On Sun, 6 Mar 2022, Laura Smith via NANOG wrote:
You do realise there's a shedload of fibre running around Europe ?
There are so many redundant paths that you'd have to chop through quite
a lot of it before anyone noticed much difference.
Historically, the largest telecommunication outages have been due to
operator error & software bugs (or the malicious equivalent). Problems in
large networks have more impact.
Vulnerability to physical damage varies a lot between countries. Some
countries have a lot of redundancy, other countries have limited
redundancy.
The big question for decision makers are trends.
Are these 'normal' outage trends or 'unusual' outage trends. One farmer
on a tractor digging up fiber may be normal. Two farmers is a concidence.
More than two farmers is abnormal.
<Insert my usual the importance of information sharing speech here>