Dear colleagues,

We are pleased to share our recent paper:

Germishuizen, M., Vichi, M. & Vermeulen, E. Population changes in a
Southern Ocean krill predator point towards regional Antarctic sea ice
declines. *Sci Rep* 14, 25820 (2024).
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-74007-1

Abstract:
While foraging, marine predators integrate information about the
environment often across wide-ranging oceanic foraging grounds and reflect
these in population parameters. One such species, the southern right whale
(Eubalaena australis; SRW) has shown alterations to foraging behaviour,
declines in body condition, and reduced reproductive rates after 2009 in
the South African population. As capital breeders, these changes suggest
decreased availability of their main prey at high-latitudes, Antarctic
krill (Euphausia superba). This study analysed environmental factors
affecting prey availability for this population over the past 40 years,
finding a notable southward contraction in sea ice, a 15–30% decline in sea
ice concentration, and a more than two-fold increase in primary production
metrics after 2008. These environmental conditions are less supportive of
Antarctic krill recruitment in known SRW foraging grounds. Additionally,
marginal ice zone, sea ice concentration and two primary production metrics
were determined to be either regionally significant or marginally
significant predictors of calving interval length when analysed using a
linear model. Findings highlight the vulnerability of recovering baleen
whale populations to climate change and show how capital breeders serve as
sentinels of ecosystem changes in regions that are difficult or costly to
study.

The article is open access and can be downloaded here
<https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-74007-1#:~:text=This%20study%20analysed%20environmental%20factors,primary%20production%20metrics%20after%202008>

With kind regards,

Els

Dr Els Vermeulen
Senior Lecturer and Research Manager

Mammal Research Institute - Whale Unit
Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences
University of Pretoria, South Africa

+27 (0)60 9714301 - els.vermeu...@up.ac.za
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3667-1290
www.mammalresearchinstitute.science

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