On behalf of my co-authors, I am pleased to announce our recent publication
in Marine Mammal Science:



Wickman, L., Rayment, W., Slooten, E., & Dawson, S. M. (2021). An observed
decline in the mark rate of Hector's dolphins at Banks Peninsula, New
Zealand. *Marine Mammal Science*, 1– 8. *https://doi.org/10.1111/mms.12826
<https://doi.org/10.1111/mms.12826>*



SUMMARY



Capture-recapture analyses on marine mammals typically assume mark rate (the
proportion of individuals with unique, recognisable natural marks) is
constant over time. This assumption may not be true if changes in
management have decreased the frequency of interactions with fishing gear
(a known source of marks). We hypothesized that mark rate in the Banks
Peninsula population of Hector’s dolphins has declined since the
establishment of area-based protection from gillnetting. After filtering by
image quality, our analysis used 2,363 images of 160 groups of dolphins
obtained from 1992 – 1996, and 1,133 images of 163 groups obtained in 2016.
These images were categorised by mark quality, with individuals having very
obvious marks (Cat 1 & 2) retained to estimate mark rate. Mark rate was
estimated for each time period using a hierarchical Bayesian model. The
Bayesian model estimated the mean mark rate of the population as 0.107 (95%
HDI: 0.080 - 0.137) for the period of 1992–1996, and 0.069 (95% HDI:
0.049-0.090) in 2016, indicating a 98% probability that the mark rate in
2016 was lower than the 1992 –1996 period. The lower mark rate in 2016,
along with previous evidence of improved survival rate after area-based
protection, may suggest encounters between dolphins and fishing gear have
declined.



The note may be obtained at
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/mms.12826, or you may email me
at lindsaymwick...@gmail.com for a .pdf copy. If you’d like to know more
about the methods used to estimate mark rate in this paper, I’d like to
refer you to our recent, previous publication:


Wickman, L., Rayment, W., Slooten, E., Dawson, S.M. (2021). Recommendations
for estimating mark rate of cetaceans in photo-ID research: A critique of
field sampling protocols and variance estimation. *Marine Mammal Science,* 37:
328–343. https://doi.org/10.1111/mms.12723


Cheers,



Lindsay Wickman
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