J -

Thanks for this prompt.  I recently tripped over:

https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/martians-wanted-nasa-opens-call-for-simulated-yearlong-mars-mission/

and was reminded of my maunderings when Musk first stated his aspirations for Mars colonization acutely or eloquently enough to convince me he was serious, not just attention-seeking.

1. Antartica has been continuously "colonized" for about 100 years, but
   by various international scientific researchers at extremely well
   funded (per capita) habitats.   The conditions there (for the most
   part) are *much* more welcome to human life and definitely easier to
   supply.
2. Seafloor habitats (these were a rage to consider in the 50s and 60s,
   but have lost popularity) seem at least as welcoming as Antartica
   and (for the most part) nicely buffered from wild climactic and
   weather shifts?   Also easier to resupply from "topside"?    I don't
   know how deep you have to go to get the "buffering" I mentioned, but
   certainly not Titanic explorer implosion depths.   Kurzweil recently
   claimed a synthetic "hemoglobin" replacement/supplement (suggested
   dosage == 50/50 mix with natural) which would gift the average human
   something like 6 hours without breathing?   Add oxy/rebreather tech
   and you have homo aquatic methinks?    Don't know about pressure...
   scuba wonks anyone?
3. Asteroid belting seems to make much more sense for gravitational and
   resource acquisition reasons?   Lots of basic needs available
   "somewhere" in the same gravity well
   (Ice/Oxygen-compounds/metals?).  If you gotta live indoors most of
   the time, why not orbiting in a resource rich environment where you
   never have to dig too deep for molecular resource stock and all
   travel is frictionless and low-gravity-gradient? Atmosphere is good
   for cosmic shielding but not as good as planetary magnetic field?
4. Biosphere/II were part of a big movement as I came of age and lived
   within 100-200 miles of the project at the time... It looked like a
   folly and rich-person's conceit at the time... little did I know
   what would follow!
5. Various ideas around Arcologies, starting with the (also Arizona
   Desert) Arcosanti (Paolo Soleri) and made totally over the top (the
   Saudis' Line City of Noem) have intrigued me, and since any
   moon/mars/europa colony we try to build will be much more
   resource-demanding and personally and external-supply restricted, I
   feel like at-worst we should be exploring those concepts while Musk
   tries to fling a million people to Mars (many of them is direct
   descendents?  Maybe a a few thousand vials of his frozen sperm or
   with the Alabama nonsense, a few thousand IVF embryos of his
   parentage (and gawdess knows whose ova?) for genetic diversity?

It all (Mars/Moon/Asteroid Belt colonization) strikes me as being fueled by too much the GOFF (good old fashioned futurism) too many of us boomers and some GenX were raised on.

If Musk thinks the "woke mind virus" is the earth's (or humanity's) biggest threat, I don't know how he thinks colonizing Mars will help.   Some strange resonance with the aspirations of the break-away European Colonies of the Age of Exploration?  How much of the Americas was colonized with this desire to leave the "old country" baggage behind, only to repeat the same mistakes or trip over the Utopia/Dystopia duality?   And then we have to (almost exclusively failed, and usually catastrophically) cults and communes of the current era.

I avoided reading Kim Stanley Robinson's Red/Green/Blue Mars series for the longest time, not being a big fan of Space Opera, but when he hooked me on his climate disaster novels (Washington DC, California settings, then his magnum opus a few years ago Ministry for the Future) I went ahead and let him update me on the Barsoomian conceits I was raised on as a pre-teen.    His Terraforming Mars (red/green/blue Mars) stuff was pretty good with lots of tech exploration of just how do you survive on mars-as-it-is then get enough water to the surface to start greening up some parts, then yet enough more water to start having surface water.   I forget the tech details now, but suffice it to say I was mildly convinced he had researched the basic physics and ideated honestly on the engineering challenges.   Of course the social/economic/political implications interested me more.  He played around in that space well.

I'm not convinced we have any business colonizing Mars (or any Solar planetary body really) soon.   Seems like we have an excellent Goldilocks Zone planet whose nurturance (or at least our multi-billion year evolution/adaption/co-evolution to/with it) is a fine fit if we could just "cool our jets" (literally and figuratively) enough to keep the keep the oscillations we are driving into it's medium term (centuries?) stability so thoughtlessly.  Drill Baby Drill!

I just started watching the series "the Expanse" which as best I can tell is constrained to the general range I've described of Earth/Mars/Belt...   it seems pretty long on tech and special effects and flashy weapons and space-collisions and bad blood/intentions, and really weak on any deference to the realities of orbital mechanics and semi-absurdity of the implied economics (measured in delta-V?) but I am doing this to be conversant with a good friend.   What we both agreed on was that by the time our tech/energetics support that kind of free-ranging through the middle of the solar system, genetic engineering and cybernetic tech, you would at least expect the humans going about all this spacefaring to be *tiny*, maybe giant brains with minimal bodies and probably reverting to grasping feet/toes and maybe throw (back) in an articulating tail for balance in 0G and an extra gripper/poker?    A 30lb human with a 2-3lb brain is a lot more  obvious than the 150-300 lb'rs shown on the show.   The metabolic needs just don't make sense?   replace a bunch of the muscle/bone/pumps/fluids of a human body with cyber versions and the "engineering" support/maintenance/repair becomes more suitable to the environment.   Maybe the brain/mind/spirit upload business will come about eventually, then the burden of the human-on-board become even more well aligned with other systems?   Or maybe we go the other way and engineer our bodies to become the space-ships...  let organic chemistries and biomechanics and biomaterials do all the work of radiation shielding, vacuum resisting, thermal management, etc.   might be a bit much to do ion-thrusters/chemical-rockets/nuclear-rockets with bio-materials?   Light Sails! Nicholas van Rjin/ Falkayne anyone? James Blish?   Ian Banks?

Mumble,

 -S

On 3/1/24 10:04 AM, Jochen Fromm wrote:
Corentin de Chatelperron and Caroline Pultz tried to live for 120 days in the Mexican desert self sufficiently, growing their own food. Using their own desalination machines they generated fresh water for the plants and themselves
https://www.arte.tv/en/videos/110239-000-A/the-biosphere-experiment/

Biosphere 2 near Tuscon was a similar, even more extreme experiment to create a self-sustaining ecosystem. The experiment was considered a failure and the whole center belongs now to the University of Arizona.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biosphere_2

Both experiments showed how difficult it is to support human life in a closed, self-sustaining environment. Do you think self-sustained life on Moon or Mars is possible? Or as the book "A City on Mars" asks "Can we settle space, should we settle space, and have we really thought this through?" https://www.theguardian.com/books/2023/dec/14/a-city-on-mars-by-kelly-and-zach-weinersmith-review-one-way-ticket-to-muskow-anyone

-J.


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