Rui Fan created FLINK-36018:
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             Summary: Support lazy scale down to avoid frequent rescaling
                 Key: FLINK-36018
                 URL: https://issues.apache.org/jira/browse/FLINK-36018
             Project: Flink
          Issue Type: Improvement
          Components: Autoscaler
            Reporter: Rui Fan
            Assignee: Rui Fan


h1. Background & Motivation

We enabled autoscaler scaling for a few flink production jobs. It works with 
Adaptive Scheduler and Rescale api.

Scaling results:
 * The recommended parallelism meets expectations most of the time
 * When the source traffic increases, the autoscaler scales up the job in time 
to prevent lags.
 * When the source traffic decreases, the autoscaler scales down job in time to 
save resources
 * {color:#de350b}*Pain point:*{color} Each job rescales more than 20 times a 
day (job.autoscaler.metrics.window=15 min by default). 

As we all know, the job will be unavailable for a while during the restart for 
some reasons:
 * Cancel job
 * Request resources( 
[FLIP-472|https://cwiki.apache.org/confluence/display/FLINK/FLIP-472%3A+Aligning+timeout+logic+in+the+AdaptiveScheduler%27s+WaitingForResources+and+Executing+states]
 is optimizing it)
 * Initialize task
 * Restore state
 * Catch up lag during restart
 * etc

*{color:#de350b}Expectations:{color}*
 * Scaling up in time to prevent lags.
 * Lazy scaling down to reduce downtime and ensure resources can be released 
later.


h1. Solution:

Introduce job.autoscaler.scale-down.lazy-period, the default value could be 30 
min.

Detailed strategies:
 * Record the start time of the first scale-down event for each vertex 
separately. For example:
 ** vertex1: 2024-08-09 01:35:02
 ** vertex2: 2024-08-09 01:38:02
 * Scaling down will be triggered for some cases:
 ** Any vertex needs scale up
 *** Job restart cannot be avoided, so trigger scale down for another vertex as 
well if needed
 *** After scale down, clean up the start time of scale-down.
 ** The scale down lazy period for any vertex is coming
 *** current time - min(start time for each vertex) > scale-down.lazy-period
 *** This means that there is no scaling up during the scaling down lazy period

Note1: If the recommend parallelism >= current parallelism, the start time of 
scale-down will be cleaned up for current vertex.

Note2: The recommended parallelism still comes from the latest 15-minute 
metrics.For example:
 * The current parallelism of vertex1 is 100, the traffic is decreased at night.
 * 2024-08-09 01:00:00, the recommended parallelism is 60.

 ** The start time of scale down is 2024-08-09 01:00:00.
 * 2024-08-09 01:15:00, the recommended parallelism is 50.
 ** Still within the range of scale down lazy period.
 ** Don't update the start time of scale down.
 * 2024-08-09 01:31:00, the recommended parallelism is 40.
 ** Outside of scale-down.lazy-period, trigger rescale, and use 40 as the 
recommended parallelism.
 ** The job.autoscaler.metrics.window is 15 min, so metrics from 2024-08-09 
01:16:00 to 2024-08-09 01:31:00



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