Historycologi analysis:
Senin, 22 Oktober: Grup Brigade 49 dari Divisi 23 berangkat ke Surabaya. NU mengumumkan fatwa perang jihad mendukung proklamasi Republik Indonesia. Eks tawanan perang NICA berangkat ke Surabaya. --> Persiapan perang, IHSG merah. Selasa, 23 Oktober: Laskar-laskar dari luar Surabaya mulai tiba. --> IHSG hijau. Rabu, 24 Oktober: Gak ada berita sejarah --> IHSG merah / hijau tipis Kamis, 25 Oktober: Grup Brigade 49 tiba di Surabaya, dipimpin Brigadir Mallaby, pasukan Inggris jalan-jalan dan shopping di Surabaya. Kubu Brigade 49 di Darmo dengan 24 artileri. --> IHSG merah Jumat, 26 Oktober: Posisi-posisi Inggris yang tersebar diganggu oleh TKR dan Laskar. --> IHSG hijau tipis Sabtu, 27 Oktober: Divisi 23 menyebar selebaran ultimatum dengan pesawat dari Jakarta agar rakyat menyerahkan senjata atau ditembak. Komponen-komponen Brigade 49 terkepung. --> IHSG hijau royo-royo, sayangnya tutup Minggu, 28 Oktober: Brigade 49 diserang habis-habisan oleh TKR dan Laskar --> IHSG hijau royo-royo, sayangnya tutup Senin, 29 Oktober: Komponen Brigade 49 terancam dikalahkan oleh TKR dan Laskar, Sukarno & Hatta datang ke Surabaya atas permintaan Sekutu untuk mengadakan genjatan senjata --> IHSG hijau Selasa, 30 Oktober: Brigadir Mallaby tewas oleh remaja Surabaya pada sebuah insiden di depan gedung internationale. Sisa Brigade 49 di evakuasi ke pelabuhan dengan truk TKR --> IHSG hijau royo-royo Historicologi JSX = menghubungkan peristiwa sejarah dengan indeks JSX masa kini. Hehehe. _____ From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Lee Cwan Yeuw Sent: 23 Oktober 2007 9:57 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] The history of OCtober ...crash A stock market crash is a sudden dramatic decline of stock <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stock> prices across a significant cross-section of a stock <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stock_market> market. Crashes are driven by panic as much as by underlying economic factors. They often follow speculative <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Speculation> stock market bubbles <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stock_market_bubble> . Stock market crashes are social phenomena <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_phenomenon> where external economic events combine with crowd behaviour <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crowd_psychology> and psychology in a positive <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Positive_feedback> feedback loop where selling by some market participants drives more market participants to sell. Generally speaking, crashes usually occur under the following conditions: a prolonged period of rising stock prices and excessive economic optimism <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Optimism> , a market where P/E <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P/E> ratios exceed long-term averages, and extensive use of margin <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin> debt and leverage by market participants. There is no numerically-specific definition of a crash but the term commonly applies to steep double-digit percentage losses in a stock market index <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stock_market_index> over a period of several days. Crashes are often distinguished from bear <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bear_markets> markets by panic selling and abrupt, dramatic price declines. Bear markets are periods of declining stock market prices that are measured in months or years. While crashes are often associated with bear markets, they do not necessarily go hand in hand. The crash of 1987 for example did not lead to a bear market. Likewise, the Japanese Nikkei <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nikkei_225> bear market of the 1990s occurred over several years without any notable crashes. 28 October 1997 U.S. stock markets were widely expected to open lower for October 28 due to the Asian markets falling even more than they did on the 27th. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index declined a staggering 14%. The Nikkei fell 4.26%. The U.S. stock markets initially continued their drop from the 27th, but abruptly ended, and began to climb. The Dow was down as much as 186 points by 10:06 A.M., and soon thereafter a rally started. By 10:20 A.M. The Dow was down only 25 points. Five minutes later, the Dow roared back into positive territory and was up 50 points. Nine minutes later at 10:34 A.M., the Dow rallied to a triple-digit advance up 137.27 points. Stock prices continued to soar in choppy trading throughout the rest of the day. At the close of trading at 4:00 P.M., the Dow finished with a record 337.17 point gain (recovering 61% of the previous day's loss) to close at 7,498.32. The market restored $384 billion of the $663 billion in market capitalization lost the previous day. One billion shares were traded on the New York Stock Exchange <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_Stock_Exchange> for the first time ever, with a volume of 1.21 billion shares. In 2006 <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006> terms, this amount is considered very light. The NASDAQ Composite also made a record gain on record volume, gaining 67.93 to 1,603.02. The NASDAQ also saw its first-ever one-billion share day with 1.23 billion shares changing hands. Save your money...before you will be TRAPPED
