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UPDATE 5-Demand worries knock down industrial metals Mon Nov 19, 2007 3:46pm
EST

 (Updates with New York closing copper prices, paragraph 4)

 By Anna Stablum and Humeyra Pamuk

 LONDON, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Weaker demand for metals and gathering gloom
about the world economy hit industrial metals prices on Monday, cutting lead by
almost 9 percent and zinc to a 20-month low.

 Ongoing worries about a credit crisis weighed on world stock markets,
sending major U.S. stocks indexes down more than 1 percent while European
shares lost 2 percent. Mining stocks like Rio Tinto (RIO.L: Quote
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/quote?symbol=RIO.L>, Profile
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=RIO.L>, Research
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/researchReports?symbol=RIO.L>) and BHP
Billiton
(BLT.L: Quote <http://www.reuters.com/stocks/quote?symbol=BLT.L>,
Profile <http://www.reuters.com/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=BLT.L>,
Research <http://www.reuters.com/stocks/researchReports?symbol=BLT.L>)
fell up to 6 percent.

 Copper for delivery in three months on the London Metal Exchange
(MCU3: Quote <http://www.reuters.com/stocks/quote?symbol=MCU3>,
Profile <http://www.reuters.com/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=MCU3>,
Research <http://www.reuters.com/stocks/researchReports?symbol=MCU3>)
slipped to $6,795 per tonne, its lowest level since August 17 and down $245
from Friday's close.

 At the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, copper for
December delivery (HGZ7: Quote
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/quote?symbol=HGZ7>, Profile
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=HGZ7>, Research
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/researchReports?symbol=HGZ7>) shed
17.80 cents, or 5.6 percent of its value, to
settle at $2.9835 a lb, after dealing from a session peak of $3.18 to a low of
$2.9760, its weakest level since March 28.

 Worries about the impact of the credit crisis were heightened when Goldman
Sachs cut Citigroup (C.N: Quote
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/quote?symbol=C.N>, Profile
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=C.N>, Research
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/researchReports?symbol=C.N>) to "sell"
and said the bank may have to write off $15
billion over the next two quarters as mortgage losses reduce earnings.
[ID:nN19100738].

 "People are not too eager to buy with all these macro concerns," analyst
Robin Bhar at UBS said. "From a consumption point of view we really seem to be
slowing quite rapidly on the back of slowing global growth."

 Copper lost some 20 percent since the start of October as weak U.S.
economic data and lurking problems in credit markets haunted base metals, which
have been unable to take advantage of advances in other commodities or a weaker
dollar.

 Demand from China, which many analysts look to to compensate for a possible
slowdown in the United States, have not been as robust as expected.

 "Everybody is expecting China to take up the running from a slowdown in the
U.S.," analyst William Adams at BaseMetals.com said, adding that any attempts
by the Chinese authorities to curb its overheated economy could be negative for
metals demand.

 Inventory levels have risen in many of the metals over the past few months,
indicating the abundance of the material. In copper, stocks in LME warehouses
rose another 1,275 tonnes to 180,925 tonnes, equalling more than 3.5 days of
global consumption and nearly double the levels seen in mid-July.

 ZINC AT 20-MONTH LOW

 Worries about oversupply and tax changes sent zinc prices to their lowest
since March 2006. Three-months zinc (MZN3: Quote
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/quote?symbol=MZN3>, Profile
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=MZN3>, Research
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/researchReports?symbol=MZN3>) fell to
$2,310 per tonne, its lowest
since March 16, 2006, and closed at $2,355, down $170 or 6.7 percent.

 China is likely to remove a 5 percent tax rebate on exports of
super-high-grade refined zinc from January, while zinc output in the country
rose 19 percent in the first nine months in 2007.

 "Chinese market participants are concerned that a possible 5-10 percent tax
on Shanghai exports from January will lead to substantial oversupply in the
domestic market," Barclays Capital said in a research note.

 Lead was the biggest loser among all metals, falling almost 9 percent as
funds liquidated long positions, sending the metal as low as $3,025 per tonne.
It closed at $3,040/3,050 per tonne, down $275 or 8.3 percent from Friday.

 "Ivernia's announcement that it is 'confident' of a restart to shipments
from the large lead-only Magellan mine in Q1 '08 will have added to the
negative sentiment," Barclays said.

 Ivernia's (IVW.TO: Quote
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/quote?symbol=IVW.TO>, Profile
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=IVW.TO>, Research
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/researchReports?symbol=IVW.TO>)
Magellan lead mine, which accounts for about 3 percent
of world output, was shut after exports were halted in March due to bird deaths
near the port of Esperance possibly due to lead poisoning.

 In addition, China's move to curb its overheated economy dampened
sentiment. Chinese authorities are putting the brakes on bank lending to try to
curb booming investments threatening to overheat one of the world's largest
economies.

 "They are trying to slow down the rapid expansion which could become
inflationary and any rein on investments could slow demand for metals," Adams
at BaseMetals.com said.
 Nickel (MNI3: Quote
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/quote?symbol=MNI3>, Profile
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=MNI3>, Research
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/researchReports?symbol=MNI3>) tumbled
to $30,200, down $1,050 from Friday while aluminium
(MAL3: Quote <http://www.reuters.com/stocks/quote?symbol=MAL3>,
Profile <http://www.reuters.com/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=MAL3>,
Research <http://www.reuters.com/stocks/researchReports?symbol=MAL3>)
lost $41 to $2,509 and tin (MSN3: Quote
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/quote?symbol=MSN3>, Profile
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/companyProfile?symbol=MSN3>, Research
<http://www.reuters.com/stocks/researchReports?symbol=MSN3>) fell $650
to $16,750/16,800.
 Metal Prices at 2026 GMT
 Metal            Last      Change  Pct Move   End 2006   Ytd Pct

                                                         move
 LME Cu        6680.00     -360.00     -5.11    6330.00      5.53
 SHFE Cu*     57220.00     -900.00     -1.55   60080.00     -4.76
 LME Alum      2508.00      -42.00     -1.65    2805.00    -10.59
 SHFE Alu*    18170.00        0.00     +0.00   20550.00    -11.58
 COMEX Cu**     298.05      -17.55     -5.56     287.10      3.81
 LME Zinc      2350.00     -240.00     -9.27    4230.00    -44.44
 SHFE Zinc*   18920.00    -1180.00     -5.87   28915.00    -34.57
 LME Nick     29900.00    -1350.00     -4.32   33325.00    -10.28
 LME Lead      3035.00     -280.00     -8.45    1670.00     81.74
 LME Tin      16750.00     -650.00     -3.74   11510.00     45.53 ** 1st
contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contact month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN SHFE
ZN began trading on 26/3/07
  (Editing by David Gregorio)

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and the Reuters sphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the
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      Reuters journalists are subject to the Reuters Editorial Handbook
which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests.


On Nov 20, 2007 8:59 AM, Eka Suwandana <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> Nickel sudah 13.xx$/lb cost pasti naik utk ANTM!
>
> Utk INCO biar aman jual dulu cash out sudah wajar
> diatas 100rb. Percuma kejar deviden besok turun lagi
> sesudah cum!
> By the way saya sudah diatas 60% cash, tinggal Medc
> dan apex !
> Biar kita tunggu dibawah! Good Luck
>
>
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> + + + + +
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