Hi Nick,

I'm not a probabilist nor a statistician
but I think you could find a math web site that would give you what you want. 
The Wolfram Mathematica gives the normal distribution and I imagine that you 
could subtract one distribution function from another .

I'm not certain why you seem to think it would be normally distributed, which 
is symmetric in both directions. I vaguely think it would be some kind of beta 
function, in part because I remember pictures of beta distributions and they 
seen to be about right--but I have forgotten the hypotheses that would lead to 
such a function.

--John

________________________________
From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> on behalf of Nick Thompson 
<nickthomp...@earthlink.net>
Sent: Monday, August 26, 2019 5:41 AM
To: Friam <Friam@redfish.com>
Subject: [EXT] [FRIAM] FW: Mathematical Inquiry




Dear Mathematical Friammers,



What follows is a problem in mathematics, which, of course, has nothing to do 
with me.



Jones is a diabetic, and he has a glucose monitor that gives him his exact 
blood glucose level moment to moment.  Jones notices at that after breakfast, 
his blood sugars behave in in very different manners, even though he eats 
exactly the same food every day, doesn’t exercise at that time of day ever, and 
takes exactly the same amount of insulin.  Some mornings, his blood sugar rises 
steadily for several hours after a meal, sometimes it falls steadily.  Only 
rarely does it remain steady.  One variable seems left for Jones to control and 
that is the exact timing of the relation between when he take his insulin and 
the time he begins his meal.



So, Jones imagines a model as follows.  Because Jones always takes exactly the 
amount of insulin necessary to account for the amount of sugar he eats, he 
assumes that the curves of insulin activity and sugar activity are both normal 
curves, with the same median time and the same sd and, therefore, the same area 
under the curve.  However, one curve is offset from the other because sometimes 
Jones takes his insulin before he eats his sugar and sometimes he eats his 
sugar before he takes his insulin.  Bearing in mind that the Insulin curve 
SUBTRACTS from the sugar curve, Jones wonders about the shape of the difference 
curve that results from different offsets between eating his meal and taking 
his insulin.  He wonders if, perhaps, that this whole dramatic failure of 
control, could be due to the fact that on some days he takes his insulin a 
little too early and the sugar in the meal is slow to catch up and on other 
days, he takes it too late and the insulin is slow to  catch up.  Thus, the 
correct offset is a tipping point, an unstable equilibrium which is very 
difficult to achieve.



Jones is not a mathematician, but he hangs around with mathematicians, and he 
suspects that there is a software that is readily available on line for free 
that would allow him to display the different curves that result from the 
different offsets and, perhaps, even better, display the function that relates 
the integral of the difference function as a function of the offset.   This 
function might have some interesting properties that could be used to guide 
Jones’s injection behavior.



Does anybody have any thoughts on Jones’s predicament?



Not that I care, but still,



Nick



Nicholas S. Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology

Clark University

http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/<https://nam01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http:%2F%2Fhome.earthlink.net%2F~nickthompson%2Fnaturaldesigns%2F&data=02%7C01%7Cjkennison%40clarku.edu%7Cb1d0995ee78b49a0e5f608d72a09a8de%7Cb5b2263d68aa453eb972aa1421410f80%7C1%7C0%7C637024093301850348&sdata=%2BeLnXgSkhJhirEWVI8foM4O0MfE5v1Yy89WBgzGdgGM%3D&reserved=0>


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove

Reply via email to