"Do you think Al Jazeera is also not worth listening to either?"

I used to watch it more, not so much lately.   I got the impression that the 
English version was not representative.   I don't think it is directly 
comparable to RT.

Lately Der Spiegel is relevant to my concerns, and the Guardian.   I would say 
that "from a perspective" is going to be a sort of persuasion, if not outright 
propaganda. That's why I like reading Mother Jones too.  I know what their 
`perspective' is.   I'm less thrilled with outlets that try to be all things to 
all people.   Really we need a reporters that act more like intelligence 
agents.  Like diplomatic immunity or similar.



________________________________
From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> on behalf of Robert Wall 
<wallrobe...@gmail.com>
Sent: Thursday, January 19, 2017 9:41:01 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Nautilus: Investing Is More Luck Than Talent

P.S. RT is the Russian Propaganda news outlet.   Of course, they'd have their 
own motives for wanting to diminish Chinese power.

I think you should try to understand it before you castigate it as Russian 
propaganda.  I know it is popular in the MSM to press this canard--as the MSM 
is dying--but did you think what was presented in the clip I posted as being 
anything like Russian propaganda ... something Putin would want us to realize 
as if we didn't already realize it?  Do you think Al Jazeera is also not worth 
listening to either?  Given the fake news coming from our own MSM, more and 
more folks are looking elsewhere ... to alternative viewpoints, even if foreign 
... and even if funded by our current bogeyman. As I hear it told, Putin has 
very little to say about the journalistic content of RT.  The same is said of 
Rupert Murdoch's influence over our own Wall Street Journal.  Let's look closer 
at Fox "News," MSNBC, CNN, etc.

I thought the Columbia Journalism Review of RT--What Is Russia 
Today<http://www.cjr.org/feature/what_is_russia_today.php>?--was a reasonable 
accounting of this alternative news outlet.  They provide a worldview from 
their own perspective.  If we want to understand this country better instead of 
just using them to generate fear in the US in order to promote a domestically 
destructive neoliberal agenda, then I submit that this is a good resource for 
that.

Being open-minded does not mean you are brainwashed.  Quite the opposite I 
would think ...


On Thu, Jan 19, 2017 at 8:39 PM, Marcus Daniels 
<mar...@snoutfarm.com<mailto:mar...@snoutfarm.com>> wrote:

"The rigging is, IMHO, of not doing anything about the unabated and 
disproportionate flow of wealth to the top and, hence, giving rise to the 
resulting, ever-skewing, descriptive Pareto distribution of wealth versus 
population.  It certainly does seem like an increasing biasing of the 
metaphorical fair coin [e.g., the busted "trickle down" metaphor of President 
Ronald Reagan]."


I think it depends in part on the source of the wealth and how it is used.   
There's a qualitative difference between a Google and a payday loan company 
that preys on the poor.   Are these wealthy people creating new high-paying 
jobs or locking-in people to dead-end jobs like coal mining?  Do they have a 
vision of advancement of humanity (Gates) or just a unnecessary assertion of 
the `need' for a lowest-common-denominator dog-eat-dog view of things?  How 
does their wealth and power matter in the long run?    It is at least good that 
there isn't just one kind of billionaire, like the sort that destroys the 
environment and enslaves people.


A problem with government is that the agency it gives people is either very 
limited (you get food stamps so you can eat), or it is also hierarchical like 
these enterprises (you don't get much agency unless you fight your way up or 
are an elected official).  For people to truly be free means creating a commons 
that facilitates other kinds of motivators that are rewarding in more complex 
ways than just salary or status.   Universities don't really deliver on this, 
except perhaps for some professors who are in that world for most of their 
adult life.


I would say neoliberalism is trying to engineer biased coins that land in a 
coordinated ways to build something more complex.   One way is with trade laws.


Marcus


P.S. RT is the Russian Propaganda news outlet.   Of course, they'd have their 
own motives for wanting to diminish Chinese power.

________________________________
From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com<mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com>> on 
behalf of Robert Wall <wallrobe...@gmail.com<mailto:wallrobe...@gmail.com>>
Sent: Thursday, January 19, 2017 4:57:14 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: [FRIAM] Nautilus: Investing Is More Luck Than Talent

This is just an exploratory thought piece to try in this forum ... please skip 
if it seems, right off the bat, as being too thought-full ...  [?] [?]

Does Pareto's Principle<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pareto_principle> (with 
the attending, so-called Power Law<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power_law>) 
provide good moral justification for an amped-up progressive tax strategy or a 
reverse-discriminating set of rebalancing policies [e.g., changing the 
probabilities for the "everyman"]?  And, is the argument one of morality or one 
of necessity?  That's what this thread and the subject Nautilus article intend 
to explore, especially with the events that will begin the next four years 
tomorrow.

Nautilus:  Investing Is More Luck Than 
Talent<http://nautil.us/issue/44/luck/investing-is-more-luck-than-talent?utm_source=Nautilus&utm_campaign=f5f998a451-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_dc96ec7a9d-f5f998a451-56531089>
 (January 19, 2017).
The surprising message of the statistics of wealth distribution.

I returned and saw under the sun, that the race is not to the swift, nor the 
battle to the strong,
neither yet bread to the wise, nor yet riches to men of understanding, nor yet 
favor to men of skill,
but time and chance happeneth to them all.  (Ecclesiastes 9:11)

[an introductory aside: As computational statisticians, we love our simulations 
... and our coin tosses.  [?]  We are always mindful of bias ... as, say, 
apparent with the ever-widening wealth gap. Money, Money, 
Money<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ETxmCCsMoD0> ...] [?]

[Inline image 1]

So, as described in the subject Nautilus article, Pareto's Principle, 
descriptively seen so often in nature, seems to imply that the current widening 
wealth gap is, well, "natural?"  Judging by its prevalence in most all rich 
societies, it does seem so. However, remembering that this sorting process 
works even with fair coin tosses in investments and gambling, this process 
phenomenon with its biased outcomes seems to occur in many places and on many 
levels ...

For example, we find this aspect of luck in nature elsewhere in biological 
processes; from Wikipedia ... Chance and Necessity: Essay on the Natural 
Philosophy of Modern Biology is a 1970 book by Nobel Prize winner Jacques 
Monod, interpreting the processes of evolution to show that life is only the 
result of natural processes by "pure chance." The basic tenet of this book is 
that systems in nature with molecular biology, such as enzymatic biofeedback 
loops [metabolisms] can be explained without having to invoke final causality 
[e.g., Intelligent Design].

Usually, relatively very few winners and many, many losers. Phenotypical luck 
or luck in tectonic location?

According to the introduction the book's title was inspired by a line 
attributed to Democritus<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democritus>, "Everything 
existing in the universe is the fruit of chance and necessity."

But, is there a necessity to Pareto's Principle? To answer this I must defer to 
my theoretical mathematician friends who so often look to Plato for such 
answers. [?] [?]   My thought is that the necessity comes from a need to, 
perhaps teleologically, react to it ... as the planet's only available 
potential intelligent designers ... the purpose being, on some scale, 
Darwinian-level survival.

And, this aspect of fate by chance is also reasoned in the Pulitzer-winning 
Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies is a 1997, a 
transdisciplinary non-fiction book by Jared Diamond, professor of geography and 
physiology at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA).

The book attempts to explain why Eurasian civilizations (including North 
Africa) have survived and conquered others, while arguing against the idea that 
Eurasian hegemony is due to any form of Eurasian intellectual, moral, or 
inherent genetic superiority. Diamond argues that the gaps in power and 
technology between human societies originate primarily in environmental 
differences, which are amplified by various positive feedback loops. When 
cultural or genetic differences have favored Eurasians (for example, written 
language or the development among Eurasians of resistance to endemic diseases), 
he asserts that these advantages occurred because of the influence of geography 
on societies and cultures (for example, by facilitating commerce and trade 
between different cultures) and were not inherent in the Eurasian genomes. 
[Wikipedia]

The luck of geography.  So then, should the more fortunate nations be more 
progressively taxed?  Maybe we should ask Greece? Or see what Germany has to 
say?  Followers of egalitarianism would argue yes. Followers of Ayn Rand's 
capitalism or her Objectivism [like Speaker Paul Ryan] would argue no. I think 
most of the rest of us fall somewhere in between; that is, not sure. So, let's 
go on ...

Is the (economic) game rigged then, as Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren have 
insisted? Personally, I would say absolutely yes, and neoliberalism is the 
underlying philosophy of the rigging 
process<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z9wUGxgEFsw> [hear just the 1st 12 
minutes, if you watch].  But, maybe this political ideology is just one that is 
eventually spawned by a conspicuous need for moralistic or even Randian 
justification, by the winners, for its resulting destructiveness--as we so 
often hear, "wealth accumulation is based on hard work and talent."  So, 
intelligent design?

The rigging is, IMHO, of not doing anything about the unabated and 
disproportionate flow of wealth to the top and, hence, giving rise to the 
resulting, ever-skewing, descriptive Pareto distribution of wealth versus 
population.  It certainly does seem like an increasing biasing of the 
metaphorical fair coin [e.g., the busted "trickle down" metaphor of President 
Ronald Reagan].

Going forward, maybe we need to think about this neoliberal meme as the next 
four years, with a President Donald Trump, begin tomorrow  ... while also 
remembering that morality is a human concept or "invention." Or is it?  Or, 
does that even matter?!  Perhaps, morality is just a necessity ... but what are 
its goals ... dare I say its "purpose?"  When did it emerge? With 
consciousness?  How did it emerge?  By chance, as Monad and Democritus would 
insist?

Conjecture: It would seem that morality's human purpose is to check, slow, or 
rebalance the effects of the Pareto phenomenon in social and economic 
processes.  Wealth has always been disproportionately distributed. Surely, just 
like the "selfish gene," morality arose out of self-interest; so it arose with 
prerequisite consciousness and not necessarily just with human consciousness 
[e.g., we see evidence of "morality" in other primate social systems]. As a 
system model, neoliberalism is connected with a positive feedback loop to 
morality and with a negative feedback loop to social stability. I think that 
there is a tipping-point distribution of wealth versus 
population<https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2014-02-04/is-inequality-approaching-a-tipping-point->.

Conclusion: The above conjecture is borne up by chance and necessity.  The 
necessity is manifested by the need to rebalance the outcomes of the game 
[e.g., wealth or opportunity] every now and then, in order to ensure social 
stability. This just seems like a brain-dead conclusion that even Warren Buffet 
and Bill Gates get. But will Trump?  Strong critics of Hillary Clinton imply 
that she, like her husband, would surely have strengthened the negative 
feedback effect of neoliberalism toward their own self-interest and toward 
worsening social stability, IMHO.  The results of the November election are a 
kind of testament to this conclusion. In an unexpected way, we may have a 
chance with Trump to bring even more necessary awareness to the aforementioned 
system model that has often played out in human history and as recounted in 
Jared Diamond's book-length essays.  Bernie-style revolution? Perhaps.

So, that is the idea of how chance and necessity fits here in "the game.". Now, 
let's dig into this idea of morality a bit more and how it fits in with the 
need for a different kind of evolution, not biological, but conscious evolution:

This comment from a Quora article on this subject titled Is morality merely a 
social construct or something 
more?<https://www.quora.com/Is-morality-merely-a-social-construct-or-something-more>
 is notable:
Mindaugas Kuprionis<https://www.quora.com/profile/Mindaugas-Kuprionis>, works 
at CERN
Written 17 Sep 
2010<https://www.quora.com/Is-morality-merely-a-social-construct-or-something-more/answer/Mindaugas-Kuprionis>

Just recently Edge.org<https://www.edge.org/>held a conference titled "The New 
Science of Morality<https://www.edge.org/event/the-new-science-of-morality>". 
Consensus statement signed by several scholars (list below) was such:

1) Morality is a natural phenomenon and a cultural phenomenon
2) Many of the psychological building blocks of morality are innate
3) Moral judgments are often made intuitively, with little deliberation or 
conscious weighing of evidence and alternatives
4) Conscious moral reasoning plays multiple roles in our moral lives
5) Moral judgments and values are often at odds with actual behavior
6) Many areas of the brain are recruited for moral cognition, yet there is no 
"moral center" in the brain
7) Morality varies across individuals and cultures
8) Moral systems support human flourishing, to varying degrees  [aside-- so 
morality may be akin to metabolic systems at the level of society --regulating 
feedback loops of sorts]
[aside--  Fyodor Dostoyevsky's Crime and Punishment comes to mind.  Under this 
eight-point new science, how would we judge the "higher-purpose" actions of 
Rodion Raskolnikov?]

So if it is true that there is no distributional purpose to luck other than a 
mechanistic, long-run, teleonomic<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Teleonomy> 
sorting mechanism of outcomes in accordance with a Power Law, then should there 
be a necessary, periodic re-sorting of the initial conditions now skewed by 
chance ...  like with a deck of cards before the next deal ...?  [?]   All 
poker players would insist on no less.  Don't we all insist on a fair game?  
It's an interesting question, IMHO.
Yes, I know; lots to unpack here.  Sorry.  Nonetheless, I thought the Nautilus 
article was quite thought-provoking as they always seem to be.
[X]Cheers,

-Robert

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