http://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0,5&cluster=6058676534328717115  

@article{cittadini2010evolution,
  title={{Evolution of Internet Address Space Deaggregation: Myths and 
Reality}},
  author={Cittadini, L. and Muhlbauer, W. and Uhlig, S. and Bush, R. and 
Fran{\c{c}}ois, P. and Maennel, O.},
  journal={Selected Areas in Communications, IEEE Journal on},
  volume={28},
  number={8},
  pages={1238--1249},
  issn={0733-8716},
  year={2010},
  publisher={IEEE}
}

        But times are changing and IMHO in the future the growth would be 
because of deaggregation (in v4). For v6 the growth I assume is (and will be) 
allocation, but I do not have a research to support that.

-as

On 9 Mar 2011, at 16:00, David Conrad wrote:

> On Mar 9, 2011, at 7:28 AM, Owen DeLong wrote:
>>> It won't, it will take an "S" shape eventually. Possibly around 120k 
>>> prefixes, then it will follow the normal growth of the Internet as v4 did. 
>> I think it will grow a lot slower than IPv4 because with rational planning, 
>> few organizations should need to add more prefixes annually, the way they 
>> had to in IPv4 due to scarcity based allocation policies.
> 
> The implication of this statement would seem to be that the reason the 
> routing tables are growing is due primarily to allocations and not 
> deaggregation (e.g., for traffic engineering).  Does anyone have any actual 
> data to corroborate or refute this?
> 
> Regards,
> -drc
> 

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