A comment from Jeremy Orbell at LINX: -- The period of growth being discussed predates my own involvement in the industry as I didn't join LINX until 2003. However I do know that LINX regularly announced new traffic milestones at the exchange as they happened back in the late 90s. I've looked back through our archive of press releases and noted a few of these so you will get an idea of how peak traffic was increasing at LINX at that time.
27 April 1998 - 200 Mbps 24 August 1999 - 850 Mbps 17 September 1999 - 1 Gbps 5 November 1999 - 1.25 Gbps 13 December 1999 - 1.5 Gbps 27 March 2000 - 2 Gbps 11 January 2001 - 5 Gbps Unfortunately I cannot post links the original material as it isn't available online at the moment but in the LINX 15th anniversary issue of HotLINX last year we reprinted a copy of a LINX press release from 17th September 1999 which said: "The London Internet Exchange is pleased to announce it has this week reached traffic levels of one Gigabit, positioning it clearly as one of the top 5 Internet Exchanges in the world. This shows a 455% increase in traffic from the level of 180 Mbps one year ago." Looking at that 180 Mbps number it looks like it might refer to a Spring 1998 figure rather than September 1998 because I did find a reference to a peak of 200 Mbps being achieved in April of that year. The discrepency could perhaps be explained by other means such as averages but like I say, it was before my time. Anyway, the full press release which I quoted from can be read on page 3 of the following PDF:https://www.linx.net/files/hotlinx/hotlinx-20.pdf I hope this will be of hope to you. Jeremy Orbell LINX Marketing & Communications On Aug 10, 2010, at 4:28 PM, Jeff Young wrote: > -----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE----- > Hash: SHA256 > > At the time these statements were made it was possible to make reasonable > assumptions about the size of the Internet. As a Tier 1 knew how much > traffic our > customer links generated by the size of the link. We knew exactly how much > traffic stayed within our backbones and how much traffic ended up in a > peering arrangement. We knew with some precision just how much of the > Tier 2 ISP market was connected to us and how much was connected to others, > and who the others were. I don't think the theory still holds but traffic > on-net > versus off-net was a pretty good indication of market share. > > Today's Internet handles much more traffic in-region and is bounded by > phenomenon such as language barrier (although the amount of spam I get > in Chinese characters has increased recently, who let the barrier down?). > This phenomenon wasn't as prominent in '98-'01 and while I wouldn't say > it's impossible I think you'd have to commission the folks at UCSD to get > anything that resembled a value for total Internet capacity today. > > Doubling in 9-12 months was a reasonable figure back then. 100 days > might have been a short-term spike caused by a back-log of activations > (we sometimes stopped the machine while we made upgrades) but it > certainly was an anomaly. > > jy > > > On 10/08/2010, at 9:01 AM, Kenny Sallee wrote: > >> On Fri, Aug 6, 2010 at 2:52 PM, Jessica Yu <jyy...@yahoo.com> wrote: >>> >>> I do not know if making such distinction would alter the conclusion of your >>> paper. But, to me, there is a difference between one to predict the growth >>> of >>> one particular network based on the stats collected than one to predict the >>> growth of the entire Internet with no solid data. >>> Thanks!--Jessica >>> >> >> Agree with Jessica: you can't say the 'Internet' doubles every x number of >> days/amount of time no matter what the number of days or amount of time is. >> The 'Internet' is a series of tubes...hahaha couldn't help it....As we all >> know the Internet is a bunch of providers plugged into each other. Provider >> A may see an 10x increase in traffic every month while provider B may not. >> For example, if Google makes a deal with Verizon only Verizon will see a >> huge increase in traffic internally and less externally (or vice versa). >> Until Google goes somewhere else! So the whole 'myth' of Internet doubling >> every 100 days to me is something someone (ODell it seems) made up to >> appease someone higher in the chain or a government committee that really >> doesn't get it. IE - it's marketing talk to quantify something. I guess if >> all the ISP's in the world provided a central repository bandwidth numbers >> they have on their backbone then you could make up some stats about Internet >> traffic as a whole. But without that - it just doesn't make much sense. >> >> Just my .02 >> Kenny >> > > -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- > Version: GnuPG/MacGPG2 v2.0.14 (Darwin) > > iF4EAREIAAYFAkxh4LUACgkQxvthcni5E2+7AwD+Lx+Dm14XTn/qZpy2co3CrcI1 > dzA9QycoM2VmMBjmfxwA/1LD7gqI3zd80VozkHMDbDIREDPxKBPPtMlb+7Tu/nPV > =wt/O > -----END PGP SIGNATURE----- >
