W Shape = double bottom. Pola yang dinantikan banyak orang.
----- Original Message ----- From: Pingin Untung To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com Sent: Saturday, May 23, 2009 9:35 PM Subject: [ob] W-Shaped recovery (minta pendapat Embah dan Prof. JT) Berita ini saya baca dari http://www.cnbc.com/id/30872910. Bagaimana menurut Embah dan Prof. JT, apakah analisa Dean Curnutt ini benar dan apa dampaknya ke IHSG kita? Dan apa sebaiknya langkah yg harus diambil para OBers terutama yg masih newbies kayak saya ini. Thanks so much. Recovery Will be W-Shaped in Short Term: Expert Published: Friday, 22 May 2009 | 9:19 AM ET Text Size By: JeeYeon Park Dean Curnutt, president of Macro Risk Advisors and Alec Young, equity strategist at Standard & Poor’s said they are remaining cautious in the near-term. “People want to see if last week's pullback holds,” Young told CNBC. “I think we’re going to break here and enter into a full-blown correction…I think [the recovery is] going to be weaker than expected and that’s going to lead analysts to start cutting 2010 earnings expectations. ” He said the risk-reward for stocks isn’t as compelling as it was a couple of months ago and told investors that there is not a lot to play in the stock market. (Watch the video for the full interview...) a.. Pros Say: Expect a 10-15% Pullback b.. S&P to Reach 1,100 by Year-End: Strategist Curnutt said that continued weakness in jobs is a concern, market forecasts are too optimistic and the rally will ultimately fail. “I see a ‘W-shaped’ recovery in the short term,” he said. As a long-term investment strategy, Curnutt advised investors to consider put options on the S&P 500 and gold [...@gc.1 958.5 7.70 (+0.81%) ] . “Put options on the S&P 500 are fundamentally cheap,” he said. “[And] we think the price of owning gold in the options market is really under-priced…If [gold] moves, it’s going to move very quickly to the upside.” a.. Track Gold and Precious Metals Here b.. Gold and Gold Stocks Will Protect You: Planner Disclosure: No immediate information was available for Curnutt or Young.
