> On Mar 12, 2020, at 6:55 PM, Sean Donelan <s...@donelan.com> wrote:
>
> On Thu, 12 Mar 2020, Tom Paseka wrote:
>> I am not worried. Residential ISPs are usually at peak in the late evening.
>> They have loads of capacity during the day.
>
> Do they have capacity to the right places?
>
> The evening traffic peak is usually streaming entertainment bits from CDNs on
> the edge of the network.
>
> Work From Home seems to be VPNs going between residential to business ISPs
> interconnections and lots of videoconferencing services (zoom, webex, etc).
Yes, this is what I’m concerned about. Most of the content/cloud people have
built networks around the capacity needed to get bits into the networks and
often aggressively peer.
The corporate office that is behind one incumbent that now has a global set of
people doing VPN activities at 10x the prior capacity of a week ago may have a
harder time fitting.
I expect there will be areas which see a higher base load that contributes to
seeing the peaks earlier.
- Jared
