More grumbling:  The folks that aren't wearing seat belts may be costing us 
money, but they aren't endangering the people going to bat for them like Renee. 
 

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of u?l? ?>$
Sent: Wednesday, August 11, 2021 12:02 PM
To: friam@redfish.com
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] off-label technologies, exaptatiion and exponential 
technological growth.

Well, there is this:

What Do Full Hospitals Really Tell Us About COVID?
https://reason.com/volokh/2021/08/09/what-do-full-hospitals-really-tell-us-about-covid/

I mean, even Renee's ED up here in WA is full every day, with ambulance 
paramedics caring for patients in the hallways until an ED bed frees up. So I 
can only imagine what LA's or TX's hospitals are like. But TX is state of the 
art in medicine, especially cardiology. So perhaps LA's numbers are way off? 
Maybe there's a lot of people in LA who *would* be hospitalized if they lived 
in TX?

On 8/11/21 11:22 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
> Consider deaths in Louisiana (20) vs. Texas (90).   Both states with lots of 
> obesity and similar weather.  
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of u?l? ?>$
> Sent: Wednesday, August 11, 2021 10:52 AM
> To: friam@redfish.com
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] off-label technologies, exaptatiion and exponential 
> technological growth.
> 
> It would be interesting to plot some geographical data about comorbidities, 
> particularly obesity.
> 
> On 8/11/21 9:09 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>> It is weird there are orders of magnitude of variability.   I wonder if it 
>> is differences in spatial distribution of the different vaccines?   
>> Ethnicity?   Prevalence?
>> -----Original Message-----
>> From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of u?l? ?>$
>> Sent: Wednesday, August 11, 2021 8:06 AM
>> To: friam@redfish.com
>> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] off-label technologies, exaptatiion and exponential 
>> technological growth.
>>
>> Attached.
>>
>> Missing Arkansas, Connecticut, Florida, Hawaii, Iowa, Kansas, Maryland, 
>> Missouri, New York, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Wyoming.
>>
>> On 8/10/21 4:43 PM, David Eric Smith wrote:
>>> I am sure it is just dieseling at this point, but I was pleased to see the 
>>> following article:
>>> https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/08/10/us/covid-breakthrough
>>> -
>>> i
>>> nfections-vaccines.html
>>> <https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/08/10/us/covid-breakthroug
>>> h
>>> - infections-vaccines.html> (I usually get to these things late; 
>>> y’all probably have read it already)
>>>
>>> In reading the first table, on hospitalization and death fractions 
>>> by vax/unvax, I was thinking “okay, now since we have vaccinated 
>>> fractions by date, we could do a covariance plot, and of course 
>>> could then do more involved multiple regressions on dummy variables 
>>> as we could find them.”  (No pun meant on “dummy variable”, though I 
>>> am unable to miss it myself.  Things like measures of hospital 
>>> performance, coverage of masking rules or other public health 
>>> measures, population density and gathering density, etc.  Some of 
>>> these to be proxies for fraction exposed, which is hard to get at.)
>>>
>>> But then that is just where the article goes.  It’s funny how a pair made 
>>> of a careful writer and a lazy reader can be an unhelpful combination.  The 
>>> text leading to the second table says "people who were not fully vaccinated 
>>> were hospitalized with Covid-19 at least five times more often than fully 
>>> vaccinated people, according to the analysis, and they died at least eight 
>>> times more often.”  I remember the nice passage in John Paulos’s book 
>>> “Innumeracy”, where (to make some point, which I now forget), he comments 
>>> on why a sign over the highway “Entering New York, Population at least 6” 
>>> is not particularly informative, though quite true.
>>>
>>> Look then at the distribution of multipliers in the table.  For the “at 
>>> least five times” column, the first six entries, alphabetically, are 75x, 
>>> 17x, 47x, 68x, 22, 148x, 161x, and likewise for the “eight times” column. 
>>> Ahh, if the American Public would only tolerate being shown a histogram 
>>> giving the whole distribution at a glance….  Of course, if I were not lazy, 
>>> I could find and download the data and make my own histogram.
>>>
>>> But, credit to those authors.  Within the bounds of what is permitted to 
>>> them, this is a useful data digest.
>>>
>>> Eric


--
☤>$ uǝlƃ

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