*http://peoplesvoice.in/2017/02/27/communalising-population-growth-understanding-demographic-data/
<http://peoplesvoice.in/2017/02/27/communalising-population-growth-understanding-demographic-data/>*



*Communalising Population Growth: Understanding Demographic Data*



*Ram Puniyani*





The biases and misconceptions about conversions and population growth have
been used by communal forces to divide the society. This became apparent
once again when Minister of state of Home, Kiren Rijuju tweeted that that
Hindu population is decreasing in the country as Hindus don't convert and
that minorities in India are flourishing unlike in the neighbouring
countries.



Threat of decline in Hindu population and increase in population of
minorities is being propagated time and over again. As per the data of 2011
census figures, Hindu population now stands at 79.8 % and Muslim population
at 14.23%. “The data on Population by Religious Communities of Census 2011
show that between 2001 and 2011, Hindu population grew by 16.76 per cent,
while that of Muslims by 24.6 per cent. The population of both communities
grew faster during the previous decade, at 19.92 per cent and 29.52 per
cent, respectively. As a long-term trend, say demographers, the
communities’ growth rates are converging.” This means that the decadal
rates of growth of both communities is declining and converging closer to
each other.



This is pointer to the fact that while charting out the future projections
it is important to keep in mind that the rate of growth of Muslim
population will be falling and will stabilise closer to that of rate of
rise Hindu population. In the total population Muslims will remain a
religious minority for the times to come. Interestingly the population
increase of Hindus during the period of 2001 to 2011 has been 133 millions,
which is close to the total population of Muslims in 2001.The scare being
spread through word of mouth campaign and through social media about Muslim
population taking over the Hindu population holds no water, as there are
clear trends of decline in the decadal rate of growth of Muslim population
as well.



The demographers point out that the higher rates of fertility are due to
lack of education and poor health facilities. Muslims in Kerala have a
lower fertility rate than many Hindu communities in North India and even in
Kerala. The economic profile of Kerala Muslims is much different than the
Muslims in Assam, West Bengal, UP and Maharashtra for example. If we
broaden this point we will see that the rise in population among Dalits
(Schedule castes) and Adivasis (Scheduled Tribes) is much higher as such .
As per the 2011 census STs are 8.6% while they were 6.23 % according to
1951 census. SCs now are 16.6%, while as per 1951 they were around 15%.



As such the whole truth will show us that the propaganda of communal forces
has nothing to do with reality of society and deeper causes of the same. It
is in this background that the likes of Praveen Toagadia said that two
child norm should be imposed, while the likes of Sakshi Maharaj and Sadhvi
Prachi have been extolling the Hindus to produce more children.



BJP President has called for the 'Look North East' to raise the scare about
the Christian population in the North East. This primarily Tribal area saw
the increase in percentage of Christians in the decades of 1931-1951. The
rise in percentage of Christian population has a lot to do with the spread
of Civil Administration with Independence and also with the spread of
education in the region. Country wide we can see that the percentage of
Christians is static from last few decades. If at all it has declined and
stabilised. If we see from 1971, we see that Christian population was 2.60%
(1971), 2.44 (1981), 2.34 (1991), 2.30 (2001) and 2.30 (2011). In the
meanwhile the propaganda of Missionary activities and increase in the
number of Christians has dominated the scene. The anti Christian violence
came to the public attention with the ghastly murder of Graham Stewarts
Stains (1999). Dara Singh of Bajrang Dal, which is affiliated to RSS,
incited the local people that the Pastor is doing conversions which is
against Hindus. Wadhwa Commission, which investigated Pastor Stains murder,
concluded that he was not involved in the work of conversion and that in
Keonjhar, Manoharpur Orrisa where the Pastor was working, there was no
increase in the percentage of Christian population. Similarly Kandhmal
anti-Christian violence was unleashed on the pretext of murder of Swami
Laxmananand. Gujarat also saw anti Christian activities again due to
propaganda that the Missionaries are converting. At the same time we see
that the national population of Christians remains static. Some people do
allege that conversions to Christianity are there but the converts are
hiding their religion, this is again a matter of conjuncture and nothing
definite can be said. Any way it cannot be a large number in any case.



As such conversions have been a part of the agenda of Hindu nationalism
times and over again. During freedom movement two parallel processes of
conversions were going on. One was Tanzeem, which was to convert the people
to Islam, the other was Shuddhi which was aimed at those who were supposed
to have left their 'religion-home' and were converted to *alien* religions.
The premise was that conversion to other religions has made them impure so
they need to be brought back through a process of purification. Last
several decades RSS-VHP-Vanvasi Kalyan Ashram have been active in what is
called Ghar Wapasi (return Home) to bring back the Dalits and Adivasis who
it is alleged have been converted through force (to Islam) and allurement
or fraud (to Christianity). This Ghar Wapasi campaign has been undertaken
through many newly devised rituals like bath in hot spring or rituals
around fire. This has been rampant in Adivasi areas and in slums-villages.



Adivasis are animists, while RSS claims they are Hindus. To Hinduize them
Vanvasi Kalyan Ashram, now runs a growing network of schools and hostels in
large numbers in North East. Such assertions and accompanying activities
have more to with politics rather than social welfare as such. The attempt
of RSS combine is to link religion with Nationalism.

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