?Dear MARMAM colleagues,

We are pleased to finally announce the publication of a paper which describes 
the mixing of Australian and South Pacific humpback whale breeding populations 
on their feeding grounds in the Southern Ocean. The analysis uses both nuclear 
and mtDNA markers and includes detailed simulations to assess the statistical 
power of current  genetic datasets for mixed-stock analyses.


Schmitt, N.T., Double, M.C., Baker, C.S., Gales, N.,  Childerhouse, S.,  
Polanowski, A.M., Steel, D., Albertson, R., Olavarria, C., Garrigue, C., Poole, 
M., Hauser, N., Constantine, R., Paton, D., Jenner, C.S., Jarman, S.N. and 
Peakall, R. 2014. Mixed-stock analysis of humpback whales (Megaptera 
novaeangliae) on Antarctic feeding grounds. J. Cetacean Res. Manage.14(1): 
141-157


ABSTRACT

In understanding the impact of commercial whaling, it is important to estimate 
the mixing of low latitude breeding populations on Antarctic feeding grounds, 
particularly the endangered humpback whale populations of Oceania. This paper 
estimates the degree of genetic differentiation among the putative populations 
of Oceania (New Caledonia, Tonga, the Cook Islands and French Polynesia) and 
Australia (western Australia and eastern Australia) using ten microsatellite 
loci and mtDNA, assesses the power of the data for a mixed-stock analysis, 
determines ways to improve statistical power for future studies and estimates 
the population composition of Antarctic samples collected in 2010 south of New 
Zealand and eastern Australia. A large proportion of individuals could not be 
assigned to a population of origin (> 52%) using a posterior probability 
threshold of > 0.90. The mixed-stock analysis simulations however, produced 
accurate results with humpback whales reapportioned to their population of 
origin above the 90% threshold for western Australia, New Caledonia and Oceania 
grouped using a combined mtDNA and microsatellite dataset. Removing the Cook 
Islands, considered a transient region for humpback whales, from the simulation 
analysis increased the ability to reapportion Tonga from 86% to 89% and French 
Polynesia from 89% to 92%. Breeding ground sample size was found to be a factor 
influencing the accuracy of population reapportionment whereas increasing the 
mixture or feeding ground sample size improved the precision of results. The 
mixed-stock analysis of our Antarctic samples revealed substantial 
contributions from both eastern Australia (53.2%, 6.8% SE) and New Caledonia 
(43.7%, 5.5% SE) [with Oceania contributing 46.8% (5.9% SE)] but not western 
Australia. Despite the need for more samples to improve estimates of population 
allocation, our study strengthens the emerging genetic and non-genetic evidence 
that Antarctic waters south of New Zealand and eastern Australia are used by 
humpback whales from both eastern Australia and the more vulnerable breeding 
population of New Caledonia, representing Oceania.


The article can be found at:
https://archive.iwc.int/pages/view.php?ref=3608&search=%21collection15&offset=0&order_by=relevance&sort=DESC&archive=0&thumbs=show&k=&;


Kind regards,


Dr. Natalie T. Schmitt



[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>

ph. +61419032277


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