > > Feb 20: U.S. stocks shed declines as computer buy programs 
kick in
> > > NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- U.S. stocks on Wednesday reversed 
course,
> > > climbing higher after earlier losses fueled by data 
illustrating
> > > rising...
> > > -> "computer buy programs kick in" pun terjadi berkali-kali 
saat bad
> > > news
> > >
> > > Kalau mau tembus level support ini, apapun dilakukan oleh 
superboss ya,
> > > financial engineering, rumor engineering, computer buying 
engineering,
> > > dll
> > >
> > > 5. 150-160 B stimulus plan -> to make a floor ???
> > > US banks have been quietly borrowing massive amounts of money 
from the
> > > Federal Reserve in recent weeks by using a new measure the Fed
> > > introduced
> > > two months ago to help ease the credit crunch. The use of the 
Fed's Term
> > > Auction Facility, which allows banks to borrow at relatively 
attractive
> > > rates against a wider range of their assets than previously 
permitted,
> > > saw
> > > borrowing of nearly $50bn of one-month funds from the Fed by
> > > mid-February.
> > > => The 50$bn dan mid Feb -> bagian dari 150B stimulus plan -> 
bagian
> > > dari
> > > ijin mencetak 150 B$, liability bagi2 uang diimbangi dengan 
asset
> > > pembelian share dari equity market, begitukah? Kalau money 
outflows dari
> > > equity sekitar 7B per bulan -> cukup untuk 1 tahun intervensi 
equity
> > > plus
> > > bagi2 duit ke bank2 lewat auction, jadi semua happy, sesuai 
dengan
> > > rencana
> > > stimulus plan untuk 1 th.
> > > Inflasi th 2009? urusan next president lah; melihat hubungan 
antara
> > > president baru dan gerak djia, beberapa kali selalu 
terjadi "musibah" di
> > > tahun2 awal presiden baru.
> > > Sekali lagi ini cuma rumor.
> > >
> > > 6. Mc Cain - Jan 25, 2008
> > > REP. PAUL: My—my question is for Senator McCain. This is an 
economic
> > > question that I wanted to ask. It has to do with the 
President's
> > > Working Group on Financial Markets. I'd like to know what your 
opinion
> > > is of this and whether you would keep it in place, what their 
role
> > > would be, or you would get rid of this group. And if you kept 
the
> > > group, would you make sure we would see some sunlight and know 
what
> > > they're doing and how they're being involved in our markets?
> > > SEN. MCCAIN: Well, obviously we'd like to see more sunshine. 
But I as
> > > president, as every other president, rely primarily on my 
secretary of
> > > the Treasury, on my Council of Economic Advisers, on the head 
of that.
> > > I would rely on the circle that I have developed over many 
years of
> > > people like Jack Kemp, Phil Gramm, Warren Rudman, Pete 
Peterson, and
> > > the Concord Group. I have a process of leadership, Ron, that 
is sort
> > > of an inclusive one that I have developed, a circle of 
acquaintances
> > > and people that are supporters and friends of mine who I have 
worked
> > > with for many, many years.
> > > REP. PAUL: So you'd get rid of the group?
> > > SEN. MCCAIN: You remember back in 1982 when Phil Gramm—Phil 
Gramm and
> > > Warren Rudman and Gramm-Latta and all of those people got the 
first
> > > real tax cuts done, the real—first real restraints in taxes. I 
was
> > > there. You were there. And I rely on those people to a much 
larger
> > > degree than any, quote, "formal" organization, although the 
secretary
> > > of Treasury is obviously one of the key and important posts 
that I
> > > would have.
> > >
> > > 6. Superboss suka angka2 cantik loh, 12345, 1345, 11011, dll :p
> > > The rally since July 2006 has been nothing short of 
spectacular. A lot
> > > of
> > > money can be made on rallies, and it behooves us to be able to 
identify
> > > them, especially the large ones, as early as possible. One 
tool we have
> > > in
> > > our arsenal is the S&P 500/DJIA Purchasing Power Indicator. 
Back on July
> > > 19th, 2006, this indicator generated a "buy" signal with the 
Dow
> > > Industrials at 11,011. This indicator has relentlessly 
remained on a
> > > "buy"
> > > signal throughout the subsequent seven months, and remains so 
today.
> > > This
> > > indicator has ignored fake-outs, feigns, and fears from July 
2006
> > > through
> > > today, not generating a "sell" signal once. It caught a 1,671 
point,
> > > 15.1
> > > percent rally in the Dow Industrials.
> > >
> > >
> >
> >
> > --
> > http://www.vividtrader.blogspot.com 
> >
>


Kirim email ke