+10

Once you pass a threshold of affordability (by breaking the monopoly), then the 
network use explodes and other issues can be worked out by more or less by 
consumer pressure (and economies of scale)... You need to reach "Packet Storm" 
level.

----- Original Message -----
From: "Patrick W. Gilmore" <patr...@ianai.net>
To: "NANOG list" <nanog@nanog.org>
Sent: Friday, 13 August, 2010 6:29:02 AM
Subject: Re: Cost of transit and options in APAC

Back to topic of why prices are high in some places (and it is not just Asia), 
it is trivial to prove objectively that monopoly power keeps prices 
ridiculously high.  Before anyone jumps on me, there are many reasons for high 
prices.  Monopoly power is only one, but clearly and obviously the biggest one.

When I say "objectively", I mean it.  Look at any country which has gone 
through any type of transition from "gov't owned monopoly telco" to 
"competition-based market".  South Africa instantly springs to mind.  Prices 
are still high, but have dropped, what, 75% in just a year or two once the 
monopoly power was broken?  And this is after a decade or more of little to no 
decrease.

Of course, this does not mean .za will have $1/Mbps transit like the US any 
time soon.  As I said, there are other factors - geography, scale, local 
economy, even import policies, etc.  But getting prices to go from US$2000/Mbps 
to, say, $100/Mbps is more important than the $100 -> $1 drop.  (Hrmm, I wonder 
who will say "the first is only 20 times, the second is 100 times!" to prove me 
wrong? :)  Plus there are a myriad of factors keeping that last step from 
happening, not just one.  So wich do you think is more important, the monopoly 
power or the dozens of other factors?

That said, this is not really on-topic for NANOG.  So if you would like to 
argue the point, please e-mail privately, or let's take it to another list.

End of day, the important thing is to break the monopoly.  After that, prices 
will almost always drop, then you can work on other stuff.

-- 
TTFN,
patrick



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