Kalo sampe selasa DJ jeblok abis, baru pasti turun. ----- Original Message ----- From: HS To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com Sent: Thursday, September 13, 2007 6:05 PM Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] FED akan turun !!! Taruhan aja yuk..?
Saya setuju kalo fed nggak turun akan bgs utk jangka panjang. kalo fed turun akan bgs dlm jangka pendek dan jelek utk jangka panjang. Perkiraan saya sendiri fed akan naik atau minimal tetap karena walau kep ini tdk populis, fed kan pasti pikir panjang utk negaranya, bkn utk jangka pendek, kec kalo ditunggangi sec politis utk meningkatkan citra pemerintah skrg dan menghancurkan presiden berikutnya. --- Eka Suwandana <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Sepertinya the fed fund rate tetap! Saya lagi > taruhan > sama teman. Saya pikir pertama market DJ akan turun > dulu karena kecewa. Utk IHSG juga sama cuma kalo > turun > IHSG saya langsung beli cicil. > > Kalo baca artikel jeremy siegel justru kalo the fed > nggak turun akan bagus utk saham jangka panjang. > > > > --- HS <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > > kita taruhan aja yuk, siapa aja yg pegang NAIK, > > siapa > > yg TURUN, siapa yg TETAP? > > > > > > > > --- JsxTrader <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > > Yang bagus mungkin ngga naik ngga turun kali > Pak. > > > kira2 ada ngga opsi > > > lain selain naikin atau turunin fed rate? > > > > > > -----Original Message----- > > > From: James Arifin > [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > > > Sent: 12 September 2007 11:35 > > > To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com > > > Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] FED akan turun !!! > > > > > > nggak ada rumus mana yg bagus dong kl gitu, naik > > > salah turun salah. > > > > > > Kalau FED naik maka inflasi turun, defisit > > > perdagangan mungkin mengecil > > > tp CPI akan turun, dilanjut PPP turun trus > indeks > > > ikutan bearish lagi > > > karena laporan keuangan jelek ... menurut saya > > dari > > > historical tiap Fed > > > rate turun indeks bullish lihat aja waktu FED > > hingga > > > 1% memangnya US > > > langsung collapse? Nggak lah, market has its own > > > movement > > > > > > > > > On 9/12/07, HS <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > > > iya, saham akan rally sementara. Tapi > fundamental > > > ekonomi AS tdk bgs, kalo fed rate dipaksa turun, > > > inflasi makin tdk terkendali, defisit > perdagangan > > > makin lebar, nilai tukar (khususnya thd Euro dan > > > Yen) > > > makin terdepresiasi, defisit anggaran naik, > > Akhirnya > > > Fed tarik rem tangan! Trus pasar bearish.. > > > > > > --- Eka Suwandana < [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > <mailto:esuwandan%40yahoo.com> > > > > wrote: > > > > > > > Fed turun saham rally pak HS! Udah rumus itu. > > > > > > > > James Arifin < [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > <mailto:james.arifin%40gmail.com> > wrote: > > > > Maksud saya kalau menurut HS Fed rate turun > maka > > > US > > > > ambruk, sekarang kalau Fed rate nggak turun > juga > > > > ambruk maka .. what choice is left? No change > > > isn't > > > > it > > > > > > > > On 9/11/07, Eka Suwandana <[EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > <mailto:esuwandan%40yahoo.com> > > > > > wrote: ambruk kayaknya! > > > > > > > > James Arifin <[EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > <mailto:james.arifin%40gmail.com> > > > > wrote: > > > > terus kl fed rate nggak turun, apa US juga > akan > > > > ambruk juga ... heheheh > > > > > > > > On 9/11/07, HS <[EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > <mailto:handokosatria%40yahoo.com> > wrote: > > > > > > > > iya naik dulu tapi fatamorgana, abs itu > amblas.. > > > > > > > > --- Eka Suwandana <[EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > <mailto:esuwandan%40yahoo.com> > > > > wrote: > > > > > > > > > The fed rate turun pastilah saham naik! > > > > > --- HS <[EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > <mailto:handokosatria%40yahoo.com> > > > > wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > kalo sampe fed rate turun, cuci gudang aja > > > > sambil > > > > > > liatin us ambruk > > > > > > > > > > > > --- "Siswantoro, Dodik" < > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > <mailto:kidod25%40yahoo.com> > > > > > wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > > > Kalau Ben emang basis akademisi, ia akan > > > > > turunkan > > > > > > > rate > > > > > > > tapi emang turun tipis sih: > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 1. Menurut Futures contract > diestimasikan > > > jadi > > > > > > > > > > 5,15% > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 2. Menurut Based on 30-day Eurodollar > > > futures > > > > > > traded > > > > > > > on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange > > > > diestimasikan > > > > > > > jadi > > > > > > > 5,14% > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Kira2 bisa ga FED cuma turun 10 basis > > > point?? > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > __________________________________________________________ > > > > > > > > > > Got a little couch potato? > > > > > > > Check out fun summer activities for > kids. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > http://search.yahoo.com/search?fr=oni_on_mail > > > > > > <http://search.yahoo.com/search?fr=oni_on_mail&p=summer+activities+for+k > > > ids&cs=bz> &p=summer+activities+for+kids&cs=bz > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > __________________________________________________________ > > > > > > > > > > Need a vacation? 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