As one who has been looking for and photoing migrants for many years, I was
happy to see the 20o temps this a.m.  The old lilac that harbored an AMRO
nest last year 4 ft from my backdoor, has leaf buds on it the last several
days.  The same with the very old native Prairie Crabapple where BCCH's and
HOWR's have nested.  As springs have been advancing in the calendar with
warming temps, the trees often leaf out before the mid-May migrants arrive
at 45o latitude.  

Plants bud and leaf according to temps, while bird movement is cued by
daylength.  Early leaf-out makes seeing and photoing birds difficult as you
all know.  A bigger problem may be out-of-synch food availability, depending
on larvae spp and bird spp, due to climate change.  (I assume insect
activity is also stimulated by air temperatures.)  Later migrants might find
less food available.  The biggest problem is the general decline in bird
numbers across genera and families in N America.  So fewer birds to find
each year and harder to see the ones you find.  So killing frosts in March
---Yes.  60o- 70o temps --- No.

 

GAndersson/ St Paul


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