Phil, 

I dont think I denied anything off the sort.  You sure can point at a hammer; 
you sure can point at a nail. You an even point at the hammer in contact with 
the nail.  I would even stipulate that you can point at the hammer hitting the 
nail.   What you cannot point at is the hammer causing the nail to enter the 
wood, because causing is not the sort of thing that can be pointed at.  .  

Nick 


----- Original Message ----- 
From: phil henshaw 
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED];The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]; caleb.thompson
Sent: 11/17/2007 9:32:21 PM 
Subject: RE: [FRIAM] FRIAM and causality


But why can't you accept the existence of physical things?   

All language derives its meaning from connecting you with things outside its 
structure after all, since anything purely self-referential is meaningless.   
Why even attempt to eliminate pointing at things that are beyond definition, 
the age old functional method, and why not treat images alone, however high you 
pile them, as hopelessly flimsy and inadequate contraptions to substitute for 
the simple useful act of 'look'? Don't we need to get off the kick of thinking 
what's in our brains is so all fired important?

We live in a world that is truly physically exploding with the unmanageable 
complexity of our multiplying overlapping contraptions, which we try to act 
like we don't notice, though the evidence is starkly clear in the daily 
accelerating change in how we all live.    You thought endless growth in 
multiplying resource extraction was bad for the earth.   Wait till you see 
growth without resources, on pure complication.   That's what those economist 
fellows call 'decoupling', the  perpetual motion machines the authors of the 
IPCC climate models decided will allow mankind to continually multiply wealth 
without effect.   We might just as well propose the whole lot of us lift off 
the planet in a swirl of pixy dust!    This is our planet and our watch, and 
we're missing the physical process about to destroy several centuries of hard 
forged real investment in making it a descent place to live, because we won't 
intellectually tolerate the existence of things that aren't in our minds.    
What's 'out there' beyond our minds may well be completely undefinable, and 
even 'meaningless' in the sense that it's not something our minds are able to 
make, but it's what actually does matter.    You might even find it oddly 
familiar, perhaps looking from the perspective with which our natural faculties 
evolved...  :-,)

Phil


Phil, 

OK.  So, it's images all the way down, so we cant get any traction there.  I 
suppose one might argue that a single hammering and a pattern of hammerings (if 
you will) exist at different levels of organization, and you might prefer one 
level to another for some reason external to this argument.  So far, so good.

But my position is that the attribution of causality forces you either to 
myth-making OR to the higher level of organization.  The first level of 
organization at which one can know hammer causality is the level many 
experiences with hitting nails with hammers and seeing them go into wood or or 
not, and not hitting nails with hammers and not seeing them go into wood or 
not, etc., ad nauseam.  So, in my idiotic postivisitic mode, I assert,   that 
pattern IS what causality is.  I mean why would one bother to attribute it 
anywhere else than where we know it.  

I have been thinking this way with respect to such mental attributions as 
motivation, emotion, feeling, etc, for years and only recently realized that 
these arguments apply as well to such  "hard-science" terms as disposition, 
cause and probability.  This tendency to hypostize complex relations into 
phantom single instances seems to go deep.  In fact, where would differential 
calculus be without it???!  

With respect to probability, Frank Wimberly has shaken my confidence a bit by 
reminding me that some probability attributions arise by deduction from theory, 
rather than induction from experience.   I guess I have to qualify my basic 
assertion to say that to the extent that the attribution that the hammer drove 
the nail into the wood derives from experience, it derives  from our experience 
with hammers and nails, etc., in general, rather than our experience with this 
hammer and this nail in this instance.  

All the best, 

Nick 




----- Original Message ----- 
From: Phil Henshaw 
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED];The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]; caleb.thompson
Sent: 11/16/2007 4:41:46 PM 
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] FRIAM and causality


NIck, 
Didn't you place the only things that physcally cause anything, the individual 
hammers and the individual nails in the direct action of driving a nail, in the 
place of the 'unreal' in you argument?    The things that don't actually exist 
except in our minds, the categories of hammers and of nails and their 
presumptive relation in an orderly arrangement of ideas, you seemed to treat as 
being real and causal.    Doesn't that what you mean depends on what you're 
using the words to refer to, the physical things on one hand, or the relations 
of images on the other?    Perhaps they're different, and a good bit of the 
con-fusion occurs as a result of not being clear about which we're referring 
to. 

Phil

 
On 11/12/07, Nicholas Thompson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: 
"The truth arises from arguments amongst friends" -- David Hume

One of my goals at Friam, believe it or not, is actually to get some 
fundamental issues settled amongst us.  We had, last week, a brisk discussion 
about causality.   I don't think I was particularly articulate, and so, to push 
that argument forward, I would like to try to state my position clearly and 
succinctly.    

The argument was between some who felt that causality was "real" and those that 
felt that it was basically a figment of our imaginations.    The argument may 
seem frivolous, but actually becomes of consequence anytime anyone starts to 
think about how one proves that X is the cause of Y.  Intuitively, X is the 
cause of Y if Y is X's "fault".  To say that X is the cause of Y is to accuse X 
of Y.   Given my current belief that story-telling is at the base of 
EVERYTHING, I think you convince somebody that X is the cause of Y just by 
telling the most reasonable story in which it seems obvious that Y would not 
have occurred had not X occurred.  But there is no particular reason that the 
world should always be a reasonable place, and therefore, it is also ALWAYS 
possible to tell an UNREASONABLE story that shows that Y's occurrence was not 
the responsibility of X, no matter how reasonable the original causal 
attribution is.  One of us asked for a hammer and nail, claiming that if he 
could but drive a nail into the surface of one of St. John's caf? tables, none 
of us would be silly enough to doubt that his hammering had been the cause of 
the nails penetration of the table.  Not withstanding his certainty on this 
matter, several of us instantly offered to be JUST THAT SILLY!  We would claim, 
we said, that contrary to his account, his hammering had had nothing to do with 
the nail's penetration, but that the accommodating molecules of wood directly 
under the nail had randomly parte d and sucked the nail into their midst.   

How validate a reasonable causal story against the infinite number of 
unreasonable causal stories that can always be proposed as alternatives.   By 
experience, obviously.  We have seen hundreds of cases where nails were driven 
into wood when struck by hammers (and a few cases where the hammer missed the 
nail, the nail remained where it was, and the thumb was driven into the wood.)  
 Also, despite its theoretical possibility, none of us has EVER seen a real 
world object sucked into a surface by random motion of the surface's molecules. 
 So it is the comparative analysis of our experience with hammers and nails 
that would have convinced us that the hammering had driven in the nail.   

            So what is the problem?  Why did we not just agree to that 
proposition and go on?  The reason to me is simple: the conventions of our 
language prevent us from arriving at that conclusion.   We not only  say that 
Hammers Cause Nails to embed in tables, which is what we know to be true, we 
also  say that THIS Hammer caused THIS nail to be embedded in the wood.  Thus 
our use of causality is a case of misplaced concreteness.   Causality is easily 
attributed to the pattern of relations amongst hammers and nails, but we err 
when we allow ourselves to assert that that higher order pattern is exhibited 
by any of its contributory instances.   In fact, that in our experience the 
missed nails have not been driven into the wood is as much a real part of our 
notions of causality and hammering as the fact that a hit nail is.    Causality 
just cannot be attributed to an individual instance.   

            The fallacy of misplaced concreteness is so widespread in our 
conversation that we could barely speak without it,  but it is a fallacy all 
the same.  Other instances of it are intentions, dispositions, personality 
traits, communication, information etc., etc., and such mathematical fictions 
as the slope of a line at a point.    Whenever we use any of these terms, we 
attribute to single instances properties of aggregates of which they are part.  

            Now, how do we stop arguing about this?  First of all, we stop and 
give honor to the enormous amount of information that actually goes into making 
a rational causal attribution that hammering causes embedding, information 
which is not available in any of its instances.   Second, we then stop and give 
honor to  the incredible power of the human mind to sift through this data and 
identify patterns in it.  Third, and finally,  we stop and wonder at whatever 
flaw it is in our evolution, our neurology, our cognition, our culture, or our 
language that causes us to lodge this knowledge in the one place it can never 
be … single instances.  

            Are we done?

Nick 


Nicholas S. Thompson
Research Associate, Redfish Group, Santa Fe, NM ([EMAIL PROTECTED])
Professor of Psychology and Ethology, Clark University ([EMAIL PROTECTED])




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