Owen,

By the same token, who 30 years ago would have said there was anything wrong 
with giving single companies very liberal /8 allocations? Companies that for 
the most part wasted that space, leading to a faster exhaustion of IPv4 
addresses. History cuts both ways. 

I think it's reasonable to be at least somewhat judicious with our spanking new 
IPv6 pool. That's not IPv4-think. That's just reasonable caution. 

We can always be more generous later. 

 -mel beckman

> On Jul 14, 2015, at 10:04 AM, Owen DeLong <o...@delong.com> wrote:
> 
> 30 years ago, if you’d told anyone that EVERYONE would be using the internet 
> 30 years
> ago, they would have looked at you like you were stark raving mad.
> 
> If you asked anyone 30 years ago “will 4 billion internet addresses be enough 
> if everyone
> ends up using the internet?”, they all would have told you “no way.”.
> 
> I will again repeat… Let’s try liberal allocations until we use up the first 
> /3. I bet we don’t
> finish that before we hit other scaling limits of IPv6.
> 
> If I’m wrong and we burn through the first /3 while I am still alive, I will 
> happily help you
> get more restrictive policy for the remaining 3/4 of the IPv6 address space 
> while we
> continue to burn through the second /3 as the policy is developed.
> 
> Owen
> 
> 
>> On Jul 14, 2015, at 06:23 , George Metz <george.m...@gmail.com> wrote:
>> 
>> That's all well and good Owen, and the math is compelling, but 30 years ago 
>> if you'd told anyone that we'd go through all four billion IPv4 addresses in 
>> anyone's lifetime, they'd have looked at you like you were stark raving mad. 
>> That's what's really got most of the people who want (dare I say more sane?) 
>> more restrictive allocations to be the default concerned; 30 years ago the 
>> math for how long IPv4 would last would have been compelling as well, which 
>> is why we have the entire Class E block just unusable and large blocks of IP 
>> address space that people were handed for no particular reason than it 
>> sounded like a good idea at the time.
>> 
>> It's always easier to be prudent from the get-go than it is to rein in the 
>> insanity at a later date. Just because we can't imagine a world where IPv6 
>> depletion is possible doesn't mean it can't exist, and exist far sooner than 
>> one might expect.
>> 
>> On Tue, Jul 14, 2015 at 12:22 AM, Owen DeLong <o...@delong.com 
>> <mailto:o...@delong.com>> wrote:
>> How so?
>> 
>> There are 8192 /16s in the current /3.
>> 
>> ISPs with that many pops at 5,000,000 end-sites per POP, even assuming 32 
>> end-sites per person
>> can’t really be all that many…
>> 
>> 
>> 25 POPS at 5,000,000 end-sites each is 125,000,000 end-sites per ISP.
>> 
>> 7,000,000,000 * 32 = 224,000,000,000 / 125,000,000 = 1,792 total /16s 
>> consumed.
>> 
>> Really, if we burn through all 8,192 of them in less than 50 years and I’m 
>> still alive
>> when we do, I’ll help you promote more restrictive policy to be enacted 
>> while we
>> burn through the second /3. That’ll still leave us 75% of the address space 
>> to work
>> with on that new policy.
>> 
>> If you want to look at places where IPv6 is really getting wasted, let’s 
>> talk about
>> an entire /9 reserved without an RFC to make it usable or it’s partner /9 
>> with an
>> RFC to make it mostly useless, but popular among those few remaining NAT
>> fanboys. Together that constitutes 1/256th of the address space cast off to
>> waste.
>> 
>> Yeah, I’m not too worried about the ISPs that can legitimately justify a /16.
>> 
>> Owen
>> 
>>> On Jul 13, 2015, at 16:16 , Joe Maimon <jmai...@ttec.com 
>>> <mailto:jmai...@ttec.com>> wrote:
>>> 
>>> 
>>> 
>>> Owen DeLong wrote:
>>>> JimBob’s ISP can apply to ARIN for a /16
>>> 
>>> Like I said, very possibly not a good thing for the address space.
>> 
>> 
> 

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