https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

-- rec --

On Wed, Jan 9, 2019 at 11:23 PM Steven A Smith <sasm...@swcp.com> wrote:

> Marcus -
>
> Thanks for that deep dive into the (lack of) structure of Trump's
> bombast.   I'm not sure that the 39% (number varies) of his base are simply
> deplorable breadth-never parsers, though it would seem they would have to
> be to not trip over his rhetoric.   Some (maybe even members of this list?)
> may support him as "the Great Disruptor" while seeing entirely through his
> very poorly crafted rhetoric?
>
> More importantly to me, is the effect it has on the larger population, on
> the norms and expectations of voters/citizens and other political
> operators.    I'd like to think of Trump as one big fat ugly dose of
> live-vaccine which has put the country into a harsh reaction which will
> ultimately leave it with some immunity to his particular style of
> whackadoodlery.   On the other hand, we may sustain systemic damage that
> leaves this country lamed until our eventual and inevitable demise (as a
> country/culture/???).
>
> - Steve
>
> PS  does anyone know what this rough 39% figure is *of*?  Is it 39% of
> citizens, eligible voters, voters in the last election, poll
> subjects(whose?)?   I'm not even sure where I get the number, it seems to
> be the most common number thrown around in many situations....  Sometimes
> it is a round 40% and I think sometimes more like 37%... but it doesn't
> seem to have varied much for quite a while.  Seems like it may be more
> apocryphal than real?
>
>
> On 1/9/19 12:49 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>
> Steve writes:
>
> < I think this is the "genius" of Trump's campaign and tenure... he
> operates from his own (and often ad-hoc) Lexicon and that reported 39%
> stable base of his seems happy to just rewrite their own dictionary to
> match his.  It has been noted that Trump's presidency has been most
> significant for helping us understand how much of our government operates
> on norms and a shared vocabulary.   He de(re?)constructs those with
> virtually every tweet. >
>
> Deconstructing a complex predicate involves taking out sub-predicates and
> sub-sub predicates and examining all of the facts that cause each predicate
> to hold or not.    Trump’s `leadership’ involves ripping out the top level
> predicates and simply defining sub-predicates to hold or not depending on
> his impulses at that minute of the day.   Yes, it is his correct
> recognition that humans, especially the deplorables, aren’t very good with
> depth first search.   He’s got a depth cutoff of about 1, as do they.
>
> Marcus
>
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