On Wed, 25 Oct 2006, Paul Luo Li wrote:

> Thank you very much for the response.
> 
> By "field defect" I mean a PR in the Bug Tracking system of the Class
> sw-bug.

That is a measure which contains lots of noise and is also incomplete.
A lot of time bugs gets fixed without being a made a PR.

> 
> I was wondering if you think predictions at the time of release of the
> number of field defects in each month after release can help:
> -allocate resources, such as having enough people available to fix problems

How do you allocate resources in a almost completely volunteer
orgaization? I hack what I want on. Of course I feel responsible for
certain parts in the system. But sometimes I do not have a lot of time or
other things get my atttention. Of course Theo pushes now and then,
but that doesn't mean I cannot say: "not now, try to find somebody
else". He even respects that.

> -adjust the deployment date, like pushing back the release, or

I'm very happy with the elapsed-time constrained development cycle.

> -identify possible ways of improving the process, assuming that the
> predictions are made using software metrics, such as the number of changes
> to the code  

I don't think a statistical method will help gaining insight.

        -Otto

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