Michael, I didn't claim Webrtc is vapor, I claim that pervasive video calling is vapor. Further, even if that prediction is wrong pervasive video calling isn't enough even if 100% of users adopt it to swing the need for symmetrical bandwidth. An average Skype/Google Hangout/Apple is less than 400 kbps at peak and averages something like 150 kbps.
http://www.digitalsociety.org/2010/08/iphone-facetime-bandwidth-gets-measured/ Scott Helms Vice President of Technology ZCorum (678) 507-5000 -------------------------------- http://twitter.com/kscotthelms -------------------------------- On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 4:22 PM, Michael Thomas <m...@mtcc.com> wrote: > Scott Helms wrote: > >> I think you will, all of those things have been around for a long time >> (well, except for pervasive video calls, which I think is vapor) and none >> generate the kind of traffic it takes to congest a decent link. Most of >> the DOCSIS systems I've worked with are running at least 6 mbps upstreams >> and many are well into the double digits. My current connection (tested >> this morning) is about 22 mbps. >> > > Um, no it's not vapor. Webrtc is quite real, and the barrier to > implementation > for any random web site is weeks, not years as was the case before. > > I just saw this that you wrote: > > > 1) Very few consumers are walking around with a HD or 4K camera > today. > > In the US, we just surpassed 1/2 of the population who have that > capability, iirc. They > call them phones nowadays. > > Mike > > >> Scott Helms >> Vice President of Technology >> ZCorum >> (678) 507-5000 >> -------------------------------- >> http://twitter.com/kscotthelms >> -------------------------------- >> >> On Fri, May 16, 2014 at 4:06 PM, Michael Thomas <m...@mtcc.com <mailto: >> m...@mtcc.com>> wrote: >> >> Scott Helms wrote: >> >> Mike, >> >> In my experience you're not alone, just in a really tiny group. >> As I said I have direct eyeballs on ~500k devices and the >> ability to see another 10 million anytime I want and the >> percentage of people who cap their upstream in both of those >> sample groups for more than 15 minutes (over the last 3 years) >> is about 0.2%. Interestingly if a customer does it once they >> have about a 70% chance of doing it regularly. >> >> >> Well, given Sling, Dropbox, iCloud, pervasive video calls (you have >> heard about webrtc, yes? >> 24/7 babycams!), youtube, etc, etc, I won't be a "tiny group" for >> long. >> >> Mike >> >> >> >
