Diagnosis was obscured/hindered by figuring that the most likely suspect was the thing that changed most recently...

The upshot here is pilot error (well, control-tower) in that my ssh access to that site was restricted to my Xfinity address. Application, not firewall.  Can't blame Verizon for that!  I can blame them for a little UDP congestion there, but that's probably normal.

Thanks to everyone for their suggestions.  At least they helped eliminate suspects.

--
Jeff Woolsey {{woolsey,jlw}@jlw,first.last@{gmail,jlw}}.com
Nature abhors straight antennas, clean lenses, and empty storage.
"Delete! Delete! OK!" -Dr. Bronner on disk space management
Card-sorting, Joel.  -Crow on solitaire

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