Yeah. I'm no survivalist. But it takes almost trivial effort to plan just a 
little bit for redundancy. Maybe it's having lived off rice and beans for 
months or having gone camping as a kid. But living without electricity for a 
week or so doesn't seem that difficult if one's relatively healthy. Beyond a 
week, I think I'd start to have some trouble. I think CERT recommends 3 weeks 
of stockpiled resources. But it's difficult for me to imagine most renters 
achieving that, much less the [food|housing] insecure.

On 2/17/21 8:07 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
> A couple Powerwalls are $14k, plus solar panels.   There’s always the option 
> of stockpiling gas for a generator.    When electricity is out gas stations 
> can’t pump.  It has been like this for days in Oregon due to the consequences 
> of an ice storm.
> 
>> On Feb 17, 2021, at 7:24 AM, Prof David West <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>> 
>> Ted Koppel, NYT, wrote a book a few years back called "Lights Out." About 
>> the national power grid.
>>
>> When published in 2016, the quoted assessment of DoD, FEMA, DOE, 
>> Congressional Energy Committees, and others was a *100% chance of 
>> catastrophic failure within 20 years*.
>>
>> Death toll in the millions within days and weeks of the failure.
>>
>> The grid is an amalgam of mismatched hardware and, perhaps more importantly, 
>> software that prevents inter-operability — including within grid, e.g. 
>> Texas. (local power companies control what bespoke hardware and software is 
>> used: there are no standards).
>>
>> The grid is already infected with malware installed by Russia, North Korea, 
>> Iran, and China.
>>
>> The key components, giant house size transformers, cost from 10-150 million 
>> each and take 2-4 years to manufacture, so there are no backups.  And best 
>> part — all are made in China.
>>
>> Despite the consensus that this _will_ happen in the near future, no one is 
>> planning for what to do about it.
>>
>> All kinds of other good news in the book.
>>
>> True story: in 1971 an intrepid band of revolutionaries set out,  bombs in 
>> trunk, to blow up the railroad tracks between Salt Lake City, UT and 
>> Wendover, NV. Way out on the salt flats where no one would be hurt; trains 
>> given lots of advance warning. The rationale: nearly all of the ammunition 
>> used in Vietnam was transported by train from Baraboo, WI to San Diego, CA, 
>> via those tracks
>>
>> Six left Minneapolis and one by one they lost their zeal and commitment 
>> until 2 were left. Contacted by a co-revolutionary in Portland, plans were 
>> changed, bombs were transferred, and the colleague used them to take out a 
>> single power transmission line, a carefully selected nexus in the northwest 
>> power grid, and caused a two-day blackout that affected Portland up to 
>> Tacoma, WA.


-- 
↙↙↙ uǝlƃ

- .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. .
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6  bit.ly/virtualfriam
un/subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/
archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/

Reply via email to