On Apr 10, 2010, at 9:40 AM, William Herrin wrote: > On Sat, Apr 10, 2010 at 12:31 AM, Randy Bush <ra...@psg.com> wrote: >> karine perset's work is, as usual, good enough that it should be seen in >> it's original, not some circle-je^h^hid hack of a small part of it. >> >> http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/48/8/44961688.pdf > > John, > > I'd like to call your attention to slide 8, the chart showing growth > in fully working IPv6 deployments. Should that growth trend be allowed > to continue, IPv4-only deployments can be expected to fall into the > minority after another few hundred years. >
> The upcoming conversion of IPv4 addressing into a zero-sum game (as a > result of free pool depletion) is likely to increase this growth > trend, but it's anybody's guess whether the new growth trend improves > to something with a faster-than-linear feedback loop. And of course > once free pool depletion hits, the cost to deploy additional IPv4 > systems starts to grow immediately, independent of pre-majority IPv6 > growth. > In fact, IPv6 is already showing greater than linear acceleration in deployment, so, even though IPv4 hasn't run out yet, people are beginning to catch on. > We might want to consider additional public policy incentives to kick > the IPv6 growth rate into a higher gear. > Such as? Owen
