One thing I have heard repeated about one large carrier is that only 10% of their network is used for their Internet product. The remainder of it is used for private leased lines (could also be someone running IP) or another carrier that is leasing a loop or tdm service from them.
Jared Mauch On Aug 8, 2010, at 9:30 AM, odly...@umn.edu (Andrew Odlyzko) wrote: > Fascinating. Memories may be plastic (something that has been > established scientifically), or else we may have yet another > inconsistency to add to the pile of others. Is there any > documentation about the "doubling every nine months"? I have > never seen that particular claim emanating from anyone involved > with WorldCom/UUNet. > > On the other hand, existing record shows (among others): > > 1. U.S. Department of Commerce white paper from April 1998, > > http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/ecommerce/EDEreprt.pdf > > on p. 8 declares that "UUNET, one of the largest Internet > backbone providers, estimates that Internet traffic doubles > every 100 days," with a reference to an Inktomi white paper > that attributes this claim to Mike O'Dell. The Inktomi > report is no longer on the Web, but I can provide a copy > to anyone interested. > > 2. The transcript of the May 2000 presentation by O'Dell > at a Stanford conference clearly has him saying that the > capacity of the UUNet network, as measured by OC12-miles, > doubles every four months, > > http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko/isources/odell-transcript.txt > > As is explained in my paper, in the 1998-2000 time frame, > essentially all the WorldCom/UUNet claims then seemed to be > about capacity, not traffic. > > 3. The year-end 2000 email from O'Dell to Dave Farber's IP list, > > > http://www.interesting-people.org/archives/interesting-people/200011/msg00058.html > > has him talking of traffic doubling each year, while capacity > grows 8-fold. > > If some time in that period there was a claim of a "doubling > every nine months," too, that would be very interesting. > > Andrew > > > > > > Randy Bush <ra...@psg.com> wrote: > >>>> my memory is that he said doubling every nine months. >>> Mine too. >> >> mo's too. i asked. >> >> randy
