> Really I'd put Leeds chances of avoiding the drop at 5% now.   Anyone know 
> what the exchanges/bookies are offering on Leeds staying up?

There are 81 permutations of the 4 matches left involving Leeds and Hull.

Assuming its a straight fight between us and Hull and that their goal diff 
will be better than ours then...

Out of the 81 perms we would stay up in 23 cases - so its approx 28% chance.


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Lewis, KM (Kevin)" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Monday, April 23, 2007 3:54 PM
Subject: [LU] Master Bates has a big problem now


> Remember we are unlikely to overturn Hull's goal difference, so 
> effectively have to get 2 points more than Hull over the last 2 games.
>
> As I think Hull are likely to get 3 or 4 points from these matches, Leeds 
> need to win both to get out of it.  Hopefully Derby will have nothing to 
> play for in the last match.  I can still see the scenario where Hull get a 
> last minute winner to send us down on goal-diff.
>
> Really I'd put Leeds chances of avoiding the drop at 5% now.   Anyone know 
> what the exchanges/bookies are offering on Leeds staying up?
>
> KOT.
>
>
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> it's a God awful small affair
> 



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