Hi Dennis,
Fracking seems a bit backwards but I love the idea of fission. Won’t it be 
great to have a clean fission reactors that supply all the energy we want! We 
should get ready by switching our homes to all electric now! 
This is a short 3 min video from the cleanheatlexington.org website by Saul 
Griffith: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qg-p4ZbQ1HU&t=194s about electrifying 
our homes.
Belinda

> On Mar 16, 2022, at 3:23 AM, Dennis Liu <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> Ah, an opening!  😊  😊  😊   Belinda wrote:  >” What would you do to solve the 
> climate crisis?”  [CAUTION:  long and pedantic!]
>  
> First, if I may be permitted to introduce this concept:  “The politician's 
> syllogism, also known as the politician's logic or the politician's fallacy, 
> is a logical fallacy of the form:
>  
> We must do something.
> This is something.
> Therefore, we must do this.
> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politician%27s_syllogism 
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politician%27s_syllogism>
>  
> Now, as applied to politicians, this fallacy takes the form of politicians 
> passing all sorts of bills to demonstrate to their voters/supporters that, 
> why, yes, of course, this is a very big problem, and here’s proof that I 
> CARE, and I am DOING SOMETHING ABOUT IT.
>  
> I can name all too many such situations.  But I am sure that you can too!  
> Think back to things that capture the national attention, and then think 
> about the response and bills from politicians passed in the immediate wake 
> that turn out to be . . . not particularly helpful/useful, yet live on, like 
> ghosts of bad laws past.
>  
> I bring this up because this syllogism applies to individuals too – to all of 
> us.  And for understandable reasons!!!  We have empathy, we care, we want to 
> strive to find solutions.  That’s laudable!  What we should NOT do, though, 
> is to let our DESIRE for an answer mean that we take Action X, Y, and Z, 
> simply because they are ACTIONS.  
>  
> Here’s a quick example.  Many folks see the tragedy unfolding in Ukraine, and 
> want to help.  Understandable, and laudable!  So, in the interest of taking 
> action, of doing SOMETHING, they . . . donated canned food and medical 
> supplies and clothing and blankets.  Hey, it’s a GREAT urge.  But . . . 
> shipping this heavy stuff across the Atlantic is . . . insane.  This is why 
> humans invented cash!  And wire transfers!  And credit cards!  And Venmo!  If 
> you want to take action to support Ukraine and their heroic defense, and help 
> the millions of refugees, in the most efficient way possible, donate money.  
> There are many wonderful charities that will take that money donation and buy 
> the needed goods in Eastern Europe, right where the goods are . . . needed.  
>  
> Climate change, by definition, is a global problem.  The only way to solve 
> problems of this type is to look forward, and see what can actually be 
> accomplished within the realms of reality.  What actions can be taken that 
> will actually have a practical impact?
>  
> Anything in our little town of 7k folks will have, I guarantee you, ZERO 
> practical effect on climate change.  Completely and utterly immeasurable.  
> The best possible argument I could come up with is this – “why, if we take a 
> stand, this will virtue signal to other municipalities to do the same, and if 
> we all pull together, then we can get every town to do the same!”  Except, of 
> course, with climate change, if every single town in the US adopted a 
> regulation that banned the installation of fossil fuel for heating in new 
> buildings, it would still have something approaching ZERO impact on most 
> estimates of greenhouse gas emissions.  And that’s the best case scenario!
>  
> I am almost reluctant to say this – but the big takeaway of the Politician’s 
> Syllogism is that, sometimes, there is ***NOTHING*** that a given 
> politician/municipality/region/country can do about a particular problem.  
>  
> The corollary to that is:  make sure that any virtue signaling attempts at a 
> solution you implement doesn’t actually MAKE THE PROBLEM WORSE.
>  
> Now, to answer specifically Belinda’s question… what would DENNIS do about 
> climate change?  MANY OF YOU ALL WILL HATE THIS, but . . .
>  
> Fracking!!!  Fracking!!!  And more FRACKING!!!  <insert evil cackle of greedy 
> capitalist here, if you must>  WHY?  Because Fracking enables the generation 
> of yet more natural gas.  “WHAAAA?? That’s just crazy talk!”  NOPE.  
> Switching from petroleum and coal to natural gas REDUCES GREENHOUSE GAS 
> EMISSIONS (and has other environmental benefits)!  Heck, the US has recorded 
> reductions in greenhouse gas emissions since 2005, with the biggest 
> contributing factor being the switch from coal to natural gas for electricity 
> generation.  Producing more natural gas – and shipping it more efficiently 
> via pipelines and LNG carriers – will reduce greenhouse gas emissions, 
> PERIOD.  Yet many folks who claim to be environmentalists and green and 
> super-concerned about climate change refuse to acknowledge this reality, 
> simply because they can’t stand the idea of more fracking.  For me, reality 
> wins.
>  
> Nuclear!!!  Nuclear!!!  And more nuclear!!!  <insert images of Hiroshima and 
> Chernobyl and Fukushima here, if you must>  Why?  Because nuclear is the 
> single best GREEN WAY to generate power!  Nuclear fission is awesome!  It has 
> zero carbon emissions!  Nuclear power worldwide has killed less than 
> 0.000001% of the number of people killed by coal and oil and gas!  AND 
> hydroelectric!!!  Ah, what about safety!  Nuclear is super safe!  Fukushima, 
> a reactor of an OLD design, survived not only a massive earthquake, but a 
> historically huge tsunami, without killing anyone from acute radiation 
> poisoning!   The WHO estimates that there will be no discernable increase in 
> cancer death rates!  And *modern* nuclear reactor designs are much safer – 
> think about how safe a car or plane designed today is, compared to one 
> designed in 1954 or 1969.  I could go on and on and on, but the bottom line 
> is – nuclear power is super safe, super efficient, and is the single best way 
> to reduce greenhouse case emissions.
>  
> Nuclear!!!  Nuclear!!!  And more nuclear!!!  And here I mean nuclear fusion.  
> Which is very, very different from nuclear fission.  It’s literally 
> impossible to have a nuclear accident; there’s no long-term waste; and you 
> can’t turn a fusion plant into a weapon (well, I guess you could maybe knock 
> it over onto someone?).  Yes, there’s the hoary saying:  “Fusion is the power 
> of the future, just ten years away, and it’s been that way for the last forty 
> years.”  I’ll grant you that.  But there are a lot of VC backed fusion 
> start-ups now, including ones backed by Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos.  Do you 
> think that greedy capitalist billionaires and VCs are wasting their money if 
> they don’t think that these companies offer a realistic return within the 
> next 5-10 years?  I am 100% confident that my children will enjoy the myriad 
> benefits of (really) cheap electricity, generated by nuclear fusion.
>  
> Mankind will . . . figure it out.  <insert gifs of heads exploding in 
> frustration; bear with me>  What TF is Dennis talking about?  Just this – 
> humans are ingenious, marvelous bastards.  We have effectively solved every 
> large scale problem we’ve faced.  Think about it!  Remember Paul Ehrlich, the 
> Mathusian who argued that we faced inevitable global starvation, due to the 
> linear growth of food production vs the exponential growth of human 
> populations?  Guess what?  Human ingenuity solved for it.  Folks were 
> predicting that the streets of Manhattan would be covered under a six-feet 
> tall layer of horseshit, due to the population increase in NYC and the demand 
> for more carriages.  Human ingenuity solved for it.  I remember the terrible 
> air pollution of the 70s; thanks, yes, to a government mandate (addressing 
> externalities IS a proper role for governments!) on a NATIONAL level, human 
> ingenuity solved for it.  Heck, a terrible deadly disease that threatened to 
> wipe out a large chunk of mankind is being knocked down to endemic status 
> thanks to human ingenuity.  When it comes to climate change, humans will 
> solve for it.  Am I some sort of Panglossian optimist?  No – I just look at 
> the track record of humanity.  There are a bunch of ideas for how we can 
> terraform around it; we can also adapt to raising sea levels.  Those at the 
> greatest risk from climate change are also, logically enough, the poorest 
> around the world.  And thanks to free market capitalism and that vaunted 
> human ingenuity, billions of people are climbing out of poverty.  And when 
> you’re no longer poor, you’re at reduced risk from climate change.
>  
> I know that this is going to be hugely unpopular with many fellow Lincolnites 
> (and, boy, I really should go to bed).  But, hey, I got asked the question.  
> The bottom line actual answer is – “wanting to address climate change is 
> admirable; acknowledging that there’s nothing that the town of Lincoln can do 
> that will actually have an effect on climate change is practical; especially 
> when one takes into account the additional costs that will be forced on 
> people in an attempt to virtue signal while making no impact.”
>  
> My $0.02!
>  
> Vty,
>  
> --Dennis
>  
>  
> From: Belinda Gingrich <[email protected] 
> <mailto:[email protected]>> 
> Sent: Tuesday, March 15, 2022 6:33 PM
> To: Dennis Liu <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>>
> Cc: [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
> Subject: Re: [LincolnTalk] Forcing Lincoln to ban use of gas and oil at home? 
> RE: Webinars regarding Citizen's Petition for Town meeting
>  
> Hi Dennis,
> What would you do to solve the climate crisis? You give well thought out 
> ideas and it would be interesting to hear your proposals. 
>  
> India and China may be producing more greenhouse gases, as they are 
> supporting a few more people, but should we do nothing? What ideas to you 
> have for Lincoln to do?
>  
> If I were building a new home I would want it to be as air tight and well 
> insulated as possible so that my energy bills for heating would be minuscule. 
> Who wouldn’t want a Passive House 
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Passive_house> with minimal heating bills? 
> Should we be allowed to build inefficient houses because we haven’t heard 
> about better options?
>  
> Is Gas a right? Massachusetts has very leaky natural gas infrastructure 
> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2021/10/25/methane-leaks-natural-gas-boston/>
>  contributing to global warming and not even heating our houses. It would 
> cost enormous amounts of money to repair even the major leaks and new leaks 
> are forming all the time. If we could all switch to electric homes we 
> wouldn’t need all the leaky infrastructure. I certainly don’t want to pay for 
> a leaky gas infrastructure. I want the government to legislate it away! 
> https://www.wbur.org/news/2021/10/25/methane-emissions-natural-gas-massachusetts-climate-change
>  
> <https://www.wbur.org/news/2021/10/25/methane-emissions-natural-gas-massachusetts-climate-change>
>  
> There are options. Propane tanks are an option for people who have a leaky 
> old house that needs back-up heat, for people who want a generator because of 
> trees falling on electric lines (not to mention squirrels causing havoc), and 
> for people who must have gas cooktops despite the health warnings. This seems 
> a good libertarian option that doesn’t depend on a central infrastructure 
> that everyone needs to buy into. Just my 2 cents about a centralized gas 
> system.
>  
> Warm regards,
> Belinda
>  
>  
> 
> 
>> On Mar 15, 2022, at 3:07 PM, Dennis Liu <[email protected] 
>> <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
>>  
>> Forgive me as I once again touch the third rail here, but a few questions 
>> for consideration.
>>  
>> A Lincoln environmental group is asking Town Meeting to petition the state 
>> legislature to grant the town the right to ban the installation of gas and 
>> oil for new buildings.  Stephanie Smoot asked the question, effectively, why 
>> was this submitted with short notice and not much investigation or 
>> discussion?  Trish O’Hagan responded, effectively, this is a TWO-STEP 
>> process, and that once the first step is completed (successfully petitioning 
>> the legislature), THEN Lincoln can conduct that investigation and debate.
>>  
>> To which I ask . . . why not have that investigation and debate NOW?  If 
>> this is something that the green energy committee CAN convince the majority 
>> of townsfolks to support, THEN go ahead with the petition process?  
>> Especially since that petition is likely to succeed, so the discussion will 
>> need to be had anyway.  What’s the benefit of doing it in this order?
>>  
>> Perhaps doing it this way makes it EASIER for the proponents to achieve 
>> their goal?
>>  
>> My $0.02:  I am a HUGE fan of induction cooking, preferring it to gas 
>> cooking (with electric resistance cooking a very distant third).  Electric 
>> dryers work just fine, and any operating cost differential over gas dryers 
>> is minimal, if not actually cheaper).  I do prefer, however, our tankless 
>> propane(gas) water heater.  And if I were to build a new home, I’d strongly 
>> consider an electric heat pump system, but given our climate, would at the 
>> least have to supplement that with propane, gas, oil or electric resistance. 
>>  Who cares, though, what that fool Dennis thinks?  What’s critical is that 
>> this is just *MY* preference, *MY* choice.  
>>  
>> As a (small-L) libertarian, I’m very hesitant to *force* my choices on other 
>> people.  I think folks should be free to determine for themselves what they 
>> want and do not want to do.  If someone wants to buy bottled water, or use 
>> canvas grocery tote bags, or drive a Tesla, or recycle plastic, or use a 
>> plastic straw, then let them do there thing.  I’m all for personal or group 
>> efforts to INFORM people, or PERSUADE people, but passing legislation on all 
>> that?  Ugh.  
>>  
>> Yes, I acknowledge that climate change is a “collective-action” problem.  
>> But for a rule like this one . . . I will stand athwart the arrows and point 
>> out that this is, effectively, a *signal*. And also a way for the proverbial 
>> camel to stick its nose into the tent.
>>  
>> Why?  Because the total number of *NEW* buildings in Lincoln over the next, 
>> say, decade, will be, what?  15? 30?  How much actual GLOBAL IMPACT ON 
>> CLIMATE CHANGE will there be as a result of 30 or 40 new buildings running 
>> heat pumps instead of gas/propane/oil?  My calculator doesn’t have that many 
>> places to the right of the decimal.
>>  
>> No, even for argument’s sake, the only real impact would be to *force* 
>> *current* homeowners to make the switch.  What’s the best path to that, from 
>> those who would advocate such a change?  Start by moving the Overton window, 
>> and make the change on new construction.  That’s a reasonable path forward – 
>> if you’re in agreement with the end goal.
>>  
>> Keep in mind, though, sadly, that none of matters *in the practical sense* 
>> because the greenhouse emissions coming out of China, India and other 
>> massively populated countries pulling their citizenry out of gross poverty 
>> completely and utterly overwhelms whatever savings might be achieved by 
>> forcing local townsfolks to making expensive switches to heat pumps.  
>>  
>> And do keep in mind that heat pumps, in using electricity available in 
>> Lincoln, like electric vehicles, are still consuming electricity from fossil 
>> fuels (albeit with lower collective emissions).
>>  
>> AND also keep in mind that even with subsidies, heat pumps are still costing 
>> *all of us* real money – those subsidies are coming either out of the 
>> pockets of taxpayers or rate payers or gas/oil/propane customers.  TANSTAAFL.
>>  
>> Thus – my suggestion is that if this is something that the people of Lincoln 
>> should real consider doing, then please have the debate, fully informed, 
>> NOW, rather than later.
>>  
>> See also:  the Boston Globe, “Massachusetts should be converting 100,000 
>> homes a year to electric heat. The actual number: 461” from August 2021, the 
>> full text posted below.  
>> https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/08/21/science/massachusetts-should-be-converting-100000-homes-year-electric-heat-actual-number-461/
>>  
>> <https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/08/21/science/massachusetts-should-be-converting-100000-homes-year-electric-heat-actual-number-461/>
>>  
>>  
>> Vty,
>>  
>> --Dennis
>>  
>> Massachusetts should be converting 100,000 homes a year to electric heat. 
>> The actual number: 461
>> By Sabrina Shankman 
>> <https://12ft.io/proxy?ref=&q=https://www.bostonglobe.com/about/staff-list/staff/sabrina-shankman/?p1=Article_Byline>
>>  Globe Staff,
>> Updated August 21, 2021, 2:36 p.m.
>> When Massachusetts officials look into the not-so-distant future of 2030, 
>> they see 1 million homes across the state comfortably heated and cooled by 
>> sleek, efficient heat pumps, their old oil- and gas-burning systems — and 
>> the climate-warming emissions they spewed — relegated to the scrap heap.
>> 
>> But they are woefully behind pace to reach that lofty goal, and the more 
>> time that passes without an urgent response, the further out of reach it 
>> gets.
>> 
>> According to the state’s own plan 
>> <https://www.mass.gov/doc/building-sector-technical-report/download>, 
>> Massachusetts should be converting 100,000 homes a year from fossil fuels to 
>> electricity for heating and cooling. The reality is much different: Just 461 
>> homes made the switch last year, according to data reviewed by the Globe.
>> 
>> “We are nine years from 2030, and we have barely begun to scratch the 
>> surface in terms of what we’re doing and where we need to be going,” said 
>> Eugenia Gibbons, Massachusetts climate policy director for Healthcare 
>> Without Harm. “We need to be doing more, faster. The world is burning — I 
>> don’t know how else to say it.”
>> 
>> Nearly one third 
>> <https://www.mass.gov/doc/building-sector-technical-report/download> of 
>> Massachusetts’ emissions come from its more than 2 million buildings. The 
>> state says eliminating those emissions by shifting to electrical sources — 
>> and replacing fossil fuel energy generation with renewable sources, such as 
>> wind, hydro-power, and solar — is critical to achieving net zero emissions 
>> in time to do the most good. Between 2021 and 2030, the state estimates 
>> <https://www.mass.gov/doc/interim-clean-energy-and-climate-plan-for-2030-december-30-2020/download>,
>>  about 1 million residential heating systems will come to the end of their 
>> service lives — each a fossil fuel system that could be replaced by one 
>> using electricity.
>> 
>> Heat pumps, which use electricity to heat and cool buildings, are the best 
>> tools for electrifying homes, according to the state’s Clean Energy and 
>> Climate for 2030 
>> <https://www.mass.gov/info-details/massachusetts-clean-energy-and-climate-plan-for-2030>
>>  plan. Yet clean energy experts and advocates say there are several 
>> roadblocks to widespread adoption, including high costs, lack of confidence 
>> by consumers, and ignorance of the technology among many heating contractors.
>> 
>> One of the biggest may be the state’s own energy efficiency program, Mass 
>> Save. The program, which is funded by a surcharge on utility bills and run 
>> by utility companies including gas providers, offers rebates to homeowners 
>> for purchasing certain energy efficient equipment. While Mass Save purports 
>> to support the state’s climate goals, advocates say it fails to support full 
>> home electrification, and in some cases, appears to even actively discourage 
>> it.
>> 
>> As the recent UN climate report <https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/> made 
>> abundantly clear, the time for action is running out. The planet has already 
>> warmed by roughly 1.1 degrees Celsius since the 19th century, and as this 
>> summer of extreme weather catastrophes has shown, even this amount of 
>> warming comes with dire consequences. No matter how quickly we ramp up 
>> climate measures, the planet is going to get even warmer, the UN panel said; 
>> how much warmer will be determined by the steps taken now to stop greenhouse 
>> gas emissions — specifically, by quitting fossil fuels.
>> 
>> Unlike many other states and even countries, Massachusetts has a law on the 
>> books requiring the state to get to net-zero emissions by 2050. But setting 
>> a goal and achieving it are two different things, and failure to ramp up now 
>> could lead to a chaotic rush down the road — or make the goal impossible to 
>> reach.
>> 
>> “We’re off by orders of magnitude from where we’re going to need to get to,” 
>> said Cameron Peterson, director of clean energy for the Metropolitan Area 
>> Planning Council.
>> 
>> At Mass Save, the reluctance is hiding in plain sight. Some homeowners said 
>> contractors affiliated with Mass Save dissuaded them from removing their 
>> fossil fuel systems and going all-electric.
>> 
>> Moreover, the list 
>> <https://www.masssave.com/saving/residential-rebates/electric-heating-and-cooling/heat-pump-qualified-list>
>>  of heat pumps that qualify for Mass Save rebates includes equipment that is 
>> not specifically designed for cold climates. And even the 2021 form 
>> <https://www.masssave.com/-/media/Files/PDFs/Save/Residential/Central_AC_and_Heat_Pump_Rebate_Form.pdf?la=en&hash=FF90FEE79E9BCD2B13FCEF3AB8E40100D07F78B3&hash=FF90FEE79E9BCD2B13FCEF3AB8E40100D07F78B3>
>>  that homeowners must fill out for a rebate on heat pumps includes this 
>> note: “The Sponsors of Mass Save do not recommend fully displacing existing 
>> central heating system with heat pump equipment.”
>> 
>> Of the 461 full-electric conversions in 2020, fewer than half were 
>> facilitated by Mass Save. The rest came from programs sponsored by the 
>> Massachusetts Clean Energy Center and the Department of Energy Resources. 
>> Both departments have offered programs that help homeowners purchase heat 
>> pumps. Though there may have been some additional electric conversions that 
>> year, experts in the field said that number is likely to be small.
>> 
>> Critics who have been watching the slow progress in Massachusetts are coming 
>> to the conclusion that, in its current form, the Mass Save program, which 
>> for 20 years has been effective at increasing energy efficiency, may no 
>> longer be the best vehicle now that the program’s directive is shifting to 
>> helping fight the climate crisis.
>> 
>> “It’s difficult to build new imperatives onto old programs,” said Matt 
>> Rusteika, who leads the buildings initiative at Acadia Center, a clean 
>> energy advocacy organization.
>> 
>> While the utilities behind Mass Save say they support the state’s 
>> decarbonization plan, Chris Porter, the director of customer energy 
>> management for National Grid in New England, stressed that the current 2030 
>> plan is still in draft form, and that in National Grid’s opinion, the best 
>> path forward may not be complete electrification.
>> 
>> “Our perspective is that there are multiple potential pathways to achieving 
>> the goal, which is decarbonization, and achieving the targets laid out in 
>> the climate act,” said Porter. “There is still work to be done in order to 
>> determine what the optimal, lowest-cost path to achieving that outcome is.”
>> 
>> Instead, Porter said, so-called renewable fuels such as hydrogen and 
>> renewable natural gas, which he said could deliver lower-carbon fuels via 
>> existing infrastructure, could play a role in the state’s future.
>> 
>> Both of those options are fraught. Critics say 
>> <https://earthjustice.org/features/report-building-decarbonization> that 
>> renewable natural gas, composed mainly of methane made from recaptured 
>> carbon or organic material like compost, likely doesn’t exist at the scale 
>> needed, and studies have found that gas leaks would still contribute to 
>> climate warming 
>> <https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab9335/meta>. 
>> Meanwhile hydrogen currently is made from methane, and climate-friendlier 
>> versions are still in development while also being called out 
>> <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/ese3.956> recently in a 
>> scientific journal as potentially as bad or worse than fossil fuels.
>> 
>> A state official said the 2030 climate plan remains in draft form mainly to 
>> incorporate the more rigorous carbon-cutting goals of the Massachusetts law. 
>> As a result, any changes would likely step up the ambitions for 
>> electrification, not reduce them.
>> 
>> The current and proposed incentives in the Mass Save program offer rebates 
>> to homeowners heating with oil or propane to purchase heat pumps, but not to 
>> owners with gas systems. Mass Save says this is for financial reasons: Heat 
>> pumps are expensive. While oil and propane customers can expect to 
>> experience savings, gas customers could see their bills rise slightly, and 
>> Mass Save has historically functioned first and foremost to save customers 
>> money while increasing their energy efficiency.
>> 
>> But converting oil and propane customers alone will not get the state to 1 
>> million electrified homes by 2030. Currently in Massachusetts, 750,000 homes 
>> are heated with oil or propane. To reach the goal, that means at least 
>> 250,000 gas customers must make the switch, too.
>> 
>> Some residents said that as they sought to convert their homes off of fossil 
>> fuels, contractors, including those associated with Mass Save’s energy audit 
>> program, told them that heat pumps alone could not heat a home adequately 
>> through a Massachusetts winter.
>> 
>> Rusteika saw this firsthand when he converted his own home to heat pumps. “I 
>> had five contractors here, and only one advised against a full replacement” 
>> of his fossil fuel system, he said. “That was the Mass Save partner.”
>> 
>> Across the state, homeowners have said that as they sought to convert their 
>> homes off of fossil fuels, they were told by contractors that it could not 
>> be done because of the cold winters in Massachusetts. That’s simply not 
>> true, according to several experts in the field.
>> 
>> “Certainly, we know that whole building electrification can work in 
>> Massachusetts,” said Jeremy Koo, an associate at Cadmus, a technical and 
>> strategic consulting company that helped the state develop some of its 
>> climate plans and which helps implement heat pump programs across the region.
>> 
>> Unlike older models of heat pumps, which earned a reputation in the 1990s 
>> for failing to adequately heat homes, modern, cold-climate heat pumps can 
>> function in temperatures as low as negative 13 degrees. But while some 
>> contractors have embraced the new technology, the idea that heat pumps are 
>> ineffective lingers.
>> 
>> Ben Butterworth, a Melrose homeowner and the senior manager for Climate and 
>> Energy Analysis at Acadia Center, said that out the five contractors he 
>> spoke with, only one was comfortable fully converting his oil-burning 
>> heating system to heat pumps. Because he works in the field and is well 
>> versed in the technology, he knew to look around for a more amenable 
>> contractor to help him make the switch. But others might be more likely to 
>> take the first contractor’s advice and keep a fossil fuel system for backup.
>> 
>> Out in the field, Dan Zamagni, the director of operations for New England 
>> Ductless, said his company has installed several whole-home heat pumps, and 
>> has full confidence that they can do the job.
>> 
>> “I think that with a trained eye and the right situation, you can make 
>> anything work,” said Zamagni. “These systems are becoming more and more 
>> efficient.”
>> 
>> For many homeowners, the high costs of installation and operation can 
>> represent another big hurdle. There is no one-size-fits-all solution for 
>> heat pumps, so different kinds of equipment are needed depending on the 
>> specifics of an individual building. Installation costs can have a huge 
>> range. A whole-home heat pump program run by the Massachusetts Clean Energy 
>> Center found an average project cost of $21,479, which was higher than 
>> expected, the program’s director, Meg Howard, noted in a blog.
>> 
>> “I am hopeful that this cost premium will shrink as installers become more 
>> accustomed to designing whole home heat pump configurations,” she wrote 
>> <https://www.masscec.com/blog/2020/09/29/september-whole-home-heat-pump-pilot-update-still-time-apply>.
>> 
>> Once heat pumps are up and running, homeowners who were previously on oil or 
>> propane can expect their monthly bills to decrease. While homes previously 
>> heating with gas might see a slight increase in the cold months, the annual 
>> bills are likely to even out because of savings from air conditioning, 
>> Rusteika said.
>> 
>> Of course a lot of this depends on the house, according to the Northeast 
>> Energy Efficiency Partnerships, an energy-efficiency nonprofit. Homeowners 
>> who weatherize their homes before getting estimates will find they save on 
>> both installation and operating costs, while a drafty home is going to end 
>> up costing more.
>> 
>> For oil and propane users making the switch to heat pumps, Mass Save rebates 
>> can add up to as much as $6,250 in savings for the average sized home, 
>> according to the Acadia Center.
>> 
>> By any metric, the rate of heat pump installations is behind. The vast 
>> majority of heat pumps are installed in homes where they will supplement 
>> existing oil, gas, or propane systems, not replace them outright. And in 
>> 2020, the Mass Save program helped install just 3,300 heat pumps, far short 
>> even of its own goal of 15,000 a year.
>> 
>> Now, a state-run board that oversees the program, the Energy Efficiency 
>> Advisory Council, is pushing the utilities behind Mass Save to go further. 
>> The council says the program should up its goal to 120,000 heat pumps 
>> installed between 2021 and 2024, or 40,000 a year. But there’s no clear goal 
>> around how many buildings would be fully electrified in that process, and it 
>> remains to be seen whether Mass Save will ultimately adopt the council’s 
>> goal.
>> 
>> Installing heat pumps but keeping a fossil fuel system as a backup helps 
>> decrease greenhouse emissions, and can lead to increased consumer confidence 
>> in the technology, making homeowners more likely to fully electrify in the 
>> future, several experts said.
>> 
>> But there’s a downside, too. “Keeping in fossil fuel equipment has 
>> ramifications not just on how far the state gets towards its emissions 
>> targets, but also has implications for the infrastructure that’s in place to 
>> continue supporting fossil fuel delivery,” said Koo, of Cadmus.
>> 
>>  
>>  
>>  
>> From: Lincoln <[email protected] 
>> <mailto:[email protected]>> On Behalf Of Trish O'Hagan
>> Sent: Saturday, March 12, 2022 3:03 PM
>> To: [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
>> Subject: Re: [LincolnTalk] Webinars regarding Citizen's Petition for Town 
>> meeting
>>  
>> Dear Stephanie, 
>> Thanks so much for your interest in the webinar. Hopefully you will join us 
>> this week as we all share ideas and learn together about electrification of 
>> buildings as a way to combat the climate emergency.  
>>      To be clear, the Citizen's petition, if passed, would simply ask the 
>> legislature to give Lincoln the option to require new construction to be all 
>> electric.  At that time, Lincoln could begin a robust discussion about what 
>> works best for our town and would require a vote at a town meeting in the 
>> future. 
>>   I hope this helps clear up some of your concerns. 
>> Best, 
>> Trish O'Hagan
>> Lincoln Mothers Out Front
>>  
>>> On 03/12/2022 1:39 PM Stephanie Smoot <[email protected] 
>>> <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote: 
>>>  
>>>  
>>> There is so much to know about impacts of  this proposed proposition- I'm 
>>> very suprised that days before the meeting such significant legislation is 
>>> being proposed.  Especially how it impacts costs to Lincoln Residents.  
>>> None of this has been studied in any depth and data on our current NetZero 
>>> buildings such as the expensive all-electric new school is unconfirmed-are 
>>> we comfortable in them and are they affordable to run?  
>>>  
>>> Its important to note that none of the towns mentioned (Acton Concord 
>>> Lexington) have actually passed such initiatives and there is already a 
>>> NetZero stretch code proposed state-wide. 
>>>  
>>> 
>>> Regards,  
>>> Stephanie Smoot
>>>  
>>> 857 368-9175  work 
>>> 781 941-6842  personal cell 
>>> 617 595-5217 work cell 
>>> 126 Chestnut Circle 
>>> Lincoln, MA 01773 
>>>  
>>>  
>>>  
>>>  
>>>  
>>> <http://www.avg.com/email-signature?utm_medium=email&utm_source=link&utm_campaign=sig-email&utm_content=webmail>
>>>    
>>> Virus-free. www.avg.com 
>>> <http://www.avg.com/email-signature?utm_medium=email&utm_source=link&utm_campaign=sig-email&utm_content=webmail>
>>>  
>>> On Sat, Mar 12, 2022 at 10:06 AM Trish O'Hagan <[email protected] 
>>> <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote: 
>>>> Citizen’s Petition — Restrict Fossil Fuel Systems in New Buildings 
>>>> Related to climate change advocacy, a group of residents is asking Town 
>>>> Meeting to support a petition to the state legislature that would require 
>>>> new construction be all-electric for heating, cooling, and indoor cooking. 
>>>> Lincoln would join other towns who similarly have petitioned the state.  
>>>> The changes are necessary to help achieve the statewide reductions in 
>>>> greenhouse gas emissions nset in the climate act signed in March 2021. 
>>>> Learn more at Zoom meetings on Monday 3/14, 7-8pm, and Thursday, 3/17, 
>>>> 3-4pm (links below), or call Trish O’Hagan (781-248-5657) or Paul Shorb 
>>>> (617-543-5590) with questions.  Additional information will also be posted 
>>>> at https://www.lincolngreenenergy.org/ 
>>>> <https://www.lincolngreenenergy.org/>.  
>>>> 
>>>> Time: Mar 14, 2022 07:00 PM
>>>> https://us02web.zoom.us/j/82072433671 
>>>> <https://us02web.zoom.us/j/82072433671>  
>>>> Meeting ID: 820 7243 3671 
>>>>  
>>>>  Mar 17, 2022 03:00 PM 
>>>> https://us02web.zoom.us/j/81095315671 
>>>> <https://us02web.zoom.us/j/81095315671>  
>>>>  
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