Sebenar-nya, rule Bill William untuk hanya trade above the Alligator adalah penjabaran dari Rule Art of War:
*He who knows when he can fight and when he cannot, will be victorious. > * Kenapa Bill mensyaratkan untuk selalu trade above Alligator (when can fight), dan jangan trade below alligator (when cannot fight) ? Because... *T**he good fighters of old first put themselves beyond the possibility of > defeat, and then waited for an opportunity of defeating the enemy.* > Disaat harga diatas Alligator, *trend sudah terbentuk*. Secara statistik, kalau kita trade sejajar dengan trend (tidak melawan trend) maka probabilitas loss (possibility of defeat) lebih kecil. You've put yourself beyond the possibility of defeat, karena posisi kita *tidak berlawanan dengan general market* (or BOZZ). Itulah sebab-nya dikatakan "trend is your friend, go along with your friend". Disinilah ujian disiplin untuk sabar menunggu trend terbentuk, diuji. Setelah trend terbentuk, tinggal mencari peluang cuan (waited for an opportunity of defeating the enemy). Peluang selalu akan ada selama bursa masih berdiri. > *Opportunities multiply as they are seized. > * Gitu kesimpulan ane. Maaf kalo salah, maklum masih kudu banyak belajar. Salam, On Thu, Oct 22, 2009 at 8:15 PM, jsx_consultant < jsx-consult...@centrin.net.id> wrote: > Today's Lesson > > - We break Bill's Rule no 1: Don't trade below the Alligator > - We shoud EXIT when BUMI cross DOWN the Alligator at the > PINK circle (2950) and now close at 2650 (Save 300 OR 10%) > - Bill's method is SIMPLE and CLEAR but we break the MOST > important rule. > > http://www.obrolanbandar.com/piwbumi.png > > >
