http://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0,5&cluster=6058676534328717115
@article{cittadini2010evolution, title={{Evolution of Internet Address Space Deaggregation: Myths and Reality}}, author={Cittadini, L. and Muhlbauer, W. and Uhlig, S. and Bush, R. and Fran{\c{c}}ois, P. and Maennel, O.}, journal={Selected Areas in Communications, IEEE Journal on}, volume={28}, number={8}, pages={1238--1249}, issn={0733-8716}, year={2010}, publisher={IEEE} } But times are changing and IMHO in the future the growth would be because of deaggregation (in v4). For v6 the growth I assume is (and will be) allocation, but I do not have a research to support that. -as On 9 Mar 2011, at 16:00, David Conrad wrote: > On Mar 9, 2011, at 7:28 AM, Owen DeLong wrote: >>> It won't, it will take an "S" shape eventually. Possibly around 120k >>> prefixes, then it will follow the normal growth of the Internet as v4 did. >> I think it will grow a lot slower than IPv4 because with rational planning, >> few organizations should need to add more prefixes annually, the way they >> had to in IPv4 due to scarcity based allocation policies. > > The implication of this statement would seem to be that the reason the > routing tables are growing is due primarily to allocations and not > deaggregation (e.g., for traffic engineering). Does anyone have any actual > data to corroborate or refute this? > > Regards, > -drc >