All-

 

Have others seen the article in the New Yorker on the "decline effect",  the
alleged tendency for the effect sizes of well documented phenomena to
decline with successive years of replication.   I kept turning back to the
front of the article to reassure myself that it was not one of the "Shouts
and Murmurs" series.  It is not.   The passage that particularly caught my
eye: 

 

Many scientific theories continue to be considered true even after failing
numerous experimental tests. .  [This] holds for any number of phenomena,
from the disappearing benefits of second-generation antipsychotics to the
weak coupling ration exhibited by decaying neutrons, which appears to have
fallen by more than ten standard deviations between 1969 and 2001. [NY mag,
15 december 2010, p57]

 

 

At least until recently, when the NY-er writes about science, they try very
hard not to write anything stupid. 

 

What gives? 

 

 

Nicholas S. Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology

Clark University

http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

http://www.cusf.org <http://www.cusf.org/> 

 

 

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