untuk meizal, tks atas tanggapannya.
tapi aku makin menggelitik, masa sih engga bisa? apa yang ngga bisa di dunia
ini? dulu ketika hanya mata uang dolar yang kuat, tidak ada satupun yang
menyatakan akan ada mata uang yang akan menyaingi, tapi kemudian lahir EURO.
Begitu juga ketika orang Amerika sendiri engga yakin Obama naik, eh tiba-tiba
naik.
Itu siih tinggal bagaimana negara-negara di luar Amerika membuat persepsi bahwa
dolar AS sudah tidak layak lagi dijadikan komoditas satu-satunya untuk
transaksi global. Karena risiko begitu besar. Anda bayangkan jika CIna guyur
dolar ke pasar, apa engga orang Amerika pade telanjang gadaikan bukan cuma
rumah, mobil, perhiasan, mungkin celana kolor juga digadaikan. Heeee
--- Pada Kam, 20/11/08, Meizal <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> menulis:
Dari: Meizal <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Topik: Re: [obrolan-bandar] BISA GA SIH CINA
Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Tanggal: Kamis, 20 November, 2008, 1:27 PM
Will Asia Play an Active Role in Resolving the
Global Financial Crisis?
Asian countries like China, Japan, Korea, India,
Taiwan, Singapore and Hong
Kong hold more than $4 trillion in foreign exchange reserves - much of it
in U.S. dollars. Asia's surplus position, means that led by China, they
could be the ultimate source of capital to bail out the financial system, say
by providing funds to the IMF to avoid further export slump, if so they may
seek more voting power in global institutions. Furthermore, the crisis could
spur further integration
FT Economists: coordinated fiscal and monetary expansion should achieve
much larger and much more durable results than they would achieve through
unilateral action. The leadership in east Asia rests with the largest
economies: China, Japan, Korea, and ASEAN.
EIU: Asia has also yet to demonstrate a desire for a leadership role, at
least through the US-led global financial architecture. Instead, Asian
governments' preference has generally been for government-to- government, or
government-to- corporation initiatives. If Asia is to challenge successfully
for greater influence in the world's financial institutions, it will have to
demonstrate a more compelling record of regional co-operation. Following the
Asian crisis in 1997-98, governments across the region agreed to co-operate
to
reduce their dependence on the fund in the event of future currency crises
but
the regional swaps remain relatively small
China might provide a swap line to South Korea.
Japanese finance minister, Shoichi Nakagawa will propose to his G7
counterparts that the IMF take contributions from the swollen pot of currency
reserves residing in central bank vaults across the world (Japan has $980 Bn
of its own) (BNY)
Noland: If the political will is there, Asia has the financial wherewithal
to go its own way and establish an alternative rescue mechanism to the IMF,
through the already created Chiang Mai Swap agreements Whether it will do so
depends significantly on the capacity of Japan and China to act cooperatively
and how far the responses of the United States and Europe go in addressing
the
longstanding demands of the Asians (and others) for a more inclusive
policymaking international- financial architecture
Subramanian: The Chinese government
could offer to lend up to $500bn to the US government for the rescue of
its financial sector, conditional on the restructuring the financial sector
and keeping homeowners in place. Rescuing the US financial sector could
help avert an economic downturn, protecting China’s exports, its growth
engine
Kemp: China's involvement in the coordinated
rate cut indicates its willingness to be involved in a multilateral
stabilization process it could provide capital directly (loan) or indirectly
as it has done in the past
The mismatch between Asia's economic and political power limits the
response to this financial and economic crisis - Asian leaders have been
notable by their absence in this crisis, and their actions remain those of
followers. Asia is too large not to have a major role in this crisis but
Japan
is politically paralyzed and Chinese leaders are uncertain how to wield their
global power (BW)
Korean officials suggest China, Japan, Korea and other Asian countries
speed up creation of a $80b fund to protect Asia from the financial crisis
and
ensure regional liquidity. Asian countries previously agreed to increase
swaps
between central banks and pool reserves, though this has yet to be
implemented. Intra-Asian institutions and crisis response mechanisms are
fragmented
Asian central
banks have been injecting liquidity through open market operations and
many have begun cutting interest rates to support growth. China did so in
coordination with global central banks
Oxford Analytica: Governments in the region may well want to increase the
potential for tighter coordination, at the same time as they look to toughen
their regulatory regimes. There have already been suggestions to create a
regional complement to the financial stability forum but current
institutional
structures are limited
Shinawatra: Having parked most of their surpluses in the currency that was
most convertible – the dollar – Asian countries face the prospect of losing
as
much as the country that issued the currency. Instead they should create an
Asian
bond
Lack of experience managing big teams of Western bankers has also caused
Asian investors (including its cash-rich banks) to largely avoid acquiring
control of Western institutions as have recent losses (WSJ)
----- Original Message -----
From:
Gambler.BEJ
To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
Sent: Thursday, November 20, 2008 1:05
PM
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] BISA GA SIH
CINA
Selama konsumen terbesar masih di US gak bisa
Selama cadangan devisa
masih mayoritas USD gak bisa
Selama mata uang standar akuntansi dunia USD
gak bisa
Tapi pelan pelan akan berubah. Nothing last forever mungkin
saja 300
tahun dari sekarang US situasinya mirip Congo atau Roma jaman
kehancuran
dulu well who knows.
muhammad ali wrote:
> Mba
tolong diberikan pencerahan.
> Mungkinkah kita memotori untuk menjadikan
Cina sebagai acuan
> internasional dalam pasar modal. selama ini kan,
kita seertinya
> dihipnotis bawah segala-galanya serba AS, Dow lah, Dow
Fut lah, S-P
> 50, Yankee Bond AS dan segala AS yang semuanya hanya
menunjukkan
> indikator semu. Bagaimana mungkin bisa dijadikan acuan,
wong negara
> yang punya mata uang malah engga punya uangnya sendiri.
malah uangnya
> banyak dipegang CINA.
>
> Bagaimana mulai
saat ini, IDX acuannya bukan lagoi dow tapi shanghai
> ataupun
hongkong. Bayangkan cadangan devisa yang dia punya begiotu
> besar,
pertumbuhan ekonomi terus melaju. Kalaupun ada krisis yakin dia
> engga
kena seperti AS. Bagaimana mbah mungkin tidak? Kalau mungkin Yo
> kita
buat persepsi SHANGHAI jadi acuan IDX. Barangkali nanti Malaysia,
>
Korea, Singapura, Thailand dan Philipina ikut-ikutan.
>
>
hee
>
am
>
>
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