http://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0,5&cluster=6058676534328717115
@article{cittadini2010evolution,
title={{Evolution of Internet Address Space Deaggregation: Myths and
Reality}},
author={Cittadini, L. and Muhlbauer, W. and Uhlig, S. and Bush, R. and
Fran{\c{c}}ois, P. and Maennel, O.},
journal={Selected Areas in Communications, IEEE Journal on},
volume={28},
number={8},
pages={1238--1249},
issn={0733-8716},
year={2010},
publisher={IEEE}
}
But times are changing and IMHO in the future the growth would be
because of deaggregation (in v4). For v6 the growth I assume is (and will be)
allocation, but I do not have a research to support that.
-as
On 9 Mar 2011, at 16:00, David Conrad wrote:
> On Mar 9, 2011, at 7:28 AM, Owen DeLong wrote:
>>> It won't, it will take an "S" shape eventually. Possibly around 120k
>>> prefixes, then it will follow the normal growth of the Internet as v4 did.
>> I think it will grow a lot slower than IPv4 because with rational planning,
>> few organizations should need to add more prefixes annually, the way they
>> had to in IPv4 due to scarcity based allocation policies.
>
> The implication of this statement would seem to be that the reason the
> routing tables are growing is due primarily to allocations and not
> deaggregation (e.g., for traffic engineering). Does anyone have any actual
> data to corroborate or refute this?
>
> Regards,
> -drc
>