Dear MARMAM community,

My co-authors and I are pleased to share our recent open-access publication in 
Marine Mammal Science:

Hutchings, M. J., G. J. Parra, R. Wellard, J. A. Totterdell, I. M. Reeves, and 
L. Möller. 2026. “Population Demographics of Killer Whales (Orcinus orca) in 
Western Australia”. Marine Mammal Science, vol. 42, no. 2: e70151. 
https://doi.org/10.1111/mms.70151.
Abstract:
Understanding population demographics is crucial for the effective conservation 
of species. This is particularly important for apex predators, such as the 
killer whale (Orcinus orca), which play important roles in maintaining the 
structure and function of ecosystems. In this study, we used 
capture-mark-recapture (CMR) modeling to assess killer whale demographics at 
two distinct aggregation sites in Western Australia: the Ningaloo Reef (NW) and 
Bremer Sub-basin (SW). Using 12 years of photo-identification (photo-ID) data 
from the NW and 6 years from the SW, we applied open population models (POPAN 
and Cormack–Jolly–Seber) to estimate the abundance (Ntotal), apparent survival 
(Phi), capture probability (p), and probability of entry (pent) of killer 
whales inhabiting these key areas. Abundance estimates in the NW, which 
combined females, males, and individuals of unknown sex (Ntotal = 47 ± 2, 95% 
CI = 43–52), revealed a small, well-marked, and frequently resighted population 
with high apparent survival (Phifemale = 0.98 ± 0.016, 95% CI = 0.91–0.99; 
Phimale = 0.88 ± 0.060, 95% CI = 0.71–0.96; Phiunknown = 0.82 ± 0.064, 95% CI = 
0.66–0.92). In contrast, abundance estimates in the SW, which separated sexed 
adults (Ntotal = 102 ± 7, 95% CI = 88–117) from the unknown sex group, 
suggested a much larger and more transient population with variable apparent 
survival (Phifemale = 0.98 ± 0.001, 95% CI = 0.97–0.98; Phimale = 0.82 ± 0.012, 
95% CI = 0.79–0.84; Phiunknown(T) = 0.65 ± 0.177, 95% CI = 0.29–0.90; 
Phiunknown(R) = 0.84 ± 0.185, 95% CI = 0.26–0.99). Variation in population 
demography between the two study areas likely reflects divergent ecological and 
evolutionary histories shaped by both genetic and environmental factors. 
Additionally, differences in habitat accessibility, individual distinctiveness, 
and sampling design may have influenced detectability and model outcomes. These 
results provide vital baseline demographic data for killer whales in Australian 
waters and highlight the need for standardized long-term monitoring to inform 
conservation management strategies.

Please feel free to contact us with any questions.

Thank you,

Dr. Marissa Hutchings

PhD - Flinders University
BMSc (Hons) - James Cook University

Cetacean Ecology, Behaviour and Evolution Lab (CEBEL)
College of Science and Engineering
Flinders University
Bedford Park SA 5042

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Flinders University acknowledges the Traditional Owners and Custodians of the 
lands and waters on which its campuses are located, these are the Traditional 
Lands of the Arrernte, Dagoman, First Nations of the South-East, First Peoples 
of the River Murray & Mallee region, Jawoyn, Kaurna, Larrakia, Ngadjuri, 
Ngarrindjeri, Peramangk, Ramindjeri, Warumungu, Wardaman and Yolngu people. We 
honour their Elders past, present and emerging.

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