Buonasera,

«Can Elon Musk Make the Math Work on Owning Twitter? It’s Dicey.»
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/30/technology/elon-musk-twitter-debt.html

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The numbers are already daunting. The $44 billion acquisition was the
largest leveraged buyout of a technology company in history. To do the
deal, Mr. Musk, the world’s richest man, loaded about $13 billion in
debt on the company, which had not turned a profit for eight of the past
10 years.

[...] If Twitter needs more money in a year, finding new investors could
be a lot to ask given the economics of the company. Even Mr. Musk has
conceded that his initial investors in the deal valuing Twitter at $44
billion were “obviously overpaying.” The stocks of many social media
companies have tumbled this year as they navigate the same problems as
the rest of the economy.

Given his net worth of more than $200 billion, Mr. Musk himself could
theoretically help cover Twitter’s extra cash needs. He could also try
to buy out some of Twitter’s lenders and reduce its debt load.

[...] Putting more money into a leveraged, slow-growth company like
Twitter is also not the same as investing in a rapidly growing
venture-backed start-up like his rocket-making company, SpaceX. The
risks are greater at Twitter because the banks doing the lending care
only about getting paid their interest on the day it is owed. Unlike,
say, a real estate company, Twitter does not have a large amount of
assets to offer lenders as collateral to keep them at bay.

[...] Twitter has suffered years of mismanagement and may benefit from
fixing its business out of the glare of the public markets.

[...] Mr. Bruner said the worst deals are typically struck at the peak
of a market — as with Mr. Musk’s purchase of Twitter. He offered what he
thought could be a worst-case scenario for the company. In that future,
Mr.  Musk would not be able to “get the expenses down to the level
necessary to cover the debt burden.” That would “slowly erode the
company’s equity, and he’s unable to find more equity investors.”

The final outcome? “Slowly, Twitter implodes,” Mr. Bruner said.

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Non credo che Musk (o gli stuoli di consulenti finanziari che può
permettersi) non siano in grado di fare i conti, quindi da quello che si
può capire dalle informazioni che ci danno questa acquisizione è la più
strana della storia di Internet, o no?

Saluti, 380°


-- 
380° (Giovanni Biscuolo public alter ego)

«Noi, incompetenti come siamo,
 non abbiamo alcun titolo per suggerire alcunché»

Disinformation flourishes because many people care deeply about injustice
but very few check the facts.  Ask me about <https://stallmansupport.org>.

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