For DJ I accept you challenge, EL. DJ will go < 6k in next 12 months.
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "Elaine Sui" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
wrote:
>
> *Blah. BUY more! The statement below was valid only if been stated
a year
> ago. Next year, when DJI breaks above 11k, you won't be so sure
anymore
> about your 'release'... ha ha ha... Market goes up and down, so
volatile you
> would miss the TREND. Sure, the economy stumbles, but It won't
fall. Smart
> people, those like Buffett and Soros, would see this as a rare good
> opportunity. I see it too, so I'll let you guys know. Hell, IDX
shouldn't
> fall below 2k if there' was no BUMI around.
>
> Now I challenge you, IDX will be well above 1800 over the next 6
months, DJI
> above 11K, crude oil around $70 - $90.
>
> Elaine**
> *
> On Mon, Dec 1, 2008 at 10:27 AM, Ratu Sima <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> > Embah, let Aimee clarify
> >
> > I am inspired to say this as I smell a major misapprehension. I
need
> > to stay poised.
> > You can adopt it as the different version of the global market
watch.
> > Let me exclaim it out loud. "THE MARKET IS STILL BEARISH".
> > Temporary positive correction will keep on quite sometime, though.
> > At the beginning of New Year 2009, rebalancing portfolio is STILL
> > indispensable.
> >
> > HOWEVER, the quandary that we will encounter next year is much
> > harder.
> >
> > Let me verify plainly as follows:
> >
> > 1. Oil price still remains volatile. Despite Iran's challenge
> > of its resistance power, Arab's King's recall of $75 and OPEC's
> > breathless effort to establish supply & demand equilibrium, the
> > sudden oil price increase is NOT likely to happen. This is due to
> > imperfect timing and momentum. In addition, the speculators who
have
> > bubbled oil to $147 are still bearish-minded as well. How do they
> > work? Oil & commodities speculators exploit `buy & roll-over
> > strategy' in their trading tactic. It is also attributed to the
> > market failure factor. THIS confirms how oil had bubbled in a
> > stunningly way up to July 08. After successfully READING the
> > recession scenario and substantial demand's decline, they cashed
> > out, quit, and oil price crashed. Don't also forget that oil price
> > movement is in line with GDP and stock market's growth. Both Iran
> > and Arab have stubbornly-smart brain. Not only they produce oil
> > massively but they have also hoarded it in their expensively-
rented
> > tankers. I giggled aloud when the President proclaimed that IRAN
is
> > safe even if the oil price goes down to $5. Regrettably, oil is
the
> > pilot for commodities, energy and agriculture sector. If oil price
> > is still insecure, be extra cautious and alert at these LINES UP.
> > ESPECIALLY if the company is seriously fundamentally rotten,
> > indebted and defaulted.
> > 2. The credit bubble in the Wonderland far away there is still
> > ACCUTE. A few people can really comprehend how the credit bubble
has
> > brought the Wonderland into a state of coma. The bad magic of
credit
> > bubble lies on its fractional-reserve system. With easy example of
> > reserve ratio 9 : 1, the deposit of $10.000 will create loan money
> > of $90.000 by commercial fin parties. The ratio can be made in
20 :
> > 1 or even 30 : 1. New dogma was then FALSELY created, MONEY =
> > CREDIT, CREDIT = MONEY. The arrangement depends on the negotiation
> > and charter's agreement. This has precipitated not only on
> > individual level, but the vast majority on business and industrial
> > sectors in the Wonderland (learn from Washington Mutual's case).
Not
> > only at banking, housing, financial, consumption and manufacturing
> > sector, but prevalently at all sectors. This has triggered
European
> > countries urge back the world to return to Bretton Woods. To fix
> > this avalanche, the Omama administration (the president of the
> > Wonderland & his economic team) needs long time & process.
> > 3. As my last posting was undeniably true, please now enjoy the
> > moment of temporary up. This will consume sometime before the
Lunar
> > Eclipse (Quarter 2 - 3 of 2009). The Lunar Eclipse will be
> > signalized by the designation of THE 5th ELLIOT WOLVE'S MIDNIGHT
> > BARK (read: Elliot Wave 5) on the frontier which will bring the
LORD
> > DOW with the hang rope 6666.
> >
> > To conclude, this is my new single release: `Welcome Hang Rope
6666
> > 2009'.
> >
> > And with Indonesia:
> >
> > I do PRAY that the GOI could anticipate and handle the problem
from
> > EXTERNAL FACTORS while decisively going on cleaning up its
internal
> > problems. Please work round the clock and predict the
unpredictable.
> > Credit & financial derivative problems in the Wonderland contains
> > invaluable lessons for our emerging market. We don't need to copy
> > their failure. The system has failed. Tightening credit granting
and
> > monetary system, clean & strict due diligence, impartial law
> > enforcement, domestic economy enhancement as the backbone, and the
> > breeding of productivity as well as hard working culture to the
> > people can help save the next generation from similar case
collapse.
> >
> > Aimee strongly recalls money market depositors TO AVOID mass
> > withdrawal and rush in any manner and in any time next year to
> > secure the republic from 98's nightmare again. PLEASE, WITH ALL
DUE
> > RESPECT.
> >
> > They need to maintain reserve ratio and adequate capitalization to
> > carry on the country's financial tough challenge ahead. At least
the
> > intellectual pretty minister and the calm governor have been
really
> > working hard on this.
> >
> > And KPK, chase for more! I will contribute to deploy Kalingga's
> > Special Unit Forces (KSUF) if you need some back up to restore the
> > corruption in your republic.
> >
> > And IDX
..
> >
> > GBU, Indonesia. Amen.
> >
> > RATU SIMA,
> > THE UNITED KINGDOM OF KALINGGA, JAVA.
> >
> > F-Off Disclaimer!
> >
> >
> >
>