Embah, Grafik perbanding index Bombay, jkt, shanghai coba timeframenya jadi 5 
th, jadi lebih menarik! Sepertinya Indonesia tak kalah menariknya dengan India. 
Itupun India udah lari 17% sehari saja.

salam,


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "jsx_consultant" <jsx-consult...@...> 
wrote:
>
> Embah mengambil segi positif dari negatifnya tulisan Mr Dent:
> 
> - Go for BOMBAY SENSEX, Invest di India kalo mau untung lebih
>   gede dibanding Jakarta.
> - Invest disector property India.
> 
> Memang embah juga denger udah ada perusahaan Indonesia yg
> bikin bisnis property di India, termasuk suatu Mall di 
> Bandung yg jatoh dan bikin property di India. 
> 
> Coba liat comparison India dan China, China udah engga se Sexy
> puser orang India.
> 
> http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EJKSE&t=my&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=%5EBSESN,000001.SS
> 
> 
> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "Gandhi Hadiwitanto" <ricky.wakiman@> 
> wrote:
> >
> > There's worse to come for the economy
> > 
> > By Fleur Leyden
> > 
> > AUSTRALIA'S sharemarket will halve in value, house prices will slump as 
> > much as 40 per cent and unemployment will climb to 10 per cent. 
> > 
> > That's the bold prediction from economic forecaster Harry Dent, who says a 
> > bigger crash is ahead for the global economy within the next two years. 
> > 
> > And while Australia's strong financial system, links to China and young 
> > working population have cushioned the nation from the economic turmoil so 
> > far, Mr Dent says smart investors are cashing up in preparation for "the 
> > Mother of all depressions", The Sunday Mail reports.
> > 
> > "When you have to deleverage a major bubble in stocks and housing and 
> > commodities ... it doesn't just get over with in one year with a nice 
> > stimulus program," he says. 
> > 
> > Mr Dent, who predicted Japan's 1990s recession and the present economic 
> > crisis, yesterday began an Australian speaking tour in Brisbane. 
> > 
> > He says a "perfect storm" is brewing where a peak in spending by baby 
> > boomers will collide with the global commodity bubble to "leave behind the 
> > next great crash". 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > Although Australia's All Ordinaries Index may peak at between 4500 and 5000 
> > points by the end of this year, he says a crash in about 2011 will see it 
> > slump to about 2000 points. 
> > 
> > He says our house prices are "among the most overvalued in the world" and 
> > will backtrack by as much as 40 per cent while unemployment – now at 5.7 
> > per cent – will hit double digits. 
> > 
> > "I would say Australia is not paying close enough attention to the 
> > worldwide housing bubble and banking crisis," he says. 
> > 
> > Mr Dent scoffs at a BIS Shrapnel report, issued this week, that said home 
> > values would rise by as much as 20 per cent over the next three years. 
> > 
> > "Look at Japan to see what happens when a generational trend finally slows 
> > your economy and a housing bubble bursts. Housing peaked in 1991 in Japan 
> > and is still down over 60 per cent from the peak 18 years later." 
> > 
> > He believes the next boom will begin to unfold in 2023, when India will 
> > take over from China as the world's growth powerhouse. 
> > 
> > "If I was Australian businesses and government I'd say, 'OK, China's our 
> > best customer now but we need to be cultivating India'," Mr Dent says. 
> > 
> > "India is the one large country – that isn't dependent on just commodity 
> > cycles for exports – that could grow dramatically and urbanise." 
> > 
> > He says India's economic strength will be underpinned by its youthful 
> > population – something that will also help make Australia one of the most 
> > resilient developed economies throughout the next two decades. 
> > 
> > Most of the affluent world is not having enough children to support their 
> > ageing population, he says. 
> > 
> > Japan has the oldest population in the world, followed by Italy. 
> > 
> > However, Australia's immigration policy has ensured the local economy has 
> > stayed refreshed by young, skilled workers from overseas, helping drive 
> > innovation to "take the economy to new heights". 
> > 
> > "Your demographics do not turn down nearly as much as Europe and the United 
> > States and Japan's did and your banking system didn't go nuts," Mr Dent 
> > says. "You will fare better but you won't come out of this unscathed."
> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
> >
>


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