Ann,

I had run into similar problems.  Here're some suggestions for you to 
consider:

1. I had included only one post-Cmax BLQ value.  It worked for my case.
2. One consultant proposed some boundaries on the parameters to constrain 
the search.  He also suggest me to stabilize my model first.  It's work in 
progress. 
3.  ALAG may have caused problem, especially with differential equation, 
along with ETA. 

Best regards,
Shelley

========================================
Xiao Hu (Shelley), Ph.D.
Scientist, 
Development Pharmacokinetics & Disposition
Biogen Idec, Inc.
14 Cambridge Center
Cambridge, MA 02142




Ann Rigby-Jones <ann.rigby-jo...@pms.ac.uk> 
Sent by: owner-nmus...@globomaxnm.com
29-Oct-2010 10:03 AM
Message Size: 32.5 KB

To
"'nmusers@globomaxnm.com'" <nmusers@globomaxnm.com>
cc

Subject
RE: [NMusers] Hessian of posterior density is non positive definite during 
search






Dear Nick
 
Many thanks for your reply J  The reason I am using $DES is because as my 
next step will evaluate adding transit compartments to the model.  I?m 
currently trying to sort the late kinetics before I tackle the early 
disposition.  I?ve already investigated transit models with this data set 
having just deleted BQL data but the WRES vs time plots show bias at the 
late time points (FOCE).
 
I?ve been trying out your suggestions (and others suggested by Jeroen 
Elassaiss, many thanks Jeroen);
 
If I fix all ETAs to zero, I then get problems with:
 
ERROR: NONMEM terminated with the error message:
     SUM OF "SQUARED" WEIGHTED INDIVIDUAL RESIDUALS IS INFINITE 
 
If I allow an ETA on CL only (initial estimate 0.01) I get
 
0PRED EXIT CODE = 1
0INDIVIDUAL NO.       1   ID= 1.00000000000000E+00   (WITHIN-INDIVIDUAL) 
DATA REC NO.   2
 THETA=
  6.96E+02   5.13E+02   2.60E+02   5.60E+03   2.05E+04   3.80E+04 5.48E-01 
  1.01E-01   2.00E-01
 OCCURS DURING SEARCH FOR ETA AT A NONZERO VALUE OF ETA
 ERROR IN LSODI1: CODE  21   
 ERROR OCURRED WHILE ATTEMPTING TO OBTAIN INITIAL VALUES FOR ATOL          
 
 Elapsed estimation time in seconds:     0.05
 
This time point is my first occurrence of BQL (FLG=1), not sure if this is 
relevant.  I don?t think the initial estimates of THETA are too far out, 
as above, this data set has been modelling before using FOCE and omitted 
BQL data points. 
 
I?m wondering whether log transforming the data may help, but unsure of 
the implementation with M3.
 
Many thanks for your input, much appreciated J
 
All best wishes
 
Ann
 

From: owner-nmus...@globomaxnm.com [mailto:owner-nmus...@globomaxnm.com] 
On Behalf Of Nick Holford
Sent: Friday, 29 October, 2010 11:50
To: 'nmusers@globomaxnm.com'
Subject: Re: [NMusers] Hessian of posterior density is non positive 
definite during search
Ann,

This error message usually means try NONMEM thinks your OMEGA initial 
estimates are weird.  A leading suspect would be the OMEGA estimates for 
the two lag time parameters. Try fixing both of them to zero and see if 
that gets your model going. If that doesn't work then you could try fixing 
all OMEGA values to zero then adding them in one at a time.

You don't need to use $DES for your linear model. $SUB ADVAN11 is a closed 
form 3 cpt model with bolus/zero order input (or ADVAN12 with first order 
absorption as well). 

An efficiency tip -- there is no point calling the time consuming PHI() 
function until you really need it and also no need for a FLG data item. 
You can simplify your $ERROR code like this:
$ERROR
SD=F*THETA(9) ; any residual error model you like assuming $SIGMA 1 FIX 
LLOQ = 0.4 ; nm/L
IF (DV.GE.LLOQ) THEN ; non BQL values
      F_FLAG=0
     Y = F + SD*ERR(1))
ELSE ; BQL values
     F_FLAG=1
     Y = PHI((LLOQ-F)/SD)
ENDIF

Best wishes,

Nick

On 29/10/2010 9:50 p.m., Ann Rigby-Jones wrote: 
Hello NMUsers
I am trying to reanalyse some data using the M3 method (Ahn et al, 
Likelihood based approaches to handling data below the quantification 
limit using NONMEM VI, J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn. 2008).  I had 
previously used M6 and wanted to try something potentially more robust.
I'm having problems with a "Hessian of posterior density is non positive 
definite during search" error occurring as soon as NONMEM is started.  It 
is suggested that this may be caused by including time zero records in the 
analysis (when MDV or EVID = 0) but I've double-checked and I can't find 
any incidence of this.
My control stream is pasted below and I can send an extract of data if 
that helps?
Any ideas very gratefully received! 
Many thanks J
Ann
$PROBLEM PK 3comp LAG BLQ M3
$INPUT ID DOSE AMT RATE DUR TIME DV EVID ART FLG AGE WGT MDV
$DATA step1&2PKBLQ.csv IGNORE=#
$SUBROUTINES ADVAN9 TOL=9
$MODEL
COMP(CENTRAL, DEFOBS)  ;1
COMP(PERIPH1)  ;2
COMP(PERIPH2)  ;3
$PK
CL=THETA(1)*EXP(ETA(1))
Q2=THETA(2)*EXP(ETA(2))
Q3=THETA(3)*EXP(ETA(3))
V1=THETA(4)*EXP(ETA(4))
V2=THETA(5)*EXP(ETA(5))
V3=THETA(6)*EXP(ETA(6))
K10=CL/V1
K12=Q2/V1
K13=Q3/V1
K21=Q2/V2
K31=Q3/V3
S1=V1
IF (DUR.EQ.10) THEN
ALAG1=THETA(7)*EXP(ETA(7))
ELSE
ALAG1=THETA(8)*EXP(ETA(7))
ENDIF
$DES
DADT(1)=A(2)*K21 + A(3)*K31 - A(1)*(K10+K12+K13)
DADT(2)=A(1)*K12 - A(2)*K21
DADT(3)=A(1)*K13 - A(3)*K31
$ERROR
SIG1=THETA(9)
LOQ = 0.4 ; nm/L
IPRED = F
DUM = (LOQ-IPRED)/(SIG1*IPRED)
CUMD=PHI(DUM)
IF(FLG.EQ.0)THEN ; FLG=0, MDV=0 non BQL values
F_FLAG=0
Y = F*(1+SIG1*ERR(1))
ENDIF
IF(FLG.EQ.1)THEN ; FLG=1, MDV=0 BQL values
F_FLAG=1
Y=CUMD
ENDIF

$THETA (0, 696)   ;CL
$THETA (0, 213)   ;Q2
$THETA (0, 2600)    ;Q3
$THETA (0, 5600)   ;V1
$THETA (0, 50500)   ;V2
$THETA (0, 38000)   ;V3
$THETA (0.2167, 0.548,1) ;ALAG 10MIN
$THETA (0.00833, 0.101, 1) ;ALAG 1MIN
$THETA (0, 0.2)   ;SIG1
$OMEGA (0.0121) ; ETA CL
$OMEGA (0.455) ; ETA Q2
$OMEGA (0.118) ; ETA Q3
$OMEGA (0.0919) ; ETA V1
$OMEGA (0.324) ; ETA V2
$OMEGA (0.0664) ; ETA V3
$OMEGA (1.02)  ; ETA LAG SHARED
$SIGMA (0.0622)

$ESTIMATION METHOD=1 LAPLACIAN NUMERICAL SLOW PRINT=1 MAX=9999 NOABORT 
SIG=3 
$COVA
$TABLE ID EVID AMT TIME IPRED 
       NOPRINT FILE=AllRecords.txt
$TABLE ID CL Q2 Q3 V1 V2 V3 
       ETA1 ETA2 ETA3 ETA4 ETA5 ETA6 ETA7 
       FIRSTONLY  NOPRINT  NOAPPEND FILE=FirstRecords.txt
_______________________________________________________________________
Ann Rigby-Jones PhD MRSC
Research Fellow in Pharmacokinetics & Pharmacodynamics
Peninsula College of Medicine & Dentistry, UK
_______________________________________________________________________


-- 
Nick Holford, Professor Clinical Pharmacology
Dept Pharmacology & Clinical Pharmacology
University of Auckland,85 Park Rd,Private Bag 92019,Auckland,New Zealand
tel:+64(9)923-6730 fax:+64(9)373-7090 mobile:+64(21)46 23 53
email: n.holf...@auckland.ac.nz
http://www.fmhs.auckland.ac.nz/sms/pharmacology/holford

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