On Sun, Sep 20, 2009 at 12:04 PM, Jochen Fromm <[email protected]> wrote:

> Fact is: there was a strong hype around H1N1,
> although H1N1 itself is known since 1976.
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swine_influenza#1976_U.S._outbreak
>

*Well, no kidding. There is a huge financial opportunity for the drug
companies, and a huge readership opportunity for the media.  Exactly why is
the hype a surprise?*


>
> And there are large pharmaceutical companies
> who are very interested in informing the public
> how dangerous H1N1 is. Hoffmann-La Roche produces
> Tamiflu and has an extra page about influenza
> (http://www.roche.com/roche-influenza.htm).
> Novartis produces a H1N1 vaccine, and has an extra
> page for it, too: http://www.novartis.com/newsroom/swine-flu/
> GlaxoSmithKline makes the anti-flu drug Relenza and
> produces a special H1N1 vaccine.
>

*Again, no kidding.  And again, where is the surprise factor? *


>
> These are Number 4, 5 and 6 of the big
> pharmaceutical companies. Producing these
> drugs and vaccines is a good thing. But what
> if they exaggerate a bit too much in marketing?
> It would not be evil to influence governments
> using lobbyists (e.g. in the WHO), just selfish.
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_pharmaceutical_companies
>
> I think marketing can be very problematic, if
> a company produces military or pharmaceutical
> products, because it often distorts the truth.
> A bit of the "Communist threat" in the McCarthy
> area was probably exaggerated by lobbyists
> of the industrial-military complex, too. A statement
> like "we need more bombs because the communits
> threaten us" sounds like "we need more vaccines
> because swine-flu is threaten us".
>

*Finally, and again: no kidding.  Please tell me where the surprise factor
is that a big deal is being made of H1N1.

Hype factor aside, H1N1 is real, it kills people, there is no (or little)
natural herd immunity to it yet.  It is a true pandemic.  If you get exposed
to it, you will probably get it.  Some people will die from it in plus/minus
the same proportion as those who die from contracting seasonal influenza.

***Plus/minus seasonal influenza mortality rates that is, unless or until
the current circulating H1N1 strain mutates to a more lethal variant, as
happened in 1918.  If this occurs you will *really* start to hear some hype.
*

>
> -J.
>

*--Doug*

>
> ----- Original Message ----- From: Douglas Roberts
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
> Sent: Sunday, September 20, 2009 5:59 PM
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] The victims of the H1N1 virus
>
> Well, if you really are interested in tracking down all of those mythical
> H1N1 deaths, here's a good starting point:
>
> http://portaldev.rti.org/midas-h1n1/reports/
>
> Honestly, the naiveté on this list still sometimes surprises me. H1N1 is
> real, It is a pandemic: a brand new flu virus that has never before
> circulated in the human population.  It has not (yet) mutated into a more
> deadly form, like the 1918 strain, but it still kills people. So does
> seasonal influenza.  The current circulating H1N1 could mutate into a more
> lethal strain, just as the 1918 variant did.  It has not done so yet.
>
> Sure, the big, evil drug industry corporate entities are going to make a
> huge amount of money off of H1N1.
>
> Yawn.
>
> The Bechtel Corporation is making a huge amount of money off of LANL.
>
> Yawn.
>
> The insurance companies in the United States make a huge amount of money
> off of the health care industry.
>
> Yawn.
>
> --Doug
>
>
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