That will be quite a trick:

Bayes' theorem is named after Rev. Thomas Bayes
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Bayes> (/ˈbeɪz/
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Help:IPA_for_English>; 1701–1761), who
> first[*citation needed
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Citation_needed>*] showed how to
> use new evidence to update beliefs. It was further developed by Pierre-Simon
> Laplace <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pierre-Simon_Laplace>, who first
> published the modern formulation in his 1812 *Théorie analytique des
> probabilités
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pierre-Simon_Laplace#Analytic_theory_of_probabilities>*
> .


Charles Sanders Peirce was an American philosopher, logician,
> mathematician, and scientist who is sometimes known as "the father of
> pragmatism". He was educated as a chemist and employed as a scientist for
> 30 years. Wikipedia
> <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Sanders_Peirce>Born
> <https://www.google.com/search?sa=X&espv=2&biw=1706&bih=1024&q=charles+sanders+peirce+born&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAOPgE-LQz9U3MCypNNESy0620i9IzS_ISQVSRcX5eVZJ-UV5APWzNJkkAAAA&ved=0ahUKEwiFhru9uvzJAhVH8WMKHdrUA84Q6BMImAEoADAW>
> : September 10, 1839, Cambridge, MA
> <https://www.google.com/search?sa=X&espv=2&biw=1706&bih=1024&q=cambridge+ma&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAOPgE-LQz9U3MCypNFGCsAozzLXEspOt9AtS8wtyUoFUUXF-nlVSflEeANmbV9EuAAAA&ved=0ahUKEwiFhru9uvzJAhVH8WMKHdrUA84QmxMImQEoATAW>



-- rec --

On Sun, Dec 27, 2015 at 9:21 AM, Prof David West <[email protected]>
wrote:

>
> I expect Nick to be prepared to argue why Pierce anticipated Bayesianism
> at the next meeting of FRIAM.
>
> davew
>
>
> On Sat, Dec 26, 2015, at 08:59 PM, Tom Johnson wrote:
>
> Something to keep you occupied until New Years Day.
>
>
> https://www.quantamagazine.org/20151216-physicists-and-philosophers-debate-the-boundaries-of-science/
>
> ===================================
> Tom Johnson - Inst. for Analytic Journalism
> Santa Fe, NM
> SPJ Region 9 Director
> [email protected]               505-473-9646
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