Attached is a sketch from my memory of the estimates of the completion
of Microsoft Word for Windows made on various dates. The dashed line is
where the estimated date of completion equals the year the estimate was
made. There are about three or four squares to a year.
I suggested it be engraved in brass and displayed over the entrances to
the buildings at Microsoft. The caption of “Abandon hope all who enter
here” was optional.
As usual, nobody took my advice.
--Barry
On 24 Apr 2019, at 14:00, Tom Johnson wrote:
*"Software development time estimates. *Derek M. Jones analyzes
software-engineering data
<http://mail01.tinyletterapp.com/data-is-plural/data-is-plural-2019-04-24-edition/14233366-github.com/derek-jones/eseur-code-data?c=b52636bc-cb2b-4f8c-a7dd-a9ca89484e10>.
Recently, he convinced a small software company to release a dataset
documenting its internal time estimates
<http://mail01.tinyletterapp.com/data-is-plural/data-is-plural-2019-04-24-edition/14233370-github.com/derek-jones/sip_dataset?c=b52636bc-cb2b-4f8c-a7dd-a9ca89484e10>,
spanning 10 years, 20 projects, and 10,000+ tasks. For each task, the
dataset indicates the number of hours it was predicted to take, how
long it
actually took, the (anonymized) developers it was assigned to, and
more.
[h/t Erik Bern
<http://mail01.tinyletterapp.com/data-is-plural/data-is-plural-2019-04-24-edition/14233374-erikbern.com/2019/04/15/why-software-projects-take-longer-than-you-think-a-statistical-model.html?c=b52636bc-cb2b-4f8c-a7dd-a9ca89484e10>
and Jeremy Singer-Vine <https://twitter.com/jsvine>] "
============================================
Tom Johnson - t...@jtjohnson.com
Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA
505.577.6482(c) 505.473.9646(h)
*NM Foundation for Open Government* <http://nmfog.org>
*Check out It's The People's Data
<https://www.facebook.com/pages/Its-The-Peoples-Data/1599854626919671>*
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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
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